(a).
To find: The probability that Gladys holds a winning ticket.
The probability that Gladys holds a winning ticket is
Given information:
Calculation:
The problem requires to determine the probability that Gladys holds a winning ticket given that she bought
The total combinations of a
If Glady's bought
Hence, the probability that Gladys holds a winning ticket is
(b).
To find: The probability distribution for Gladys’s possible payoffs in the table.
The complete table is shown below:
Given information:
Gladys has a personal rule never to enter the lottery (picking
Subtract
Calculation:
The value of
For each of the tickets, we need to select
One of these
Use the complementary rule:
(c).
To fill: The expected value of the game for Gladys.
The expected value of the game for Gladys is
Given information:
Gladys has a personal rule never to enter the lottery (picking
Subtract
Calculation:
The expected value (or mean) is the sum of the product of each possibility
Thus, expected value of the game for Gladys is
(d).
To explain: Gladys the long-term implications of her strategy.
She will most likely lose a lot of money.
Given information:
Gladys has a personal rule never to enter the lottery (picking
Subtract
Explanation:
We note that it is nearly impossible to win the
This then implies that we are extremely likely to lose 10 dollars on each play.
The long-term implication of Gladys' strategy is then that she will most likely lose a lot of money (that is, she is expected to lose
Hence, she will most likely lose a lot of money.
Chapter 10 Solutions
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