a.
To find: The mean and the standard deviation of the number of targets he’d hit if the new bow were no more accurate than the old.
No; 21 of the 374 streaks were runs of 5 or more in a row, which is not unusual.
Given:
A good player might take 1500 shots and make 55% of them.
The table below shows the distribution of the lengths of the 374 streaks during that simulated season:
Length of streak | Number of times |
1 | 173 |
2 | 96 |
3 | 61 |
4 | 23 |
5 | 5 |
6 | 6 |
7 | 4 |
8 | 3 |
9 | 1 |
10 | 1 |
13 | 1 |
Concept used:
Simulation is a technique to model random events to closely match actual real-word outcomes.
Explanation:
From the table, 21 times the player shot 5 or more .
Only 5.61% chances to be in the zone.
Thus, it is an unusual event.
b.
To find: The number of shots in a row to consider statistically significant.
7 or more in a row seems unusual, but even very long runs can occur by chance.
Given:
A good player might take 1500 shots and make 55% of them.
The table below shows the distribution of the lengths of the 374 streaks during that simulated season:
Length of streak | Number of times |
1 | 173 |
2 | 96 |
3 | 61 |
4 | 23 |
5 | 5 |
6 | 6 |
7 | 4 |
8 | 3 |
9 | 1 |
10 | 1 |
13 | 1 |
Explanation:
Any player can score 7 or more in a row which seems unusual, but even very long runs can occur by chance.
Chapter 10 Solutions
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