Modeling the Dynamics of Life: Calculus and Probability for Life Scientists
3rd Edition
ISBN: 9780840064189
Author: Frederick R. Adler
Publisher: Cengage Learning
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A surveyor sees a building across the river. Standing at point A he measures the angle of elevation
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Module Code: MATH380202
3. (a) Let {} be a white noise process with variance σ2.
Define an ARMA(p,q) process {X} in terms of {+} and state (without proof)
conditions for {X} to be (i) weakly stationary and (ii) invertible.
Define what is meant by an ARIMA (p, d, q) process. Let {Y} be such an ARIMA(p, d, q)
process and show how it can also be represented as an ARMA process, giving the
AR and MA orders of this representation.
(b) The following tables show the first nine sample autocorrelations and partial auto-
correlations of X and Y₁ = VX+ for a series of n = 1095 observations. (Notice
that the notation in this part has no relationship with the notation in part (a) of
this question.)
Identify a model for this time series and obtain preliminary estimates for the pa-
rameters of your model.
X₁
= 15.51, s² = 317.43.
k
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
Pk
0.981
0.974
0.968
akk 0.981 0.327
8
9
0.927
0.963 0.957 0.951 0.943 0.935
0.121 0.104 0.000 0.014 -0.067 -0.068 -0.012
Y₁ = VX : y = 0.03, s² = 11.48.
k
1…
Chapter 2 Solutions
Modeling the Dynamics of Life: Calculus and Probability for Life Scientists
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