Operations and Supply Chain Management 9th edition
9th Edition
ISBN: 9781119320975
Author: Roberta S. Russell, Bernard W. Taylor III
Publisher: WILEY
expand_more
expand_more
format_list_bulleted
Concept explainers
Question
Chapter 1.S, Problem 18P
a)
Summary Introduction
To determine: The best decision using Maximax criteria.
Introduction: Decision analysis implies an analysis of various outcomes along with the given variables. It is used by the various corporations which helps the firms to make an analysis of the investment options, that is, which investment option should be pursued by the firm.
b)
Summary Introduction
To determine: The best decision using Minimax criteria.
c)
Summary Introduction
To determine: The best decision using Hurwicz criteria.
d)
Summary Introduction
To determine: The best decision using Equal likelihood criteria.
Expert Solution & Answer
Want to see the full answer?
Check out a sample textbook solution
Students have asked these similar questions
DiHL Co. is a Danao-based logistics company owned by Engr. Donald H. Lalican. Anticipating the growing demand for delivery services, he developed a strategic plan for the year 2022. The options are to hire additional delivery crews in their Mandaue facility, construct a new facility in Talisay City, or subcontract Ohlala Move, a small-time company. A study conducted by the marketing department forecasted the following payoff values, which are summarized in the table below. The values are expressed as gains and alpha = 0.6. *What is the best decision alternative under Maximax criterion? (Provide complete decision table solution)
DiHL Co. is a Danao-based logistics company owned by Engr. Donald H. Lalican. Anticipating the growing demand for delivery services, he developed a strategic plan for the year 2022. The options are to hire additional delivery crews in their Mandaue facility, construct a new facility in Talisay City, or subcontract Ohlala Move, a small-time company. A study conducted by the marketing department forecasted the following payoff values, which are summarized in the table below. The values are expressed as gains and alpha = 0.6. *a.) Which decision alternative has a minimum payoff value from the maximum regrets?b.) Which realism approach decision alternative has maximum payoff?
c.) Which equally likely decision alternative has the best payoff value?
APC industries has been experiencing significant growth and has been having difficulty meeting customer demands recently. They are considering three options to address this issue. They can move to a larger facility, add a second shift or use a subcontractor to assist in production. The annual payoff of each option depends on if the current market continues to expand hold s steady or declines. The expected payoff for each combination is shown in the table below
Option
Expand
Steady
Decline
Move to larger facility
250,000
125,000
-90,000
Add a second shift
175,000
80,000
-45,000
Subcontract
90,000
15,000
-10,000
Which option should APC choose with the Hurwicz criterion with α = 0.5? Using a minimax regret approach, what alternative should she choose? After reading about economic predictions, APC has assigned the probability that the market will be expanded, or be steady or be weak at 20%, 50%, and 30 %. Using expected monetary values, what option should be chosen, and what…
Chapter 1 Solutions
Operations and Supply Chain Management 9th edition
Ch. 1.S - Prob. 1PCh. 1.S - Prob. 2PCh. 1.S - Prob. 3PCh. 1.S - Prob. 4PCh. 1.S - Prob. 5PCh. 1.S - In Problem S1-5 assume that Nicole, with the help...Ch. 1.S - Prob. 7PCh. 1.S - Prob. 8PCh. 1.S - Telecomp, a computer manufacturer with a global...Ch. 1.S - Prob. 10P
Ch. 1.S - Prob. 11PCh. 1.S - Prob. 12PCh. 1.S - Prob. 13PCh. 1.S - Prob. 14PCh. 1.S - Prob. 15PCh. 1.S - Prob. 16PCh. 1.S - Prob. 17PCh. 1.S - Prob. 18PCh. 1.S - In Problem S1-18, assume the Weight Club is able...Ch. 1.S - Prob. 20PCh. 1.S - Prob. 21PCh. 1.S - Prob. 22PCh. 1.S - Prob. 23PCh. 1.S - Prob. 24PCh. 1.S - Prob. 25PCh. 1.S - Prob. 26PCh. 1.S - Prob. 27PCh. 1.S - Prob. 28PCh. 1.S - Prob. 29PCh. 1.S - Prob. 30PCh. 1.S - Prob. 31PCh. 1.S - Prob. 33PCh. 1.S - Prob. 34PCh. 1.S - Alex Mason has a wide-curving, uphill driveway...Ch. 1.S - Prob. 36PCh. 1.S - Prob. 39PCh. 1.S - Prob. 40PCh. 1.S - State University has three healthcare plans for...Ch. 1.S - The Orchard Wine Company purchases grapes from one...Ch. 1.S - Prob. 43PCh. 1.S - Prob. 1.1CPCh. 1.S - Prob. 2.1CPCh. 1.S - Evaluating Projects at Nexcom Systems Nexcom...Ch. 1 - Feeding America Each year, the Feeding America...Ch. 1 - Feeding America Each year, the Feeding America...Ch. 1 - Feeding America Each year, the Feeding America...Ch. 1 - Feeding America Each year, the Feeding America...Ch. 1 - Prob. 1QCh. 1 - What constitutes operations at (a) a bank, (b) a...Ch. 1 - Prob. 3QCh. 1 - Prob. 4QCh. 1 - Prob. 5QCh. 1 - Prob. 17QCh. 1 - What is the difference between an order winner and...Ch. 1 - Prob. 21QCh. 1 - Prob. 22QCh. 1 - Prob. 23QCh. 1 - Prob. 24QCh. 1 - Prob. 1PCh. 1 - Prob. 2PCh. 1 - Prob. 3PCh. 1 - Prob. 4PCh. 1 - Prob. 5PCh. 1 - Omar Industries maintains production facilities in...Ch. 1 - Rushing yardage for three Heisman Trophy...Ch. 1 - Carpet City recorded the following data on carpet...Ch. 1 - Prob. 9PCh. 1 - Prob. 10PCh. 1 - Prob. 11PCh. 1 - Prob. 12PCh. 1 - Prob. 13PCh. 1 - Prob. 14PCh. 1 - Prob. 15PCh. 1 - Prob. 1.1CPCh. 1 - Prob. 1.2CPCh. 1 - Prob. 1.3CPCh. 1 - Prob. 1.4CPCh. 1 - Prob. 1.5CPCh. 1 - Prob. 2.1CPCh. 1 - Prob. 2.2CP
Knowledge Booster
Learn more about
Need a deep-dive on the concept behind this application? Look no further. Learn more about this topic, operations-management and related others by exploring similar questions and additional content below.Similar questions
- A battery manufacturing plant has been ordered to cease discharging acidic waste liquids containing mercury into the city sewer system. As a result, the firm must now adjust the pH and remove the mercury from its waste liquids. Quotations from three firms are included in the following table of costs. Bidder Installed Cost Annual Operating Cost Annual Income from Mercury Recovery Salvage Value Foxhill $ 70,000 $5000 $6500 $10,000 Instrument Quicksilver 50,000 5000 2500 0 Almaden 90,000 5000 7800 10,000 If the installation will last 15 years and money is worth 12%, which equipment should be purchased?arrow_forwardThe Aggies will host Tech in this year's homecoming football game. Based on advance ticket sales, the athletic department has forecast hot dog sales as shown in the following table: TT Sales Quantity Probability 1,000 2,000 3,000 4,000 5,000 0.10 0.20 0.30 0.20 0.20 The school buys premium hot dogs for $1.60 and sells them during the game at $2.80 each. Hot dogs left over after the game will be sold for $0.60 each to the Aggie student cafeteria to be used in making hotdog casserole. Use a payoff matrix to determine the number of hot dogs to buy for the game. hot dogs. (Enter your response as an integer.)arrow_forwardThe following payoff table provides profits based on various possible decision alternatives adn various levels of demand at Robert Klassan's print shop: decision low high alt 1 $10,000 $36,000 alt 2 $6,000 $38,000 alt 3 -$2500 $52,000 The probability of low demand is 0.40 whereas the probability of high demand is 0.60. a) The alternative that provides Robert the greatest expected monetary value is _________ The EMV for this decision is $_______ b) The expected value with perfect information (EVwPI)= $______ c) The expected value of perfect information (EVPI) for Robert= $________arrow_forward
- Build-Rite Construction has received favorable publicity from guest appearances on a public TV home improvement program. Public TV programming decisions seem to be unpredictable, so Build-Rite cannot estimate the probability of continued benefits from its relationship with the show. Demand for home improvements next year may be either low or high. But Build-Rite must decide now whether to hire more employees, do nothing, or develop subcontracts with other home improvement contractors. Build-Rite has developed the following payoff table: Alternative Hire Subcontract Do nothing DEMAND FOR HOME IMPROVEMENTS Low Moderate High ($139,000) $183,000 $448,000 $85,000 $158,000 $587,000 $100,000 $143,000 $411,000 Show Transcribed Text Which alternative is best, according to each of the following decision criteria? a. Maximin b. Maximax c. Laplace d. Minimax Regretarrow_forwardBuild-Rite Construction has received favorable publicity from guest appearances on a public TV home improvement program. Public TV programming decisions seem to be unpredictable, so Build-Rite cannot estimate the probability of continued benefits from its relationship with the show. Demand for home improvements next year may be either low or high. But Build-Rite must decide now whether to hire more employees, do nothing, or develop subcontracts with other home improvement contractors. Build-Rite has developed the following payoff table: Demand for Home Improvements Alternative Low Moderate High Hire ($250,000) $100,000 $625,000 Subcontract $100,000 $150,000 $415,000 Do nothing $50,000 $80,000 $300,000 Which alternative is best, according to each of thefollowing decision criteria?a. Maximinb. Maximaxc. Laplaced. Minimax regretarrow_forwardBuild-Rite Construction has received favorable publicity from guest appearances on a public TV home improvement program. Public TV programming decisions seem to be unpredictable, so Build-Rite cannot estimate the probability of continued benefits from its relationship with the show. Demand for home improvements next year may be either low or high. But Build-Rite must decide now whether to hire more employees, do nothing, or develop subcontracts with other home improvement contractors. Build-Rite has developed the following payoff table:arrow_forward
- Build-Rite Construction has received favorable publicity from guest appearances on a public TV home improvement program. Public TV programming decisions seem to be unpredictable, so Build-Rite cannot estimate the probability of continued benefits from its relationship with the show. Demand for home improvements next year may be either low or high. But Build-Rite must decide now whether to hire more employees, do nothing, or develop subcontracts with other home improvement contractors. Build-Rite has developed the following payoff table:arrow_forwardBuild-Rite Construction has received favorable publicity from guest appearances on a public TV home improvement program. Public TV programming decisions seem to be unpredictable, so Build-Rite cannot estimate the probability of continued benefits from its relationship with the show. Demand for home improvements next year may be either low or high. But Build-Rite must decide now whether to hire more employees, do nothing, or develop subcontracts with other home improvement contractors. Build-Rite has developed the following payoff table: Demand for Home Improvements Alternative Low Moderate High ($140,000) $86,000 $100,000 $138,000 $296,000 $130,000 $587,000 $416,000 $421,000 Hire Subcontract Do nothing Which alternative is best, according to each of the following decision criteria? a. The best decision according to maximin criterion is alternative and the payoff for this decision is $ (Enter your response as an integer.)arrow_forwardBuild-Rite Construction has received favorable publicity from guest appearances on a public TV home improvement program. Public TV programming decisions seem to be unpredictable, so Build-Rite cannot estimate the probability of continued benefits from its relationship with the show. Demand for home improvements next year may be either low or high. But Build-Rite must decide now whether to hire more employees, do nothing, or develop subcontracts with other home improvement contractors. Build-Rite has developed the following payoff table: The best decision according to laplace criterion is alternative to what? and the weighted payoff for this decision is what?arrow_forward
- This is the same payoff table used in questions 2 and 3. Below is a payoff table that lists four mortgage options: Decision 1-year ARM 3-year ARM 5-year Arm 30-year fixed Rates Rise $66,645 $62,857 $55,895 $52,276 Outcomes Rates Stable $43,650 $47,698 $50,894 $52,276 4) Which of the following decisions has the best average payoff? CA. 3-year ARM B. 1-year ARM CC. 5-year ARM CD. 30-year Fixed Rates Fall $38,560 $42,726 $48,134 $52,276arrow_forwardToday’s Electronics specializes in manufacturing modern electronic components. It also builds the equipment that produces the components. Phyllis Weinberger, who is responsible for advising the president of Today’s Electronics on electronic manufacturing equipment, has developed the following table concerning a proposed facility: Payoffs Outcomes Large facility 550,000 -310,000 Medium-sized facility 300,000 -100,000 Small facility 200,000 -32,000 No facility 0 0 Develop an opportunity loss table. What is the minimax regret decision? Note:- Do not provide handwritten solution. Maintain accuracy and quality in your answer. Take care of plagiarism. Answer completely. You will get up vote for sure.arrow_forward20. The Video Game Supply Company (VGS) is deciding whether to set next year's production at 2000, 2500, or 3000 games. Demand could be low, medium, or high. Using historical data, VGS estimates the probabilities as: 0.4 for low demand, 0.3 for medium demand, and 0.3 for high demand. The following profit payoff table (in $100s) has been developed. Demand Production Target Low Medium High 2000 games 2500 games 3000 games 1000 1200 1400 800 1500 1300 600 1700 1400 (a) [1] What is the maximax decision alternative? (b) [1] What is the maximin decision alternative? (c) [2] Determine the expected value of each alternative and indicate what should be the production target for next year based on expected value. (d) [1] Determine the expected value with perfect information about the states of nature. (e) [1] Determine the expected value of perfect information.arrow_forward
arrow_back_ios
SEE MORE QUESTIONS
arrow_forward_ios
Recommended textbooks for you
Practical Management ScienceOperations ManagementISBN:9781337406659Author:WINSTON, Wayne L.Publisher:Cengage,
Practical Management Science
Operations Management
ISBN:9781337406659
Author:WINSTON, Wayne L.
Publisher:Cengage,