Statistics for Business and Economics (13th Edition)
13th Edition
ISBN: 9780134506593
Author: James T. McClave, P. George Benson, Terry Sincich
Publisher: PEARSON
expand_more
expand_more
format_list_bulleted
Textbook Question
Chapter 14.5, Problem 14.28ACB
OPEC crude oil imports. Refer to the annual OPEC oil import data. Exercise 14.21 (p. 14-15).
a. Use the exponentially smoothed (w = .9) series you constructed in Exercise 14.21 a to forecast OPEC oil imports in 2015.
b. Forecast OPEC oil imports in 2015 using the Holt’s forecasting model with smoothing constants w = .3 and v = .8. 1,202.6
c. Calculate the errors of the forecasts, parts a and b. Which method yields the smallest forecast error? Holt’s
Expert Solution & Answer
Want to see the full answer?
Check out a sample textbook solutionStudents have asked these similar questions
The table shows the sales revenue from the past 8 quarters. What is the 4-period moving average forecast of the next quarter?
Year 1
Year 2
Year 3
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
Q1
11
10
9
12
10
7
7
11
?
a)Given the data 63, 64, 66, 67, 67, 69, 71, 72 are the units of actual sales of TV in the last eight periods. Find the forecast for the ninth period using simple exponential smoothing.Use α = 0.3 and initial forecast using simple average of last eight months.
b)The sales of a company (in million dollars) for each year are shown in the table below. Find the linear sales trend line.x (year) 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009y (sales) 12 19 29 37 45
plz i need these answers within 4 hrs i need to submit them do the questions manually without using excel or minitab
Please do it in Excell..
Chapter 14 Solutions
Statistics for Business and Economics (13th Edition)
Ch. 14.1 - Explain in words how to construct a simple index.Ch. 14.1 - Explain in words how to calculate the following...Ch. 14.1 - Explain in words the difference between Laspeyres...Ch. 14.1 - The table below gives the prices for three...Ch. 14.1 - Refer to Exercise 14.4. The next table gives the...Ch. 14.1 - Annual median family income. The table below lists...Ch. 14.1 - Annual U.S. craft beer production. While overall...Ch. 14.1 - Quarterly single-family housing starts. The...Ch. 14.1 - Spot price of natural gas. The table shown in the...Ch. 14.1 - Employment in farm and nonfarm categories....
Ch. 14.1 - GOP personal consumption expenditures. The gross...Ch. 14.1 - GDP personal consumption expenditures (contd)....Ch. 14.1 - Weekly earnings for workers. The table in the next...Ch. 14.1 - Production and price of metals. The level or price...Ch. 14.2 - Describe the effect of selecting an exponential...Ch. 14.2 - A monthly time series is shown in the table to the...Ch. 14.2 - Annual U.S. craft beer production. Refer to the...Ch. 14.2 - Foreign fish production. Overfishing and pollution...Ch. 14.2 - Yearly price of gold. The price of gold is used by...Ch. 14.2 - Personal consumption in transportation. There has...Ch. 14.2 - OPEC crude oil imports. The data in the table...Ch. 14.2 - SP 500 Stock Index. Standard Poors 500 Composite...Ch. 14.5 - How does the choice of the smoothing constant w...Ch. 14.5 - Refer to Exercise 14.4 (p. 14-9). The table with...Ch. 14.5 - Annual U.S. craft beer production. Refer to...Ch. 14.5 - Quarterly single-family housing starts. Refer to...Ch. 14.5 - Consumer Price Index. The CPI measures the...Ch. 14.5 - OPEC crude oil imports. Refer to the annual OPEC...Ch. 14.5 - SP 500 Stock Index. Refer to the quarterly...Ch. 14.5 - SP 500 Stock Index (contd). Refer to Exercise...Ch. 14.5 - Monthly gold prices. The fluctuation of gold...Ch. 14.6 - Annual U.S. craft beer production. Refer to the...Ch. 14.6 - Annual U.S. craft beer production (contd). Refer...Ch. 14.6 - SP 500 Stock Index. Refer to your exponential...Ch. 14.6 - SP 500 Stock Index (contd). Refer to your Holt...Ch. 14.6 - Monthly gold prices. Refer to the monthly gold...Ch. 14.6 - US school enrollments. The next table reports...Ch. 14.8 - The annual price of a finished product (in cents...Ch. 14.8 - Retail sales in Quarters 14 over a 10-year period...Ch. 14.8 - What advantage do regression forecasts have over...Ch. 14.8 - Mortgage interest rates. The level at which...Ch. 14.8 - Price of natural gas. Refer to Exercise 14.9 (p....Ch. 14.8 - A gasoline tax on carbon emissions. In an effort...Ch. 14.8 - Predicting presidential elections. Researchers at...Ch. 14.8 - Life insurance policies in force. The table below...Ch. 14.8 - Graphing calculator sales. The next table presents...Ch. 14.8 - Prob. 14.47ACICh. 14.9 - Define autocorrelation. Explain why it is...Ch. 14.9 - For each case, indicate the decision regarding the...Ch. 14.9 - What do the following Durbin-Watson statistics...Ch. 14.9 - Company donations to charity. Refer to the Journal...Ch. 14.9 - Forecasting monthly car and truck sales. Forecasts...Ch. 14.9 - Predicting presidential elections. Refer to the...Ch. 14.9 - Mortgage interest rates. Refer to the data on...Ch. 14.9 - Price of natural gas. Refer to the annual data on...Ch. 14.9 - Life insurance policies in force. Refer to the...Ch. 14.9 - Modeling the deposit share of a retail bank....Ch. 14 - Insured Social Security workers. Workers insured...Ch. 14 - Insured Social Security workers (contd). Refer to...Ch. 14 - Retail prices of food items. In 1990, the average...Ch. 14 - Demand for emergency room services. With the...Ch. 14 - Mortgage interest rates. Refer to the annual...Ch. 14 - Price of Abbott Labs stock. The yearly closing...Ch. 14 - Price o f Abbott Labs stock (contd). Refer to...Ch. 14 - Prob. 14.65ACICh. 14 - Prob. 14.66ACICh. 14 - Quarterly GOP values (contd). Refer to Exercise...Ch. 14 - Prob. 14.68ACICh. 14 - Prob. 14.69ACICh. 14 - Prob. 14.70ACICh. 14 - IBM stock prices. Refer to Example 14.1 (p. 14-5)...Ch. 14 - Prob. 14.72ACI
Knowledge Booster
Learn more about
Need a deep-dive on the concept behind this application? Look no further. Learn more about this topic, statistics and related others by exploring similar questions and additional content below.Similar questions
- Cable TV The following table shows the number C. in millions, of basic subscribers to cable TV in the indicated year These data are from the Statistical Abstract of the United States. Year 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 C 9.8 17.5 35.4 50.5 60.6 60.6 a. Use regression to find a logistic model for these data. b. By what annual percentage would you expect the number of cable subscribers to grow in the absence of limiting factors? c. The estimated number of subscribers in 2005 was 65.3million. What light does this shed on the model you found in part a?arrow_forwardLife Expectancy The following table shows the average life expectancy, in years, of a child born in the given year42 Life expectancy 2005 77.6 2007 78.1 2009 78.5 2011 78.7 2013 78.8 a. Find the equation of the regression line, and explain the meaning of its slope. b. Plot the data points and the regression line. c. Explain in practical terms the meaning of the slope of the regression line. d. Based on the trend of the regression line, what do you predict as the life expectancy of a child born in 2019? e. Based on the trend of the regression line, what do you predict as the life expectancy of a child born in 1580?2300arrow_forwardThe U.S. Census tracks the percentage of persons 25 years or older who are college graduates. That data forseveral years is given in Table 4[14]. Determine whether the trend appears linear. If so, and assuming the trendcontinues. in what year will the percentage exceed 35%?arrow_forward
- What does the y -intercept on the graph of a logistic equation correspond to for a population modeled by that equation?arrow_forwardOlympic Pole Vault The graph in Figure 7 indicates that in recent years the winning Olympic men’s pole vault height has fallen below the value predicted by the regression line in Example 2. This might have occurred because when the pole vault was a new event there was much room for improvement in vaulters’ performances, whereas now even the best training can produce only incremental advances. Let’s see whether concentrating on more recent results gives a better predictor of future records. (a) Use the data in Table 2 (page 176) to complete the table of winning pole vault heights shown in the margin. (Note that we are using x=0 to correspond to the year 1972, where this restricted data set begins.) (b) Find the regression line for the data in part ‚(a). (c) Plot the data and the regression line on the same axes. Does the regression line seem to provide a good model for the data? (d) What does the regression line predict as the winning pole vault height for the 2012 Olympics? Compare this predicted value to the actual 2012 winning height of 5.97 m, as described on page 177. Has this new regression line provided a better prediction than the line in Example 2?arrow_forwarda. Sales of the Flying Flintmobile has been increasing over the past five years. The operations manager has estimated sales in 2017 to be 410 Flving Flintmobiles. Using exponential smoothing with a weight of a = 0.30, develop forecasts for 2017 through 2022. Year Sales Forecast 2016 450 2017 495 2018 518 2019 563 2021 584 2022arrow_forward
- B4. A company has collected and smoothened its historical yearly sales data of a product from 2015 up to 2021. The following table shows the sales and moving average figures. Sales Three-year moving avcrage Year Five-ycar moving avcrage (S thousands) 2015 2016 326.0 324.0 E 367.4 2017 344.0 2018 383.0 371.0 2019 B. 389.0 2020 398.0 D 2021 428.0 Calculate the missing values of4, B, C, D. E and F(Correct to I decimal place). B5. A lottery consists of 49 balls numbered 1 through 49 and 6 of them are drawn at random. (a) You can pick 6 different numbers for a betting ticket. How many selections are possible? (b) If prizes will be paid to those picking 4 to 6 drawn numbers, how many winning selections are possible? రarrow_forwardFor the Hawkins Company, the monthly percentages of all shipments received on time over the past 12 months are 80, 82, 84, 83, 83, 84, 85, 84, 82, 83, 84, and 83. a. Compute for a 3 month moving average forecast. b. Compute for the exponential smoothing forecast for a=0.2. c. Which provides the better forecast using MSE as the measure of model accuracy? d. What is the forecast for next month?arrow_forwardQ 3: Al Matra LLC has recently hired Mr. Musab, a professional market researcher. Mr. Musab is interested to find out relationship between cost incurred and revenue earned by the company. He collected the data of last 7 years from the accounts department, but he is confused about the method which can find out the relationship. Revenue Cost Incurred Earned Year (OMR in (OMR in Millions) Millions) 2013 20 2014 10 22 2015 9 22 2016 18 2017 11 20 2018 12 24 2019 10 25 a) Find out the correlation value and give interpretation of the result b) If correlation value is 1.25, discuss the result analytically.arrow_forward
- hudson Marine has been an authorized dealer for c&d marine radios for the past sevenyears. the following table reports the number of radios sold each year.Year 1 2 3 4 5 6 7Number Sold 35 50 75 90 105 110 130a. construct a time series plot. does a linear trend appear to be present?b. Using Minitab or excel, develop a linear trend equation for this time series.c. Use the linear trend equation developed in part (b) to develop a forecast for annualsales in year 8.arrow_forward2.5 2.0 15 1.0 0.5 Incarcerated Americans 1920-2014 Prison Jail 0 1920 1930 1940 1950 1960 1970 1980 1990 2000 2010 Year Juvenile Detention 6. Describe the trend depicted in this ch 7. What impact do you think this trend has had on the public defender system? depicarrow_forwardFind forecasted value for 2017using α = 0.5 and α = 0.7 using exponential smoothing method.Which α is better Years Sales Forecasted sale 2012 25 ……. 2013 17 2014 21 2015 30 2016 27 2017 ?arrow_forward
arrow_back_ios
SEE MORE QUESTIONS
arrow_forward_ios
Recommended textbooks for you
- Glencoe Algebra 1, Student Edition, 9780079039897...AlgebraISBN:9780079039897Author:CarterPublisher:McGraw HillFunctions and Change: A Modeling Approach to Coll...AlgebraISBN:9781337111348Author:Bruce Crauder, Benny Evans, Alan NoellPublisher:Cengage Learning
- Algebra and Trigonometry (MindTap Course List)AlgebraISBN:9781305071742Author:James Stewart, Lothar Redlin, Saleem WatsonPublisher:Cengage LearningCollege AlgebraAlgebraISBN:9781305115545Author:James Stewart, Lothar Redlin, Saleem WatsonPublisher:Cengage Learning
Glencoe Algebra 1, Student Edition, 9780079039897...
Algebra
ISBN:9780079039897
Author:Carter
Publisher:McGraw Hill
Functions and Change: A Modeling Approach to Coll...
Algebra
ISBN:9781337111348
Author:Bruce Crauder, Benny Evans, Alan Noell
Publisher:Cengage Learning
Algebra and Trigonometry (MindTap Course List)
Algebra
ISBN:9781305071742
Author:James Stewart, Lothar Redlin, Saleem Watson
Publisher:Cengage Learning
College Algebra
Algebra
ISBN:9781305115545
Author:James Stewart, Lothar Redlin, Saleem Watson
Publisher:Cengage Learning
Time Series Analysis Theory & Uni-variate Forecasting Techniques; Author: Analytics University;https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_X5q9FYLGxM;License: Standard YouTube License, CC-BY
Operations management 101: Time-series, forecasting introduction; Author: Brandoz Foltz;https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=EaqZP36ool8;License: Standard YouTube License, CC-BY