Statistics for Business and Economics (13th Edition)
13th Edition
ISBN: 9780134506593
Author: James T. McClave, P. George Benson, Terry Sincich
Publisher: PEARSON
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Chapter 14.9, Problem 14.48LM
Define autocorrelation. Explain why it is important in time series modeling and forecasting.
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Chapter 14 Solutions
Statistics for Business and Economics (13th Edition)
Ch. 14.1 - Explain in words how to construct a simple index.Ch. 14.1 - Explain in words how to calculate the following...Ch. 14.1 - Explain in words the difference between Laspeyres...Ch. 14.1 - The table below gives the prices for three...Ch. 14.1 - Refer to Exercise 14.4. The next table gives the...Ch. 14.1 - Annual median family income. The table below lists...Ch. 14.1 - Annual U.S. craft beer production. While overall...Ch. 14.1 - Quarterly single-family housing starts. The...Ch. 14.1 - Spot price of natural gas. The table shown in the...Ch. 14.1 - Employment in farm and nonfarm categories....
Ch. 14.1 - GOP personal consumption expenditures. The gross...Ch. 14.1 - GDP personal consumption expenditures (contd)....Ch. 14.1 - Weekly earnings for workers. The table in the next...Ch. 14.1 - Production and price of metals. The level or price...Ch. 14.2 - Describe the effect of selecting an exponential...Ch. 14.2 - A monthly time series is shown in the table to the...Ch. 14.2 - Annual U.S. craft beer production. Refer to the...Ch. 14.2 - Foreign fish production. Overfishing and pollution...Ch. 14.2 - Yearly price of gold. The price of gold is used by...Ch. 14.2 - Personal consumption in transportation. There has...Ch. 14.2 - OPEC crude oil imports. The data in the table...Ch. 14.2 - SP 500 Stock Index. Standard Poors 500 Composite...Ch. 14.5 - How does the choice of the smoothing constant w...Ch. 14.5 - Refer to Exercise 14.4 (p. 14-9). The table with...Ch. 14.5 - Annual U.S. craft beer production. Refer to...Ch. 14.5 - Quarterly single-family housing starts. Refer to...Ch. 14.5 - Consumer Price Index. The CPI measures the...Ch. 14.5 - OPEC crude oil imports. Refer to the annual OPEC...Ch. 14.5 - SP 500 Stock Index. Refer to the quarterly...Ch. 14.5 - SP 500 Stock Index (contd). Refer to Exercise...Ch. 14.5 - Monthly gold prices. The fluctuation of gold...Ch. 14.6 - Annual U.S. craft beer production. Refer to the...Ch. 14.6 - Annual U.S. craft beer production (contd). Refer...Ch. 14.6 - SP 500 Stock Index. Refer to your exponential...Ch. 14.6 - SP 500 Stock Index (contd). Refer to your Holt...Ch. 14.6 - Monthly gold prices. Refer to the monthly gold...Ch. 14.6 - US school enrollments. The next table reports...Ch. 14.8 - The annual price of a finished product (in cents...Ch. 14.8 - Retail sales in Quarters 14 over a 10-year period...Ch. 14.8 - What advantage do regression forecasts have over...Ch. 14.8 - Mortgage interest rates. The level at which...Ch. 14.8 - Price of natural gas. Refer to Exercise 14.9 (p....Ch. 14.8 - A gasoline tax on carbon emissions. In an effort...Ch. 14.8 - Predicting presidential elections. Researchers at...Ch. 14.8 - Life insurance policies in force. The table below...Ch. 14.8 - Graphing calculator sales. The next table presents...Ch. 14.8 - Prob. 14.47ACICh. 14.9 - Define autocorrelation. Explain why it is...Ch. 14.9 - For each case, indicate the decision regarding the...Ch. 14.9 - What do the following Durbin-Watson statistics...Ch. 14.9 - Company donations to charity. Refer to the Journal...Ch. 14.9 - Forecasting monthly car and truck sales. Forecasts...Ch. 14.9 - Predicting presidential elections. Refer to the...Ch. 14.9 - Mortgage interest rates. Refer to the data on...Ch. 14.9 - Price of natural gas. Refer to the annual data on...Ch. 14.9 - Life insurance policies in force. Refer to the...Ch. 14.9 - Modeling the deposit share of a retail bank....Ch. 14 - Insured Social Security workers. Workers insured...Ch. 14 - Insured Social Security workers (contd). Refer to...Ch. 14 - Retail prices of food items. In 1990, the average...Ch. 14 - Demand for emergency room services. With the...Ch. 14 - Mortgage interest rates. Refer to the annual...Ch. 14 - Price of Abbott Labs stock. The yearly closing...Ch. 14 - Price o f Abbott Labs stock (contd). Refer to...Ch. 14 - Prob. 14.65ACICh. 14 - Prob. 14.66ACICh. 14 - Quarterly GOP values (contd). Refer to Exercise...Ch. 14 - Prob. 14.68ACICh. 14 - Prob. 14.69ACICh. 14 - Prob. 14.70ACICh. 14 - IBM stock prices. Refer to Example 14.1 (p. 14-5)...Ch. 14 - Prob. 14.72ACI
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- The U.S. Census tracks the percentage of persons 25 years or older who are college graduates. That data forseveral years is given in Table 4[14]. Determine whether the trend appears linear. If so, and assuming the trendcontinues. in what year will the percentage exceed 35%?arrow_forwardStock Market The week of September 15, 2008 was one of the most volatile weeks ever for the US stock market. The closing numbers of the Dow Jones Industrial Average each day were: What was the overall change for the week? Was it positive or negative?arrow_forwardThe US. import of wine (in hectoliters) for several years is given in Table 5. Determine whether the trend appearslinear. Ifso, and assuming the trend continues, in what year will imports exceed 12,000 hectoliters?arrow_forward
- arget's annual revenue data from 2005 to 2021 are available for download. Make an Excel graph of the annual data, and fit three trends (linear, quadratic, and exponential) to the time series. Copy and paste the graph in the space below or attach the file. State the three trendline equations from part a and their R2 values. Which trend model do you think is the best one to use to forecast annual revenue? Choose only one model and explain the reasons for your choice. Use the model you chose in part c to forecast the annual revenue for 2022. Annual Operating Income Year t (Millions of US $) 2005 1 46839 2006 2 52620 2007 3 59490 2008 4 63367 2009 5 64948 2010 6 65357 2011 7 67390 2012 8 69865 2013 9 73301 2014 10 71279 2015 11 72618 2016 12 73785 2017 13 70271 2018 14 72714 2019 15 75356 2020 16 78112 2021 17 93561arrow_forwardDiscuss whether you believe time series to be an effective forecasting tool. Identify two of the most common mistakes made in completing a time series forecast and share an example of each mistake.arrow_forwardCryptocurrencies have rapidly become an important alternative to traditional currencies for many types of transactions. Etherium, one of the most prominent cryptocurrencies, has rapidly appreciated in value. Daily Etherium trading information for the first 332 days of 2021. It includes the following variables: Date Day – Day of the year, used to assess trend over time Volume (US $) – Daily trading volume Opening Price (US $) – Opening price for daily trading Price Change (US $) – Daily change in price from opening to close 1. Determine the sample correlation coefficient, r, between Volume and Price Change. Test the alternative hypothesis that Volume has a linear relationship to Price Change. Specifically, what are the test statistic and the p-value for that test statistic? For α = .05, what do you conclude about the relationship between the variables? (reminder: the T.DIST.2T function requires input of a positive test statistic)arrow_forward
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