Statistics for Business and Economics (13th Edition)
Statistics for Business and Economics (13th Edition)
13th Edition
ISBN: 9780134506593
Author: James T. McClave, P. George Benson, Terry Sincich
Publisher: PEARSON
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Chapter 14, Problem 14.58ACB

Insured Social Security workers. Workers insured under the Social Security program are categorized as fully and permanently insured, fully but not permanently insured, or insured in the event of disability. The number of workers (in millions) in each insured category from 2000 to 2015 are provided in the accompanying table.

Chapter 14, Problem 14.58ACB, Insured Social Security workers. Workers insured under the Social Security program are categorized

a. Compute a simple composite index for the number of workers in the three insured categories using 2000 as the base period.

b. Is the index, part a, a price index or a quantity index?

c. Refer to part a. Interpret the index value for 2015.

a.

Expert Solution
Check Mark
To determine

To compute: The simple composite index for the number of workers in the three insured categories using 2000 as the base period.

Answer to Problem 14.58ACB

The simple composite index for the number of workers in the three insured categories using 2000 as the base period is,

Year Fully Permanent Fully Not Permanent Event Disability Index
2000 140.9 44.9 139.5 100.0
2001 142.9 45.2 141.7 101.4
2002 144.9 45.3 143.5 102.6
2003 147 45 144.9 103.6
2004 149 44.8 146.2 104.5
2005 151.1 44.7 147.7 105.6
2006 153.3 45.1 150.1 107.1
2007 155.4 45.6 152.3 108.6
2008 157.4 46 154.5 110.0
2009 159.2 44.8 150.6 109.0
2010 161.1 44.6 151.7 109.9
2011 163.1 44.3 152.6 110.7
2012 163.3 44 149.2 109.6
2013 165.3 43.9 149.9 110.4
2014 167.3 43.8 150.6 111.2
2015 169.4 43.8 151.2 112.0

Explanation of Solution

Given info:

The table shows that the number of workers in different categories from 2000 to 2015.

Calculation:

The total number of workers in fully and permanently insured, fully but not permanently insured or insured in the event of disability of the years 2000-2015 is obtained as follows:

The total number of workers in fully and permanently insured, fully but not permanently insured or insured in the event of disability of the 2000 is obtained by adding the number of workers in fully and permanently insured, fully but not permanently insured or insured in the event of disability of the year 2000.

Sum of 2000=140.9+44.9+139.5=325.3

Similarly the totals of the remaining years 2001-2015 is as follows:

Year Fully Permanent Fully Not Permanent Event Disability Sum
2000 140.9 44.9 139.5 325.3
2001 142.9 45.2 141.7 329.8
2002 144.9 45.3 143.5 333.7
2003 147 45 144.9 336.9
2004 149 44.8 146.2 340.0
2005 151.1 44.7 147.7 343.5
2006 153.3 45.1 150.1 348.5
2007 155.4 45.6 152.3 353.3
2008 157.4 46 154.5 357.9
2009 159.2 44.8 150.6 354.6
2010 161.1 44.6 151.7 357.4
2011 163.1 44.3 152.6 360.0
2012 163.3 44 149.2 356.5
2013 165.3 43.9 149.9 359.1
2014 167.3 43.8 150.6 361.7
2015 169.4 43.8 151.2 364.4

The formula to find the simple composite index is,

It=Sum value at time tTime series value at base period×100

For year 2000:

The simple composite index for the number of workers in the three insured categories for year 2000 using 2000 as the base period is as follows:

Substitute 325.3 for “Sum value at time t” and 325.3 for “Time series value at base period”

I=325.3325.3×100=100.00

Similarly, the simple composite index for the remaining years using 2000 as the base year is as follows:

Year Fully Permanent Fully Not Permanent Event Disability Sum Simple Composite Index-2000
2000 140.9 44.9 139.5 325.3 100.0
2001 142.9 45.2 141.7 329.8 101.4
2002 144.9 45.3 143.5 333.7 102.6
2003 147 45 144.9 336.9 103.6
2004 149 44.8 146.2 340.0 104.5
2005 151.1 44.7 147.7 343.5 105.6
2006 153.3 45.1 150.1 348.5 107.1
2007 155.4 45.6 152.3 353.3 108.6
2008 157.4 46 154.5 357.9 110.0
2009 159.2 44.8 150.6 354.6 109.0
2010 161.1 44.6 151.7 357.4 109.9
2011 163.1 44.3 152.6 360.0 110.7
2012 163.3 44 149.2 356.5 109.6
2013 165.3 43.9 149.9 359.1 110.4
2014 167.3 43.8 150.6 361.7 111.2
2015 169.4 43.8 151.2 364.4 112.0

b.

Expert Solution
Check Mark
To determine

To identify: Whether the index in part (a) is price index or quantity index.

Answer to Problem 14.58ACB

The index in part (a) is quantity index.

Explanation of Solution

Justification:

From the given information it can be observed that the index in part (a) represents the quantities. Thus, the index in part (a) is quantity index.

c.

Expert Solution
Check Mark
To determine

To interpret: The index value for 2015.

Answer to Problem 14.58ACB

The index value for 2015 interprets that the total number of insured workers in 2015 is increased by 12.0% when the base year is 2000.

Explanation of Solution

Justification:

Here, it is observed that the total number of insured workers in 2015 is increased by 12.0% (=120.0100) when the base year is 2000.

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Chapter 14 Solutions

Statistics for Business and Economics (13th Edition)

Ch. 14.1 - GOP personal consumption expenditures. The gross...Ch. 14.1 - GDP personal consumption expenditures (contd)....Ch. 14.1 - Weekly earnings for workers. The table in the next...Ch. 14.1 - Production and price of metals. The level or price...Ch. 14.2 - Describe the effect of selecting an exponential...Ch. 14.2 - A monthly time series is shown in the table to the...Ch. 14.2 - Annual U.S. craft beer production. Refer to the...Ch. 14.2 - Foreign fish production. Overfishing and pollution...Ch. 14.2 - Yearly price of gold. The price of gold is used by...Ch. 14.2 - Personal consumption in transportation. There has...Ch. 14.2 - OPEC crude oil imports. The data in the table...Ch. 14.2 - SP 500 Stock Index. Standard Poors 500 Composite...Ch. 14.5 - How does the choice of the smoothing constant w...Ch. 14.5 - Refer to Exercise 14.4 (p. 14-9). The table with...Ch. 14.5 - Annual U.S. craft beer production. Refer to...Ch. 14.5 - Quarterly single-family housing starts. Refer to...Ch. 14.5 - Consumer Price Index. The CPI measures the...Ch. 14.5 - OPEC crude oil imports. Refer to the annual OPEC...Ch. 14.5 - SP 500 Stock Index. Refer to the quarterly...Ch. 14.5 - SP 500 Stock Index (contd). Refer to Exercise...Ch. 14.5 - Monthly gold prices. The fluctuation of gold...Ch. 14.6 - Annual U.S. craft beer production. Refer to the...Ch. 14.6 - Annual U.S. craft beer production (contd). Refer...Ch. 14.6 - SP 500 Stock Index. Refer to your exponential...Ch. 14.6 - SP 500 Stock Index (contd). Refer to your Holt...Ch. 14.6 - Monthly gold prices. Refer to the monthly gold...Ch. 14.6 - US school enrollments. The next table reports...Ch. 14.8 - The annual price of a finished product (in cents...Ch. 14.8 - Retail sales in Quarters 14 over a 10-year period...Ch. 14.8 - What advantage do regression forecasts have over...Ch. 14.8 - Mortgage interest rates. The level at which...Ch. 14.8 - Price of natural gas. Refer to Exercise 14.9 (p....Ch. 14.8 - A gasoline tax on carbon emissions. In an effort...Ch. 14.8 - Predicting presidential elections. Researchers at...Ch. 14.8 - Life insurance policies in force. The table below...Ch. 14.8 - Graphing calculator sales. The next table presents...Ch. 14.8 - Prob. 14.47ACICh. 14.9 - Define autocorrelation. Explain why it is...Ch. 14.9 - For each case, indicate the decision regarding the...Ch. 14.9 - What do the following Durbin-Watson statistics...Ch. 14.9 - Company donations to charity. Refer to the Journal...Ch. 14.9 - Forecasting monthly car and truck sales. Forecasts...Ch. 14.9 - Predicting presidential elections. Refer to the...Ch. 14.9 - Mortgage interest rates. Refer to the data on...Ch. 14.9 - Price of natural gas. Refer to the annual data on...Ch. 14.9 - Life insurance policies in force. Refer to the...Ch. 14.9 - Modeling the deposit share of a retail bank....Ch. 14 - Insured Social Security workers. Workers insured...Ch. 14 - Insured Social Security workers (contd). Refer to...Ch. 14 - Retail prices of food items. In 1990, the average...Ch. 14 - Demand for emergency room services. With the...Ch. 14 - Mortgage interest rates. Refer to the annual...Ch. 14 - Price of Abbott Labs stock. The yearly closing...Ch. 14 - Price o f Abbott Labs stock (contd). Refer to...Ch. 14 - Prob. 14.65ACICh. 14 - Prob. 14.66ACICh. 14 - Quarterly GOP values (contd). Refer to Exercise...Ch. 14 - Prob. 14.68ACICh. 14 - Prob. 14.69ACICh. 14 - Prob. 14.70ACICh. 14 - IBM stock prices. Refer to Example 14.1 (p. 14-5)...Ch. 14 - Prob. 14.72ACI
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