What is the probability that any random male in USA would share the same genotype as the murderer (the match probability)?

Human Anatomy & Physiology (11th Edition)
11th Edition
ISBN:9780134580999
Author:Elaine N. Marieb, Katja N. Hoehn
Publisher:Elaine N. Marieb, Katja N. Hoehn
Chapter1: The Human Body: An Orientation
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The following figure shows the FBI-style analysis of the genomic DNA of 10 people (1-10), and also of hair found at a crime scence left by the murderer [***]. This analysis involves the PCR amplification of SSR loci, each from a different (nonhomologus) chromosome. The PCR primers are for each SSR locus are labeled with a unique fluorescent molecule. Some bands are thicker because relatively more of the corresponding PCR product was obtained. The figure has dots aligned on both sides to help you find the crucial bands; it will help to use a straight-edge as a guide. The numbers at right are the total number of copies of the SSR locus among the population of 11 samples.

e. What is the probability that any random male in USA would share the same genotype as the murderer (the match probability)? Assume that all 11 DNA samples analyzed in the diagram are together representative of the USA population as a whole. Show what numbers you would multiply to do this calculation.

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