Essentials of Business Analytics (MindTap Course List)
Essentials of Business Analytics (MindTap Course List)
2nd Edition
ISBN: 9781305627734
Author: Jeffrey D. Camm, James J. Cochran, Michael J. Fry, Jeffrey W. Ohlmann, David R. Anderson
Publisher: Cengage Learning
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Chapter 8, Problem 15P

(a)

To determine

Draw the time-series plot for the commodity futures index for 10-week period and identify the pattern.

(b)

To determine

Calculate an exponential smoothing coefficient α that results in smaller MSE using trial or error method.

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The following table reports the percentage of stocks in a portfolio for nine quarters: a. Construct a time series plot. What type of pattern exists in the data?b. Use trial and error to find a value of the exponential smoothing coefficient a thatresults in a relatively small MSE.c. Using the exponential smoothing model you developed in part b, what is the forecastof the percentage of stocks in a typical portfolio for the second quarter of year 3?
Top of Form     a)Plot the monthly sales data. b)Forecast January sales using each of the following: i)Naive method. ii)A 3-month moving average. iii)A 6-month weighted average using .1, .1, .1, .2, .2, and .3, with the heaviest weights applied to the most recent months. iv)Exponential smoothing using an α = .3 and a September forecast of 18.
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Essentials of Business Analytics (MindTap Course List)

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