Each of 500 soldiers in an army company independently has a certain disease with probability 1 10 3 . This disease will show up in a blood test, and to facilitate matters, blood samples from all 500 soldiers are pooled and tested, a. What is the (approximate) probability that the blood test will be positive (that is, at least one person has the disease)? Suppose now that the blood test yields a positive result. b. What is the probability, under this circumstance, that more than one person has the disease? Now, suppose one of the 500 people is Jones, who knows that he has the disease. c. What does Jones think is the probability that more than one person has the disease? Because the pooled test was positive, the authorities have decided to test each individual separately. The first i -1 of these tests were negative, and the with one—which was on Jones—was positive. d. Given the preceding scenario, what is the probability, as a function of i, that any of the remaining people have the disease?
Each of 500 soldiers in an army company independently has a certain disease with probability 1 10 3 . This disease will show up in a blood test, and to facilitate matters, blood samples from all 500 soldiers are pooled and tested, a. What is the (approximate) probability that the blood test will be positive (that is, at least one person has the disease)? Suppose now that the blood test yields a positive result. b. What is the probability, under this circumstance, that more than one person has the disease? Now, suppose one of the 500 people is Jones, who knows that he has the disease. c. What does Jones think is the probability that more than one person has the disease? Because the pooled test was positive, the authorities have decided to test each individual separately. The first i -1 of these tests were negative, and the with one—which was on Jones—was positive. d. Given the preceding scenario, what is the probability, as a function of i, that any of the remaining people have the disease?
Solution Summary: The author calculates the probability that the blood test will be positive. Each of 500 soldiers in an army company has a certain disease with probability 1/103.
Each of 500 soldiers in an army company independently has a certain disease with probability
1
10
3
. This disease will show up in a blood test, and to facilitate matters, blood samples from all 500 soldiers are pooled and tested, a. What is the (approximate) probability that the blood test will be positive (that is, at least one person has the disease)? Suppose now that the blood test yields a positive result.
b. What is the probability, under this circumstance, that more than one person has the disease? Now, suppose one of the 500 people is Jones, who knows that he has the disease.
c. What does Jones think is the probability that more than one person has the disease? Because the pooled test was positive, the authorities have decided to test each individual separately. The first i -1 of these tests were negative, and the with one—which was on Jones—was positive.
d. Given the preceding scenario, what is the probability, as a function of i, that any of the remaining people have the disease?
Among a student group 54% use Google Chrome, 20% Internet Explorer, 10% Firefox, 5% Mozilla, and the rest use Safari. What is the probability that you need to pick 7 students to find 2 students using Google Chrome? Report answer to 3 decimals.
Samples of rejuvenated mitochondria are mutated (defective) with a probability 0.13. Find the probability that at most one sample is mutated in 10 samples. Report answer to 3 decimal places.
The same final exam of the astronomy course was given to two groups of students. The maximum number of points that a student can score is 100. The first group consisted of a random sample of 10 students who were taught by Professor A. Students from the first group obtained the following results:
87 88 91 88 86 92 81 93 73 99
The second group consisted of a random sample of 9 students who were taught by Professor B. Students from the second group obtained the following results:
74 74 79 97 67 88 86 83 78
Compute the mean squares of between-group variability, MSBET. Round your answer to two decimal places.
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