In some military courts, 9 judges are appointed. However, both the prosecution and the defense attorneys are entitled to a peremptory challenge of any judge, in which case that judge is removed from the case and is not replaced. A defendant is declared guilty if the majority of judges cast votes of guilty, and he or she is declared innocent otherwise. Suppose that when the defendant is, in fact, guilty, each judge will (independently) vote guilty with probability .7, whereas when the defendant is, in fact, innocent, this probability drops to .3. a. What is the probability that a guilty defendant is declared guilty when there are (i) 9, (ii) 8, and (iii) 7 judges? b. Repeat part (a) for an innocent defendant. c. If the prosecuting attorney does not exercise the right to a peremptory challenge of a judge, and if the defense is limited to at most two such challenges, how many challenges should the defense attorney make if he or she is 60 percent certain that the client is guilty?
In some military courts, 9 judges are appointed. However, both the prosecution and the defense attorneys are entitled to a peremptory challenge of any judge, in which case that judge is removed from the case and is not replaced. A defendant is declared guilty if the majority of judges cast votes of guilty, and he or she is declared innocent otherwise. Suppose that when the defendant is, in fact, guilty, each judge will (independently) vote guilty with probability .7, whereas when the defendant is, in fact, innocent, this probability drops to .3. a. What is the probability that a guilty defendant is declared guilty when there are (i) 9, (ii) 8, and (iii) 7 judges? b. Repeat part (a) for an innocent defendant. c. If the prosecuting attorney does not exercise the right to a peremptory challenge of a judge, and if the defense is limited to at most two such challenges, how many challenges should the defense attorney make if he or she is 60 percent certain that the client is guilty?
Solution Summary: The author analyzes the probability of a guilty defendant being declared guilty, and the value of the innocent defendant.
In some military courts, 9 judges are appointed. However, both the prosecution and the defense attorneys are entitled to a peremptory challenge of any judge, in which case that judge is removed from the case and is not replaced. A defendant is declared guilty if the majority of judges cast votes of guilty, and he or she is declared innocent otherwise. Suppose that when the defendant is, in fact, guilty, each judge will (independently) vote guilty with probability .7, whereas when the defendant is, in fact, innocent, this probability drops to .3.
a. What is the probability that a guilty defendant is declared guilty when there are (i) 9, (ii) 8, and (iii) 7 judges?
b. Repeat part (a) for an innocent defendant.
c. If the prosecuting attorney does not exercise the right to a peremptory challenge of a judge, and if the defense is limited to at most two such challenges, how many challenges should the defense attorney make if he or she is 60 percent certain that the client is guilty?
Q1. A group of five applicants for a pair of identical jobs consists of three men and two
women. The employer is to select two of the five applicants for the jobs. Let S
denote the set of all possible outcomes for the employer's selection. Let A denote
the subset of outcomes corresponding to the selection of two men and B the subset
corresponding to the selection of at least one woman. List the outcomes in A, B,
AUB, AN B, and An B. (Denote the different men and women by M₁, M2, M3
and W₁, W2, respectively.)
Q3 (8 points)
Q3. A survey classified a large number of adults according to whether they were diag-
nosed as needing eyeglasses to correct their reading vision and whether they use
eyeglasses when reading. The proportions falling into the four resulting categories
are given in the following table:
Use Eyeglasses for Reading
Needs glasses Yes
No
Yes
0.44
0.14
No
0.02
0.40
If a single adult is selected from the large group, find the probabilities of the events
defined below. The adult
(a) needs glasses.
(b) needs glasses but does not use them.
(c) uses glasses whether the glasses are needed or not.
4. (i) Let a discrete sample space be given by
N = {W1, W2, W3, W4},
and let a probability measure P on be given by
P(w1) = 0.2, P(w2) = 0.2, P(w3) = 0.5, P(wa) = 0.1.
Consider the random variables X1, X2 → R defined by
X₁(w1) = 1, X₁(w2) = 2,
X2(w1) = 2, X2 (w2) = 2,
Find the joint distribution of X1, X2.
(ii)
X1(W3) = 1, X₁(w4) = 1,
X2(W3) = 1, X2(w4) = 2.
[4 Marks]
Let Y, Z be random variables on a probability space (, F, P).
Let the random vector (Y, Z) take on values in the set [0, 1] x [0,2] and let the
joint distribution of Y, Z on [0, 1] x [0,2] be given by
1
dPy,z (y, z) ==(y²z+yz2) dy dz.
harks 12 Find the distribution Py of the random variable Y.
[8 Marks]
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