Elementary Statistics (Text Only)
2nd Edition
ISBN: 9780077836351
Author: Author
Publisher: McGraw Hill
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Chapter 4, Problem 14CS
To determine
To check which among the three models provides the best prediction of unemployment, the one using inflation in the same year, the one using the inflation in the previous year, or the one using the unemployment in the previous year.
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The November 24, 2001, issue of The Economist published economic data for 15
industrialized nations. Included were the percent changes in gross domestic product (GDP),
industrial production (IP), consumer prices (CP), and producer prices (PP) from Fall 2000
to Fall 2001, and the unemployment rate in Fall 2001 (UNEMP). An economist wants to
construct a model to predict GDP from the other variables. A fit of the model
GDP = , + P,IP + 0,UNEMP + f,CP + P,PP + €
yields the following output:
The regression equation is
GDP = 1.19 + 0.17 IP + 0.18 UNEMP + 0.18 CP – 0.18 PP
Predictor
Coef SE Coef
тР
Constant
1.18957 0.42180 2.82 0.018
IP
0.17326 0.041962 4.13 0.002
UNEMP
0.17918 0.045895 3.90 0.003
CP
0.17591 0.11365 1.55 0.153
PP
-0.18393 0.068808 -2.67 0.023
Predict the percent change in GDP for a country with IP = 0.5, UNEMP = 5.7, CP =
3.0, and PP = 4.1.
a.
b.
If two countries differ in unemployment rate by 1%, by how much would you predict
their percent changes in GDP to differ, other…
Baseball has always been a favorite pastime in America and is rife with statistics and theories. In a paper, researchers showed that major league players who have nicknames live an average of 2½ years longer than those without them (The Wall Street Journal, July 16, 2009). You do not believe in this result and decide to collect data on the lifespan of 30 baseball players along with a nickname variable that equals 1 if the player had a nickname and 0 otherwise. The data are shown in the accompanying table and are contained in the accompanying Excel file. (You may find it useful to reference the appropriate table: z table or t table)
Years
Nickname
Years
Nickname
Years
Nickname
74
1
61
0
68
1
62
1
64
0
68
0
67
1
70
0
64
1
73
1
71
1
67
1
49
1
69
1
64
0
62
0
56
0
63
1
56
0
68
1
68
1
63
0
70
1
68
1
80
1
79
1
74
0
65
1
67
0
64
0
Click here for the Excel Data File Let Samples 1 and 2 represent…
In 1970 the life expectancy in Norway was 70 years old, and in 1990 it was 80. Write a linearequation to model this situation and then use your model to predict how long people will livein 2020 if the trend continues. Why may you be skeptical (mathematically) of this prediction?
Chapter 4 Solutions
Elementary Statistics (Text Only)
Ch. 4.1 - In Exercises 9-12, fill in each blank with the...Ch. 4.1 - In Exercises 9-12, fill in each blank with the...Ch. 4.1 - In Exercises 9-12, fill in each blank with the...Ch. 4.1 - In Exercises 9-12, fill in each blank with the...Ch. 4.1 - Prob. 13ECh. 4.1 - Prob. 14ECh. 4.1 - In Exercises 13-16, determine whether the...Ch. 4.1 - In Exercises 13-16, determine whether the...Ch. 4.1 - In Exercises 17-20, compute the correlation...Ch. 4.1 - In Exercises 17-20, compute the correlation...
Ch. 4.1 - In Exercises 17-20, compute the correlation...Ch. 4.1 - In Exercises 17-20, compute the correlation...Ch. 4.1 - In Exercises 21-24, determine whether the...Ch. 4.1 - In Exercises 21-24, determine whether the...Ch. 4.1 - In Exercises 21-24, determine whether the...Ch. 4.1 - In Exercises 21-24, determine whether the...Ch. 4.1 - In Exercises 25-30, determine whether the...Ch. 4.1 - In Exercises 25-30, determine whether the...Ch. 4.1 - In Exercises 25-30, determine whether the...Ch. 4.1 - In Exercises 25-30, determine whether the...Ch. 4.1 - In Exercises 25-30, determine whether the...Ch. 4.1 - In Exercises 25-30, determine whether the...Ch. 4.1 - Price of eggs and milk: The following table...Ch. 4.1 - Government funding: The following table presents...Ch. 4.1 - Pass the ball: The NFL Scouting Combine is an...Ch. 4.1 - Carbon footprint: Carbon dioxide (co2) is produced...Ch. 4.1 - Prob. 35ECh. 4.1 - Prob. 36ECh. 4.1 - Blood pressure: A blood pressure measurement...Ch. 4.1 - Prob. 38ECh. 4.1 - Police and crime: In a survey of cities in the...Ch. 4.1 - Age and education: A survey of U.S. adults showed...Ch. 4.1 - Whats the correlation? In a sample of adults, the...Ch. 4.1 - Prob. 42ECh. 4.1 - Changing means and standard deviations: A small...Ch. 4.2 - In Exercises 5-7, fill in each blank with the...Ch. 4.2 - In Exercises 5-7, fill in each blank with the...Ch. 4.2 - In Exercises 5-7, fill in each blank with the...Ch. 4.2 - Prob. 8ECh. 4.2 - Prob. 9ECh. 4.2 - Prob. 10ECh. 4.2 - Prob. 11ECh. 4.2 - Prob. 12ECh. 4.2 - In Exercises 13-16, compute the least-squares...Ch. 4.2 - In Exercises 13-16, compute the least-squares...Ch. 4.2 - In Exercises 13-16, compute the least-squares...Ch. 4.2 - In Exercises 13-16, compute the least-squares...Ch. 4.2 - Compute the least-squares regression he for...Ch. 4.2 - Compute the least-squares regression he for...Ch. 4.2 - In a hypothetical study of the relationship...Ch. 4.2 - Assume in a study of educational level in years...Ch. 4.2 - Prices of egg and milk: The following table...Ch. 4.2 - Prob. 22ECh. 4.2 - Pass the ball: The NFL Scouting Combine is an...Ch. 4.2 - Carbon footprint: Carbon dioxide (CO2) is produced...Ch. 4.2 - Foot temperatures: Foot ulcers are a common...Ch. 4.2 - Mortgage payments: The following table presents...Ch. 4.2 - Blood pressure: A blood pressure measurement...Ch. 4.2 - Butterfly wings: Do larger butterflies live...Ch. 4.2 - Interpreting technology: The following display...Ch. 4.2 - Interpreting technology: The following display...Ch. 4.2 - Interpreting technology: The following MINITAB...Ch. 4.2 - Interpreting technology: The following MINITAB...Ch. 4.2 - Prob. 33ECh. 4.2 - Prob. 34ECh. 4.2 - Least-squares regression line for z-scores: The...Ch. 4.3 - In Exercises 5-10, fill in each blank with the...Ch. 4.3 - In Exercises 5-10, fill in each blank with the...Ch. 4.3 - In Exercises 5-10, fill in each blank with the...Ch. 4.3 - In Exercises 5-10, fill in each blank with the...Ch. 4.3 - In Exercises 5-10, fill in each blank with the...Ch. 4.3 - Prob. 10ECh. 4.3 - Prob. 11ECh. 4.3 - In Exercises 11-14, determine whether the...Ch. 4.3 - Prob. 13ECh. 4.3 - In Exercises 11-14, determine whether the...Ch. 4.3 - For the following data set: Compute the...Ch. 4.3 - For the following data set: Compute the...Ch. 4.3 - For the following data set: Compute the...Ch. 4.3 - For the following data set: Compute the...Ch. 4.3 - Prob. 19ECh. 4.3 - Prob. 20ECh. 4.3 - Prob. 21ECh. 4.3 - Prob. 22ECh. 4.3 - Prob. 23ECh. 4.3 - Prob. 24ECh. 4.3 - Mutant genes: In a study to determine whether the...Ch. 4.3 - Imports and exports: The following table presents...Ch. 4.3 - Energy consumption: The following table presents...Ch. 4.3 - Cost of health care: The following table presents...Ch. 4.3 - Prob. 29ECh. 4.3 - Broadway: The following table presents the average...Ch. 4.3 - Prob. 31ECh. 4.3 - Transforming a variable: The following table...Ch. 4.3 - Prob. 33ECh. 4.3 - Prob. 34ECh. 4 - Compute the correlation coefficient for the...Ch. 4 - The number of theaters showing the movie Monsters...Ch. 4 - Use the data in Exercise 2 to compute the...Ch. 4 - A scatterplot has a correlation of r=1. Describe...Ch. 4 - Prob. 5CQCh. 4 - The following table presents the average delay in...Ch. 4 - Use the least-squares regression line computed in...Ch. 4 - Use the least-squares regression line computed in...Ch. 4 - Prob. 9CQCh. 4 - A scatterplot has a least-squares regression line...Ch. 4 - Prob. 11CQCh. 4 - Prob. 12CQCh. 4 - A sample of students was studied to determine the...Ch. 4 - In a scatter-plot; the point (-2, 7) is...Ch. 4 - The correlation coefficient for a data set is...Ch. 4 - Prob. 1RECh. 4 - Prob. 2RECh. 4 - Hows your mileage? Weight (in tons) and fuel...Ch. 4 - Prob. 4RECh. 4 - Energy efficiency: A sample of 10 households was...Ch. 4 - Energy efficiency: Using the data in Exercise 5:...Ch. 4 - Prob. 7RECh. 4 - Prob. 8RECh. 4 - Prob. 9RECh. 4 - Prob. 10RECh. 4 - Baby weights: The average gestational age (time...Ch. 4 - Commute times: Every morning, Tania leaves for...Ch. 4 - Prob. 13RECh. 4 - Prob. 14RECh. 4 - Prob. 15RECh. 4 - Describe an example which two variables are...Ch. 4 - Two variables x and y have a positive association...Ch. 4 - Prob. 3WAICh. 4 - Prob. 4WAICh. 4 - Prob. 5WAICh. 4 - Prob. 6WAICh. 4 - Prob. 7WAICh. 4 - Prob. 8WAICh. 4 - Prob. 9WAICh. 4 - The following table, Reproduce from chapter...Ch. 4 - The following table, Reproduce from chapter...Ch. 4 - The following table. Reproduce from chapter...Ch. 4 - Prob. 4CSCh. 4 - Prob. 5CSCh. 4 - The relationship between inflation and...Ch. 4 - The relationship between inflation and...Ch. 4 - Relationship between inflation and unemployment is...Ch. 4 - Relationship between inflation and unemployment is...Ch. 4 - If we are going to use data from this year to...Ch. 4 - If we are going to use data from this year to...Ch. 4 - Prob. 12CSCh. 4 - Prob. 13CSCh. 4 - Prob. 14CSCh. 4 - Prob. 15CS
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