Thomas' Calculus and Linear Algebra and Its Applications Package for the Georgia Institute of Technology, 1/e
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Chapter 10.5, Problem 24E

Suppose that the weather in Charlotte is modeled using the Markov chain in Section 10.1, Exercise 24. If it rained yesterday and today, how many days on average will it take before there are two consecutive days with no rain?

24. Suppose that whether it rains in Charlotte tomorrow depends on the weather conditions for today and yesterday. Climate data from 20032 show that

  • If it rained yesterday and today, then it will rain tomorrow with probability .58.
  • If it rained yesterday but not today, then it will rain tomorrow with probability .29.
  • If it rained today but not yesterday, then it will rain tomorrow with probability .47.
  • If it did not rain yesterday or today, then it will rain tomorrow with probability .31.

Even though the weather depends on the last two days in this case, we can create a Markov chain model using the states

  1. 1. it rained yesterday and today
  2. 2. it rained yesterday but not today
  3. 3. it rained today but not yesterday
  4. 4. it did not rain yesterday or today

So, for example, the probability of a transition from state 1 to state 1 is .58, and the transition from state 1 to state 3 is 0.

  1. a. Complete the creation of the transition matrix for this Markov chain.
  2. b. If it rains on Tuesday and is clear on Wednesday, what is the probability of no rain on the next weekend?
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Chapter 10 Solutions

Thomas' Calculus and Linear Algebra and Its Applications Package for the Georgia Institute of Technology, 1/e

Ch. 10.1 - Consider a pair of Ehrenfest urns labeled A and B....Ch. 10.1 - Consider a pair of Ehrenfest urns labeled A and B....Ch. 10.1 - Consider an unbiased random walk on the set...Ch. 10.1 - Consider a biased random walk on the set {1,2,3,4}...Ch. 10.1 - In Exercises 13 and 14, find the transition matrix...Ch. 10.1 - In Exercises 13 and 14, find the transition matrix...Ch. 10.1 - In Exercises 15 and 16, find the transition matrix...Ch. 10.1 - In Exercises 15 and 16, find the transition matrix...Ch. 10.1 - The mouse is placed in room 2 of the maze shown...Ch. 10.1 - The mouse is placed in room 3 of the maze shown...Ch. 10.1 - Prob. 19ECh. 10.1 - In Exercises 19 and 20, suppose a mouse wanders...Ch. 10.1 - Prob. 21ECh. 10.1 - In Exercises 21 and 22, mark each statement True...Ch. 10.1 - The weather in Charlotte, North Carolina, can be...Ch. 10.1 - Suppose that whether it rains in Charlotte...Ch. 10.1 - Prob. 25ECh. 10.1 - Consider a set of five webpages hyperlinked by the...Ch. 10.1 - Consider a model for signal transmission in which...Ch. 10.1 - Consider a model for signal transmission in which...Ch. 10.1 - Prob. 29ECh. 10.1 - Another model for diffusion is called the...Ch. 10.1 - To win a game in tennis, one player must score...Ch. 10.1 - Volleyball uses two different scoring systems in...Ch. 10.1 - Prob. 33ECh. 10.2 - Consider the Markov chain on {1, 2, 3} with...Ch. 10.2 - In Exercises 1 and 2, consider a Markov chain on...Ch. 10.2 - Prob. 2ECh. 10.2 - In Exercises 3 and 4, consider a Markov chain on...Ch. 10.2 - Prob. 4ECh. 10.2 - Prob. 5ECh. 10.2 - In Exercises 5 and 6, find the matrix to which Pn...Ch. 10.2 - In Exercises 7 and 8, determine whether the given...Ch. 10.2 - Prob. 8ECh. 10.2 - Consider a pair of Ehrenfest urns with a total of...Ch. 10.2 - Consider a pair of Ehrenfest urns with a total of...Ch. 10.2 - Consider an unbiased random walk with reflecting...Ch. 10.2 - Consider a biased random walk with reflecting...Ch. 10.2 - Prob. 13ECh. 10.2 - In Exercises 13 and 14, consider a simple random...Ch. 10.2 - In Exercises 15 and 16, consider a simple random...Ch. 10.2 - In Exercises 15 and 16, consider a simple random...Ch. 10.2 - Prob. 17ECh. 10.2 - Prob. 18ECh. 10.2 - Prob. 19ECh. 10.2 - Consider the mouse in the following maze, which...Ch. 10.2 - In Exercises 21 and 22, mark each statement True...Ch. 10.2 - In Exercises 21 and 22, mark each statement True...Ch. 10.2 - Prob. 23ECh. 10.2 - Suppose that the weather in Charlotte is modeled...Ch. 10.2 - In Exercises 25 and 26, consider a set of webpages...Ch. 10.2 - In Exercises 25 and 26, consider a set of webpages...Ch. 10.2 - Prob. 27ECh. 10.2 - Consider beginning with an individual of known...Ch. 10.2 - Prob. 29ECh. 10.2 - Consider the Bernoulli-Laplace diffusion model...Ch. 10.2 - Prob. 31ECh. 10.2 - Prob. 32ECh. 10.2 - Prob. 33ECh. 10.2 - Let 0 p, q 1, and define P = [p1q1pq] a. Show...Ch. 10.2 - Let 0 p, q 1, and define P = [pq1pqq1pqp1pqpq]...Ch. 10.2 - Let A be an m m stochastic matrix, let x be in m...Ch. 10.2 - Prob. 37ECh. 10.2 - Consider a simple random walk on a finite...Ch. 10.2 - Prob. 39ECh. 10.3 - Consider the Markov chain on {1, 2, 3, 4} with...Ch. 10.3 - Prob. 1ECh. 10.3 - In Exercises 16, consider a Markov chain with...Ch. 10.3 - Prob. 3ECh. 10.3 - Prob. 4ECh. 10.3 - Prob. 5ECh. 10.3 - Prob. 6ECh. 10.3 - Consider the mouse in the following maze from...Ch. 10.3 - Prob. 8ECh. 10.3 - Prob. 9ECh. 10.3 - Prob. 10ECh. 10.3 - Prob. 11ECh. 10.3 - Consider an unbiased random walk with absorbing...Ch. 10.3 - In Exercises 13 and 14, consider a simple random...Ch. 10.3 - Prob. 14ECh. 10.3 - In Exercises 15 and 16, consider a simple random...Ch. 10.3 - In Exercises 15 and 16, consider a simple random...Ch. 10.3 - Consider the mouse in the following maze from...Ch. 10.3 - Consider the mouse in the following maze from...Ch. 10.3 - Prob. 19ECh. 10.3 - In Exercises 19 and 20, consider the mouse in the...Ch. 10.3 - Prob. 21ECh. 10.3 - Prob. 22ECh. 10.3 - Suppose that the weather in Charlotte is modeled...Ch. 10.3 - Prob. 24ECh. 10.3 - The following set of webpages hyperlinked by the...Ch. 10.3 - The following set of webpages hyperlinked by the...Ch. 10.3 - Prob. 27ECh. 10.3 - Prob. 28ECh. 10.3 - Prob. 29ECh. 10.3 - Prob. 30ECh. 10.3 - Prob. 31ECh. 10.3 - Prob. 32ECh. 10.3 - Prob. 33ECh. 10.3 - In Exercises 33 and 34, consider the Markov chain...Ch. 10.3 - Prob. 35ECh. 10.3 - Prob. 36ECh. 10.4 - Consider the Markov chain on {1, 2, 3, 4} with...Ch. 10.4 - In Exercises 1-6, consider a Markov chain with...Ch. 10.4 - In Exercises 1-6, consider a Markov chain with...Ch. 10.4 - In Exercises 1-6, consider a Markov chain with...Ch. 10.4 - In Exercises 1-6, consider a Markov chain with...Ch. 10.4 - In Exercises 1-6, consider a Markov chain with...Ch. 10.4 - In Exercises 1-6, consider a Markov chain with...Ch. 10.4 - In Exercises 7-10, consider a simple random walk...Ch. 10.4 - In Exercises 7-10, consider a simple random walk...Ch. 10.4 - In Exercises 7-10, consider a simple random walk...Ch. 10.4 - In Exercises 7-10: consider a simple random walk...Ch. 10.4 - Reorder the states in the Markov chain in Exercise...Ch. 10.4 - Reorder the states in the Markov chain in Exercise...Ch. 10.4 - Reorder the states in the Markov chain in Exercise...Ch. 10.4 - Prob. 14ECh. 10.4 - Prob. 15ECh. 10.4 - Prob. 16ECh. 10.4 - Find the transition matrix for the Markov chain in...Ch. 10.4 - Find the transition matrix for the Markov chain in...Ch. 10.4 - Consider the mouse in the following maze from...Ch. 10.4 - Consider the mouse in the following maze from...Ch. 10.4 - In Exercises 21-22, mark each statement True or...Ch. 10.4 - In Exercises 21-22, mark each statement True or...Ch. 10.4 - Confirm Theorem 5 for the Markov chain in Exercise...Ch. 10.4 - Prob. 24ECh. 10.4 - Consider the Markov chain on {1, 2, 3} with...Ch. 10.4 - Follow the plan of Exercise 25 to confirm Theorem...Ch. 10.4 - Prob. 27ECh. 10.4 - Prob. 28ECh. 10.4 - Prob. 29ECh. 10.5 - Prob. 1PPCh. 10.5 - Consider a Markov chain on {1, 2, 3, 4} with...Ch. 10.5 - Prob. 1ECh. 10.5 - Prob. 2ECh. 10.5 - In Exercises 13, find the fundamental matrix of...Ch. 10.5 - Prob. 4ECh. 10.5 - Prob. 5ECh. 10.5 - Prob. 6ECh. 10.5 - Prob. 7ECh. 10.5 - Prob. 8ECh. 10.5 - Prob. 9ECh. 10.5 - Prob. 10ECh. 10.5 - Prob. 11ECh. 10.5 - Prob. 12ECh. 10.5 - Consider a simple random walk on the following...Ch. 10.5 - Consider a simple random walk on the following...Ch. 10.5 - Prob. 15ECh. 10.5 - Prob. 16ECh. 10.5 - Prob. 17ECh. 10.5 - Prob. 18ECh. 10.5 - Prob. 19ECh. 10.5 - Consider the mouse in the following maze from...Ch. 10.5 - In Exercises 21 and 22, mark each statement True...Ch. 10.5 - Prob. 22ECh. 10.5 - Suppose that the weather in Charlotte is modeled...Ch. 10.5 - Suppose that the weather in Charlotte is modeled...Ch. 10.5 - Consider a set of webpages hyperlinked by the...Ch. 10.5 - Consider a set of webpages hyperlinked by the...Ch. 10.5 - Exercises 27-30 concern the Markov chain model for...Ch. 10.5 - Exercises 27-30 concern the Markov chain model for...Ch. 10.5 - Exercises 27-30 concern the Markov chain model for...Ch. 10.5 - Exercises 27-30 concern the Markov chain model for...Ch. 10.5 - Exercises 31-36 concern the two Markov chain...Ch. 10.5 - Exercises 31-36 concern the two Markov chain...Ch. 10.5 - Exercises 31-36 concern the two Markov chain...Ch. 10.5 - Prob. 34ECh. 10.5 - Prob. 35ECh. 10.5 - Prob. 36ECh. 10.5 - Consider a Markov chain on {1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6} with...Ch. 10.5 - Consider a Markov chain on {1,2,3,4,5,6} with...Ch. 10.5 - Prob. 39ECh. 10.6 - Let A be the matrix just before Example 1. Explain...Ch. 10.6 - Prob. 2PPCh. 10.6 - Prob. 1ECh. 10.6 - Prob. 2ECh. 10.6 - Prob. 3ECh. 10.6 - Prob. 4ECh. 10.6 - Prob. 5ECh. 10.6 - Prob. 6ECh. 10.6 - Major League batting statistics for the 2006...Ch. 10.6 - Prob. 8ECh. 10.6 - Prob. 9ECh. 10.6 - Prob. 10ECh. 10.6 - Prob. 11ECh. 10.6 - Prob. 12ECh. 10.6 - Prob. 14ECh. 10.6 - Prob. 15ECh. 10.6 - Prob. 16ECh. 10.6 - Prob. 17ECh. 10.6 - In the previous exercise, let p be the probability...
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