Thomas' Calculus and Linear Algebra and Its Applications Package for the Georgia Institute of Technology, 1/e
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Chapter 10.5, Problem 23E

Suppose that the weather in Charlotte is modeled using the Markov chain in Section 10.1, Exercise 23. If it is sunny today, what is the probability that the weather will be cloudy before it is rainy?

23. The weather in Charlotte, North Carolina, can be classified as sunny, cloudy, or rainy on a given day. Climate data from 20032 reveal that

  • If a day is sunny, then the next day will be sunny with probability .65, cloudy with probability .1, and rainy with probability .25.
  • If a day is cloudy, then the next day will be sunny with probability .25, cloudy with probability .25, and rainy with probability .5.
  • If a day is rainy, then the next day will be sunny with probability .25, cloudy with probability .15, and rainy with probability .60.

Suppose it is cloudy on Monday. Use a Markov chain to find the probabilities of the different kinds of weather on Friday.

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Chapter 10 Solutions

Thomas' Calculus and Linear Algebra and Its Applications Package for the Georgia Institute of Technology, 1/e

Ch. 10.1 - Consider a pair of Ehrenfest urns labeled A and B....Ch. 10.1 - Consider a pair of Ehrenfest urns labeled A and B....Ch. 10.1 - Consider an unbiased random walk on the set...Ch. 10.1 - Consider a biased random walk on the set {1,2,3,4}...Ch. 10.1 - In Exercises 13 and 14, find the transition matrix...Ch. 10.1 - In Exercises 13 and 14, find the transition matrix...Ch. 10.1 - In Exercises 15 and 16, find the transition matrix...Ch. 10.1 - In Exercises 15 and 16, find the transition matrix...Ch. 10.1 - The mouse is placed in room 2 of the maze shown...Ch. 10.1 - The mouse is placed in room 3 of the maze shown...Ch. 10.1 - Prob. 19ECh. 10.1 - In Exercises 19 and 20, suppose a mouse wanders...Ch. 10.1 - Prob. 21ECh. 10.1 - In Exercises 21 and 22, mark each statement True...Ch. 10.1 - The weather in Charlotte, North Carolina, can be...Ch. 10.1 - Suppose that whether it rains in Charlotte...Ch. 10.1 - Prob. 25ECh. 10.1 - Consider a set of five webpages hyperlinked by the...Ch. 10.1 - Consider a model for signal transmission in which...Ch. 10.1 - Consider a model for signal transmission in which...Ch. 10.1 - Prob. 29ECh. 10.1 - Another model for diffusion is called the...Ch. 10.1 - To win a game in tennis, one player must score...Ch. 10.1 - Volleyball uses two different scoring systems in...Ch. 10.1 - Prob. 33ECh. 10.2 - Consider the Markov chain on {1, 2, 3} with...Ch. 10.2 - In Exercises 1 and 2, consider a Markov chain on...Ch. 10.2 - Prob. 2ECh. 10.2 - In Exercises 3 and 4, consider a Markov chain on...Ch. 10.2 - Prob. 4ECh. 10.2 - Prob. 5ECh. 10.2 - In Exercises 5 and 6, find the matrix to which Pn...Ch. 10.2 - In Exercises 7 and 8, determine whether the given...Ch. 10.2 - Prob. 8ECh. 10.2 - Consider a pair of Ehrenfest urns with a total of...Ch. 10.2 - Consider a pair of Ehrenfest urns with a total of...Ch. 10.2 - Consider an unbiased random walk with reflecting...Ch. 10.2 - Consider a biased random walk with reflecting...Ch. 10.2 - Prob. 13ECh. 10.2 - In Exercises 13 and 14, consider a simple random...Ch. 10.2 - In Exercises 15 and 16, consider a simple random...Ch. 10.2 - In Exercises 15 and 16, consider a simple random...Ch. 10.2 - Prob. 17ECh. 10.2 - Prob. 18ECh. 10.2 - Prob. 19ECh. 10.2 - Consider the mouse in the following maze, which...Ch. 10.2 - In Exercises 21 and 22, mark each statement True...Ch. 10.2 - In Exercises 21 and 22, mark each statement True...Ch. 10.2 - Prob. 23ECh. 10.2 - Suppose that the weather in Charlotte is modeled...Ch. 10.2 - In Exercises 25 and 26, consider a set of webpages...Ch. 10.2 - In Exercises 25 and 26, consider a set of webpages...Ch. 10.2 - Prob. 27ECh. 10.2 - Consider beginning with an individual of known...Ch. 10.2 - Prob. 29ECh. 10.2 - Consider the Bernoulli-Laplace diffusion model...Ch. 10.2 - Prob. 31ECh. 10.2 - Prob. 32ECh. 10.2 - Prob. 33ECh. 10.2 - Let 0 p, q 1, and define P = [p1q1pq] a. Show...Ch. 10.2 - Let 0 p, q 1, and define P = [pq1pqq1pqp1pqpq]...Ch. 10.2 - Let A be an m m stochastic matrix, let x be in m...Ch. 10.2 - Prob. 37ECh. 10.2 - Consider a simple random walk on a finite...Ch. 10.2 - Prob. 39ECh. 10.3 - Consider the Markov chain on {1, 2, 3, 4} with...Ch. 10.3 - Prob. 1ECh. 10.3 - In Exercises 16, consider a Markov chain with...Ch. 10.3 - Prob. 3ECh. 10.3 - Prob. 4ECh. 10.3 - Prob. 5ECh. 10.3 - Prob. 6ECh. 10.3 - Consider the mouse in the following maze from...Ch. 10.3 - Prob. 8ECh. 10.3 - Prob. 9ECh. 10.3 - Prob. 10ECh. 10.3 - Prob. 11ECh. 10.3 - Consider an unbiased random walk with absorbing...Ch. 10.3 - In Exercises 13 and 14, consider a simple random...Ch. 10.3 - Prob. 14ECh. 10.3 - In Exercises 15 and 16, consider a simple random...Ch. 10.3 - In Exercises 15 and 16, consider a simple random...Ch. 10.3 - Consider the mouse in the following maze from...Ch. 10.3 - Consider the mouse in the following maze from...Ch. 10.3 - Prob. 19ECh. 10.3 - In Exercises 19 and 20, consider the mouse in the...Ch. 10.3 - Prob. 21ECh. 10.3 - Prob. 22ECh. 10.3 - Suppose that the weather in Charlotte is modeled...Ch. 10.3 - Prob. 24ECh. 10.3 - The following set of webpages hyperlinked by the...Ch. 10.3 - The following set of webpages hyperlinked by the...Ch. 10.3 - Prob. 27ECh. 10.3 - Prob. 28ECh. 10.3 - Prob. 29ECh. 10.3 - Prob. 30ECh. 10.3 - Prob. 31ECh. 10.3 - Prob. 32ECh. 10.3 - Prob. 33ECh. 10.3 - In Exercises 33 and 34, consider the Markov chain...Ch. 10.3 - Prob. 35ECh. 10.3 - Prob. 36ECh. 10.4 - Consider the Markov chain on {1, 2, 3, 4} with...Ch. 10.4 - In Exercises 1-6, consider a Markov chain with...Ch. 10.4 - In Exercises 1-6, consider a Markov chain with...Ch. 10.4 - In Exercises 1-6, consider a Markov chain with...Ch. 10.4 - In Exercises 1-6, consider a Markov chain with...Ch. 10.4 - In Exercises 1-6, consider a Markov chain with...Ch. 10.4 - In Exercises 1-6, consider a Markov chain with...Ch. 10.4 - In Exercises 7-10, consider a simple random walk...Ch. 10.4 - In Exercises 7-10, consider a simple random walk...Ch. 10.4 - In Exercises 7-10, consider a simple random walk...Ch. 10.4 - In Exercises 7-10: consider a simple random walk...Ch. 10.4 - Reorder the states in the Markov chain in Exercise...Ch. 10.4 - Reorder the states in the Markov chain in Exercise...Ch. 10.4 - Reorder the states in the Markov chain in Exercise...Ch. 10.4 - Prob. 14ECh. 10.4 - Prob. 15ECh. 10.4 - Prob. 16ECh. 10.4 - Find the transition matrix for the Markov chain in...Ch. 10.4 - Find the transition matrix for the Markov chain in...Ch. 10.4 - Consider the mouse in the following maze from...Ch. 10.4 - Consider the mouse in the following maze from...Ch. 10.4 - In Exercises 21-22, mark each statement True or...Ch. 10.4 - In Exercises 21-22, mark each statement True or...Ch. 10.4 - Confirm Theorem 5 for the Markov chain in Exercise...Ch. 10.4 - Prob. 24ECh. 10.4 - Consider the Markov chain on {1, 2, 3} with...Ch. 10.4 - Follow the plan of Exercise 25 to confirm Theorem...Ch. 10.4 - Prob. 27ECh. 10.4 - Prob. 28ECh. 10.4 - Prob. 29ECh. 10.5 - Prob. 1PPCh. 10.5 - Consider a Markov chain on {1, 2, 3, 4} with...Ch. 10.5 - Prob. 1ECh. 10.5 - Prob. 2ECh. 10.5 - In Exercises 13, find the fundamental matrix of...Ch. 10.5 - Prob. 4ECh. 10.5 - Prob. 5ECh. 10.5 - Prob. 6ECh. 10.5 - Prob. 7ECh. 10.5 - Prob. 8ECh. 10.5 - Prob. 9ECh. 10.5 - Prob. 10ECh. 10.5 - Prob. 11ECh. 10.5 - Prob. 12ECh. 10.5 - Consider a simple random walk on the following...Ch. 10.5 - Consider a simple random walk on the following...Ch. 10.5 - Prob. 15ECh. 10.5 - Prob. 16ECh. 10.5 - Prob. 17ECh. 10.5 - Prob. 18ECh. 10.5 - Prob. 19ECh. 10.5 - Consider the mouse in the following maze from...Ch. 10.5 - In Exercises 21 and 22, mark each statement True...Ch. 10.5 - Prob. 22ECh. 10.5 - Suppose that the weather in Charlotte is modeled...Ch. 10.5 - Suppose that the weather in Charlotte is modeled...Ch. 10.5 - Consider a set of webpages hyperlinked by the...Ch. 10.5 - Consider a set of webpages hyperlinked by the...Ch. 10.5 - Exercises 27-30 concern the Markov chain model for...Ch. 10.5 - Exercises 27-30 concern the Markov chain model for...Ch. 10.5 - Exercises 27-30 concern the Markov chain model for...Ch. 10.5 - Exercises 27-30 concern the Markov chain model for...Ch. 10.5 - Exercises 31-36 concern the two Markov chain...Ch. 10.5 - Exercises 31-36 concern the two Markov chain...Ch. 10.5 - Exercises 31-36 concern the two Markov chain...Ch. 10.5 - Prob. 34ECh. 10.5 - Prob. 35ECh. 10.5 - Prob. 36ECh. 10.5 - Consider a Markov chain on {1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6} with...Ch. 10.5 - Consider a Markov chain on {1,2,3,4,5,6} with...Ch. 10.5 - Prob. 39ECh. 10.6 - Let A be the matrix just before Example 1. Explain...Ch. 10.6 - Prob. 2PPCh. 10.6 - Prob. 1ECh. 10.6 - Prob. 2ECh. 10.6 - Prob. 3ECh. 10.6 - Prob. 4ECh. 10.6 - Prob. 5ECh. 10.6 - Prob. 6ECh. 10.6 - Major League batting statistics for the 2006...Ch. 10.6 - Prob. 8ECh. 10.6 - Prob. 9ECh. 10.6 - Prob. 10ECh. 10.6 - Prob. 11ECh. 10.6 - Prob. 12ECh. 10.6 - Prob. 14ECh. 10.6 - Prob. 15ECh. 10.6 - Prob. 16ECh. 10.6 - Prob. 17ECh. 10.6 - In the previous exercise, let p be the probability...
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