Light demand moderate demand  heavy demand  Probability  0.25 0.45 0.3 Tire type       A $325000 $190000 $170000 B $300000 $420000 $400000 C -$400000 $240000 $800000 A what decision should the firm make if the maximax criterion is used. B. what decision should the firm make if the maximin criterion is used. C. what decision should the firm make if  LaPlace criterion is used. D. Construct a decision tree to help the management of big wheel distributor make the appropriate decisions. This tree must be constructed in logical order with labels and net payoffs E. Given the probabilities of the three types of tires and the expected monetary values, what decision should be made and what is that optimal expected value F. What is the most should the firm be willing to pay to obtain further (perfect) information (EVPI) concerning the demand for the tires

Practical Management Science
6th Edition
ISBN:9781337406659
Author:WINSTON, Wayne L.
Publisher:WINSTON, Wayne L.
Chapter9: Decision Making Under Uncertainty
Section: Chapter Questions
Problem 30P
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Light demand moderate demand  heavy demand 
Probability  0.25 0.45 0.3
Tire type      
A $325000 $190000 $170000
B $300000 $420000 $400000
C -$400000 $240000

$800000

A what decision should the firm make if the maximax criterion is used.

B. what decision should the firm make if the maximin criterion is used.

C. what decision should the firm make if  LaPlace criterion is used.

D. Construct a decision tree to help the management of big wheel distributor make the appropriate decisions. This tree must be constructed in logical order with labels and net payoffs

E. Given the probabilities of the three types of tires and the expected monetary values, what decision should be made and what is that optimal expected value

F. What is the most should the firm be willing to pay to obtain further (perfect) information (EVPI) concerning the demand for the tires

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