In some military courts, 9 judges are appointed. However, both the prosecution and the defense attorneys are entitled to a peremptory challenge of any judge, in which case that judge is removed from the case and is not replaced. A defendant is declared guilty if the majority of judges cast votes of guilty, and he or she is declared innocent otherwise. Suppose that when the defendant is, in fact, guilty, each judge will (independently) vote guilty with probability .7, whereas when the defendant is, in fact, innocent, this probability drops to .3. a. What is the probability that a guilty defendant is declared guilty when there are (i) 9, (ii) 8, and (iii) 7 judges? b. Repeat part (a) for an innocent defendant. c. If the prosecuting attorney does not exercise the right to a peremptory challenge of a judge, and if the defense is limited to at most two such challenges, how many challenges should the defense attorney make if he or she is 60 percent certain that the client is guilty?
In some military courts, 9 judges are appointed. However, both the prosecution and the defense attorneys are entitled to a peremptory challenge of any judge, in which case that judge is removed from the case and is not replaced. A defendant is declared guilty if the majority of judges cast votes of guilty, and he or she is declared innocent otherwise. Suppose that when the defendant is, in fact, guilty, each judge will (independently) vote guilty with probability .7, whereas when the defendant is, in fact, innocent, this probability drops to .3. a. What is the probability that a guilty defendant is declared guilty when there are (i) 9, (ii) 8, and (iii) 7 judges? b. Repeat part (a) for an innocent defendant. c. If the prosecuting attorney does not exercise the right to a peremptory challenge of a judge, and if the defense is limited to at most two such challenges, how many challenges should the defense attorney make if he or she is 60 percent certain that the client is guilty?
Solution Summary: The author analyzes the probability of a guilty defendant being declared guilty, and the value of the innocent defendant.
In some military courts, 9 judges are appointed. However, both the prosecution and the defense attorneys are entitled to a peremptory challenge of any judge, in which case that judge is removed from the case and is not replaced. A defendant is declared guilty if the majority of judges cast votes of guilty, and he or she is declared innocent otherwise. Suppose that when the defendant is, in fact, guilty, each judge will (independently) vote guilty with probability .7, whereas when the defendant is, in fact, innocent, this probability drops to .3.
a. What is the probability that a guilty defendant is declared guilty when there are (i) 9, (ii) 8, and (iii) 7 judges?
b. Repeat part (a) for an innocent defendant.
c. If the prosecuting attorney does not exercise the right to a peremptory challenge of a judge, and if the defense is limited to at most two such challenges, how many challenges should the defense attorney make if he or she is 60 percent certain that the client is guilty?
2) Suppose we select two values x and y independently from the uniform distribution on
[0,1]. What is the probability that xy
1
2
100 identical balls are rolling along a straight line. They all have speed equal to v, but some of them might move in opposite directions. When two of them collide they immediately switch their direction and keep the speed v. What is the maximum number of collisions that can happen?
Let f(w) be a function of vector w Є RN, i.e. f(w) = 1+e Determine the first derivative and matrix of second derivatives off with respect to w.
Let A Є RN*N be a symmetric, positive definite matrix and bЄ RN a vector. If x ER, evaluate the integral Z(A,b) = e¯xAx+bx dx as a function of A and b.
John throws a fair die with faces labelled 1 to 6. ⚫ He gains 10 points if the die shows 1. ⚫ He gains 1 point if the die shows 2 or 4. • No points are allocated otherwise. Let X be the random variable describing John's gain at each throw. Determine the variance of X.
Female
Male
Totals
Less than High School
Diploma
0.077
0.110
0.187
High School Diploma
0.154
0.201
0.355
Some College/University
0.141
0.129
0.270
College/University Graduate
0.092
0.096
0.188
Totals
0.464
0.536
1.000
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