Three prisoners are informed by their jailer that one of them has been chosen at random to be executed and the other two are to be freed Prisoner A asks the jailer to tell him privately which of his fellow prisoners will be set free, claiming that there would be no harm in divulging this information because he already knows that at east one of the two will go free. The jailer refuses to answer the question, pointing out that If A knew which of his fellow prisoners were to be set free, then his own probability of being executed would rise from 1 3 to 1 2 because he would then be one of two prisoners. What do you think of the jailer’s reasoning?
Three prisoners are informed by their jailer that one of them has been chosen at random to be executed and the other two are to be freed Prisoner A asks the jailer to tell him privately which of his fellow prisoners will be set free, claiming that there would be no harm in divulging this information because he already knows that at east one of the two will go free. The jailer refuses to answer the question, pointing out that If A knew which of his fellow prisoners were to be set free, then his own probability of being executed would rise from 1 3 to 1 2 because he would then be one of two prisoners. What do you think of the jailer’s reasoning?
Solution Summary: The author explains the Jailor reasoning. If A is to die, he could be told either B or C are to be freed, each with probability 1/2.
Three prisoners are informed by their jailer that one of them has been chosen at random to be executed and the other two are to be freed Prisoner A asks the jailer to tell him privately which of his fellow prisoners will be set free, claiming that there would be no harm in divulging this information because he already knows that at east one of the two will go free. The jailer refuses to answer the question, pointing out that If A knew which of his fellow prisoners were to be set free, then his own probability of being executed would rise from
1
3
to
1
2
because he would then be one of two prisoners. What do you think of the jailer’s reasoning?
Answer questions 8.3.3 and 8.3.4 respectively
8.3.4 .WP An article in Medicine and Science in Sports and
Exercise [“Electrostimulation Training Effects on the Physical Performance of Ice Hockey Players” (2005, Vol. 37, pp.
455–460)] considered the use of electromyostimulation (EMS) as
a method to train healthy skeletal muscle. EMS sessions consisted of 30 contractions (4-second duration, 85 Hz) and were carried
out three times per week for 3 weeks on 17 ice hockey players.
The 10-meter skating performance test showed a standard deviation of 0.09 seconds. Construct a 95% confidence interval of the
standard deviation of the skating performance test.
8.6.7 Consider the tire-testing data in Exercise 8.2.3. Compute a 95% tolerance interval on the life of the tires that has confidence level 95%. Compare the length of the tolerance interval with the length of the 95% CI on the population mean. Which interval is shorter? Discuss the difference in interpretation of these two intervals.
8.6.2 Consider the natural frequency of beams described in
Exercise 8.2.8. Compute a 90% prediction interval on the
diameter of the natural frequency of the next beam of this type
that will be tested. Compare the length of the prediction interval
with the length of the 90% CI on the population mean.
8.6.3 Consider the television tube brightness test described in
Exercise 8.2.7. Compute a 99% prediction interval on the brightness of the next tube tested. Compare the length of the prediction
interval with the length of the 99% CI on the population mean.
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