Ms. Aquina has just had a biopsy on a possibly cancerous tumor. Not wanting to spoil a weekend family event , she does not want to hear any bad news in the next few days. But if she tells the doctor to call only if the news is good, then if the doctor does not call, Ms. Aquina can conclude that the news is bad. So, being a student of probability . Ms. Aquina instructs the doctor to flip a coin. If it comes up heads, the doctor is to call if the news is good and not call if the news is bad, if the coin comes up tails, the doctor is not to call, in this way, even if the doctor doesn’t call, the news is not necessarily bad. Let be the probability that the tumor is cancerous: let be the conditional probability that the tumor is cancerous given that the doctor does not call. a. Which should be larger, α or β b. Find β in terms of α , and prove your answer in part (a).
Ms. Aquina has just had a biopsy on a possibly cancerous tumor. Not wanting to spoil a weekend family event , she does not want to hear any bad news in the next few days. But if she tells the doctor to call only if the news is good, then if the doctor does not call, Ms. Aquina can conclude that the news is bad. So, being a student of probability . Ms. Aquina instructs the doctor to flip a coin. If it comes up heads, the doctor is to call if the news is good and not call if the news is bad, if the coin comes up tails, the doctor is not to call, in this way, even if the doctor doesn’t call, the news is not necessarily bad. Let be the probability that the tumor is cancerous: let be the conditional probability that the tumor is cancerous given that the doctor does not call. a. Which should be larger, α or β b. Find β in terms of α , and prove your answer in part (a).
Solution Summary: The author explains how the larger beta is the conditional probability that the tumor is cancerous.
Ms. Aquina has just had a biopsy on a possibly cancerous tumor. Not wanting to spoil a weekend family event, she does not want to hear any bad news in the next few days. But if she tells the doctor to call only if the news is good, then if the doctor does not call, Ms. Aquina can conclude that the news is bad. So, being a student of probability. Ms. Aquina instructs the doctor to flip a coin. If it comes up heads, the doctor is to call if the news is good and not call if the news is bad, if the coin comes up tails, the doctor is not to call, in this way, even if the doctor doesn’t call, the news is not necessarily bad. Let be the probability that the tumor is cancerous: let be the conditional probability that the tumor is cancerous given that the doctor does not call.
a. Which should be larger,
α
or
β
b. Find
β
in terms of
α
, and prove your answer in part (a).
Problem: The probability density function of a random variable is given by the exponential
distribution
Find the probability that
f(x) = {0.55e-0.55 x 0 < x, O elsewhere}
a. the time to observe a particle is more than 200 microseconds.
b. the time to observe a particle is less than 10 microseconds.
Unknown to a medical researcher, 7 out of 24 patients have a heart problem that will result in death if they receive the test drug. 5 patients are randomly selected to receive the drug and the rest receive a placebo. What is the probability that less than 4 patients will die? Express as a fraction or a decimal number rounded to four decimal places.
Was wanting to check if my calculations were correct
Suppose 52% of the population has a college degree.
If a random sample of size 808 is selected, what is the probability that the proportion of persons with a college degree will be less than 54%?
Round to four decimal places.
after following the formula I got 0.8724
Need a deep-dive on the concept behind this application? Look no further. Learn more about this topic, probability and related others by exploring similar questions and additional content below.
Discrete Distributions: Binomial, Poisson and Hypergeometric | Statistics for Data Science; Author: Dr. Bharatendra Rai;https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=lHhyy4JMigg;License: Standard Youtube License