Ms. Aquina has just had a biopsy on a possibly cancerous tumor. Not wanting to spoil a weekend family event , she does not want to hear any bad news in the next few days. But if she tells the doctor to call only if the news is good, then if the doctor does not call, Ms. Aquina can conclude that the news is bad. So, being a student of probability . Ms. Aquina instructs the doctor to flip a coin. If it comes up heads, the doctor is to call if the news is good and not call if the news is bad, if the coin comes up tails, the doctor is not to call, in this way, even if the doctor doesn’t call, the news is not necessarily bad. Let be the probability that the tumor is cancerous: let be the conditional probability that the tumor is cancerous given that the doctor does not call. a. Which should be larger, α or β b. Find β in terms of α , and prove your answer in part (a).
Ms. Aquina has just had a biopsy on a possibly cancerous tumor. Not wanting to spoil a weekend family event , she does not want to hear any bad news in the next few days. But if she tells the doctor to call only if the news is good, then if the doctor does not call, Ms. Aquina can conclude that the news is bad. So, being a student of probability . Ms. Aquina instructs the doctor to flip a coin. If it comes up heads, the doctor is to call if the news is good and not call if the news is bad, if the coin comes up tails, the doctor is not to call, in this way, even if the doctor doesn’t call, the news is not necessarily bad. Let be the probability that the tumor is cancerous: let be the conditional probability that the tumor is cancerous given that the doctor does not call. a. Which should be larger, α or β b. Find β in terms of α , and prove your answer in part (a).
Solution Summary: The author explains how the larger beta is the conditional probability that the tumor is cancerous.
Ms. Aquina has just had a biopsy on a possibly cancerous tumor. Not wanting to spoil a weekend family event, she does not want to hear any bad news in the next few days. But if she tells the doctor to call only if the news is good, then if the doctor does not call, Ms. Aquina can conclude that the news is bad. So, being a student of probability. Ms. Aquina instructs the doctor to flip a coin. If it comes up heads, the doctor is to call if the news is good and not call if the news is bad, if the coin comes up tails, the doctor is not to call, in this way, even if the doctor doesn’t call, the news is not necessarily bad. Let be the probability that the tumor is cancerous: let be the conditional probability that the tumor is cancerous given that the doctor does not call.
a. Which should be larger,
α
or
β
b. Find
β
in terms of
α
, and prove your answer in part (a).
Q1. A group of five applicants for a pair of identical jobs consists of three men and two
women. The employer is to select two of the five applicants for the jobs. Let S
denote the set of all possible outcomes for the employer's selection. Let A denote
the subset of outcomes corresponding to the selection of two men and B the subset
corresponding to the selection of at least one woman. List the outcomes in A, B,
AUB, AN B, and An B. (Denote the different men and women by M₁, M2, M3
and W₁, W2, respectively.)
Q3 (8 points)
Q3. A survey classified a large number of adults according to whether they were diag-
nosed as needing eyeglasses to correct their reading vision and whether they use
eyeglasses when reading. The proportions falling into the four resulting categories
are given in the following table:
Use Eyeglasses for Reading
Needs glasses Yes
No
Yes
0.44
0.14
No
0.02
0.40
If a single adult is selected from the large group, find the probabilities of the events
defined below. The adult
(a) needs glasses.
(b) needs glasses but does not use them.
(c) uses glasses whether the glasses are needed or not.
4. (i) Let a discrete sample space be given by
N = {W1, W2, W3, W4},
and let a probability measure P on be given by
P(w1) = 0.2, P(w2) = 0.2, P(w3) = 0.5, P(wa) = 0.1.
Consider the random variables X1, X2 → R defined by
X₁(w1) = 1, X₁(w2) = 2,
X2(w1) = 2, X2 (w2) = 2,
Find the joint distribution of X1, X2.
(ii)
X1(W3) = 1, X₁(w4) = 1,
X2(W3) = 1, X2(w4) = 2.
[4 Marks]
Let Y, Z be random variables on a probability space (, F, P).
Let the random vector (Y, Z) take on values in the set [0, 1] x [0,2] and let the
joint distribution of Y, Z on [0, 1] x [0,2] be given by
1
dPy,z (y, z) ==(y²z+yz2) dy dz.
harks 12 Find the distribution Py of the random variable Y.
[8 Marks]
Need a deep-dive on the concept behind this application? Look no further. Learn more about this topic, probability and related others by exploring similar questions and additional content below.
Discrete Distributions: Binomial, Poisson and Hypergeometric | Statistics for Data Science; Author: Dr. Bharatendra Rai;https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=lHhyy4JMigg;License: Standard Youtube License