A First Course in Probability
9th Edition
ISBN: 9780321794772
Author: Sheldon Ross
Publisher: PEARSON
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Textbook Question
Chapter 3, Problem 3.12P
A recent college graduate is planning to take the first three actuarial examinations in the coming summer. She will take the first actuarial exam in June. If she passes that exam, then she will take the second exam in july, and if she also passes that one, then she will take the third exam in September. If she tails an exam, then she is not allowed to take any others. The
a. What is the probability that she passes all three exams?
b. Given that she did not pass all three exams, what is the conditional probability that she tailed the second exam?
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Chapter 3 Solutions
A First Course in Probability
Ch. 3 - Two fair dice are rolled. What is the conditional...Ch. 3 - If two fair dice are rolled, what is the...Ch. 3 - Use Equation (2.1) to compute in a hand of bridge...Ch. 3 - What is the probability that at least one of a...Ch. 3 - An urn contains 6 white and 9 black balls. If 4...Ch. 3 - Consider an urn containing 12 balls, of which 8...Ch. 3 - The king comes from a family of 2 children. What...Ch. 3 - A couple has 2 children. What is the probability...Ch. 3 - Consider 3 urns. Urn A contains 2 white and 4 red...Ch. 3 - Three cards are randomly selected, without...
Ch. 3 - Two cards are randomly chosen without replacement...Ch. 3 - A recent college graduate is planning to take the...Ch. 3 - Suppose that an ordinary deck of 52 cards (which...Ch. 3 - An urn initially contains 5 white and 7 black...Ch. 3 - An ectopic pregnancy is twice as likely to develop...Ch. 3 - Ninety-eight percent of all babies survive...Ch. 3 - In a certain community, 36 percent of the families...Ch. 3 - A total of 46 percent of the voters in a certain...Ch. 3 - A total of 4.8 percent of the women and 37 percent...Ch. 3 - Fifty-two percent of the students at a certain...Ch. 3 - A total of 500 married working couples were polled...Ch. 3 - A red die, a blue die, and a yellow die (all six...Ch. 3 - Urn I contains 2 white and 4 red balls, whereas...Ch. 3 - Each of 2 balls is painted either black or gold...Ch. 3 - The following method was proposed to estimate the...Ch. 3 - Suppose that 5 percent of men and 0.25 percent of...Ch. 3 - All the workers at a certain company drive to work...Ch. 3 - Suppose that an ordinary deck of 52 cards is...Ch. 3 - There are 15 tennis balls in a box, of which 9...Ch. 3 - Consider two boxes, one containing 1 black and 1...Ch. 3 - Ms. Aquina has just had a biopsy on a possibly...Ch. 3 - A family has j children with probability pj, where...Ch. 3 - On rainy days, Joe is late to work with...Ch. 3 - In Example 31, suppose that the new evidence is...Ch. 3 - With probability .6, the present was hidden by...Ch. 3 - Stores A, B, and C have 50, 75, and 100 employees,...Ch. 3 - a. A gambler has a fair coin and a two-headed coin...Ch. 3 - Urn A has 5 white and 7 black balls. Urn B has 3...Ch. 3 - In Example 3a, what is the probability that...Ch. 3 - Consider a sample of size 3 drawn in the following...Ch. 3 - A deck of cards is shuffled and then divided into...Ch. 3 - Twelve percent of all U.S. households are In...Ch. 3 - There are 3 coins in a box. One is a two-headed...Ch. 3 - Three prisoners are informed by their jailer that...Ch. 3 - Suppose we have 10 coins such that if the ith coin...Ch. 3 - Prob. 3.46PCh. 3 - Prob. 3.47PCh. 3 - Each of 2 cabinets identical n appearance has 2...Ch. 3 - Prostate cancer is the most common type of cancer...Ch. 3 - Suppose that an insurance company classifies...Ch. 3 - A worker has asked her supervisor for a letter of...Ch. 3 - A high school student is anxiously waiting to...Ch. 3 - A parallel system functions whenever at least one...Ch. 3 - If you had to construct a mathematical model for...Ch. 3 - In a class, there are 4 first-year boys, 6...Ch. 3 - Suppose that you continually collect coupons and...Ch. 3 - A simplified model for the movement of the price...Ch. 3 - Suppose that we want to generate the outcome of...Ch. 3 - Independent flips of a coin that lands on heads...Ch. 3 - The color of a persons eyes is determined by a...Ch. 3 - Genes relating to albinism are denoted by A and a....Ch. 3 - Barbara and Dianne go target shooting Suppose that...Ch. 3 - A and B are involved in a duel. The rules of the...Ch. 3 - A true - false question is to be posed to a...Ch. 3 - Assume, as in Example 3h, that 64 percent of twins...Ch. 3 - The probability of the closing of the ith relay in...Ch. 3 - An engineering system consisting of n components...Ch. 3 - In Problem 3.70a, find the conditional probability...Ch. 3 - A certain organism possesses a pair of each of 5...Ch. 3 - There is a 50—50 chance that the queen carries...Ch. 3 - On the morning of September 30, 1982, the...Ch. 3 - A town council of 7 members contains a steering...Ch. 3 - Suppose that each child born to a couple is...Ch. 3 - A and B alternate rolling a pair of dice, stopping...Ch. 3 - In a certain village, it is traditional for the...Ch. 3 - Prob. 3.76PCh. 3 - Consider an unending sequence of independent...Ch. 3 - A and B play a series of games. Each game is...Ch. 3 - In successive rolls of a pair of fair dice, what...Ch. 3 - In a certain contest, the players are of equal...Ch. 3 - An investor owns shares in a stock whose present...Ch. 3 - A and B flip coins. A starts and continues...Ch. 3 - Die A has 4 red and 2 white faces, whereas die B...Ch. 3 - An urn contains 12 balls, of which 4 are white....Ch. 3 - Repeat Problem 3.87 when each of the 3 players...Ch. 3 - Let S={1,2,...,n} and suppose that A and B are,...Ch. 3 - Consider Example 2a, but now suppose that when the...Ch. 3 - In Example 5, what is the conditional probability...Ch. 3 - In Laplace s rule of succession (Example 5e ), are...Ch. 3 - A person tried by a 3-judge panel is declared...Ch. 3 - Suppose that n independent trials, each of which...Ch. 3 - Show that if P(A)0, then P(ABA)P(ABAB)Ch. 3 - Prob. 3.2TECh. 3 - Consider a school community of m families, with ni...Ch. 3 - A ball is in any one of n boxes and is in the ith...Ch. 3 - a. Prove that if E and F are mutually exclusive,...Ch. 3 - Prove that if E1,E2,...,En are independent events,...Ch. 3 - a. An urn contains n white and m black balls. The...Ch. 3 - Let A, B, and C, be events relating to the...Ch. 3 - Consider two independent tosses of a fair coin....Ch. 3 - Two percent of women age 45 who participate in...Ch. 3 - In each of n independent tosses of a coin, the...Ch. 3 - Show that 0ai1,i=1,2,..., then...Ch. 3 - The probability of getting a head on a single toss...Ch. 3 - Suppose that you are gambling against an...Ch. 3 - Independent trials that result in a success with...Ch. 3 - Prob. 3.16TECh. 3 - Prob. 3.17TECh. 3 - Let Q. denote the probability that no run of 3...Ch. 3 - Consider the gamblers ruin problem, with the...Ch. 3 - Prob. 3.20TECh. 3 - The Ballot Problem. In an election, candidate A...Ch. 3 - As a simplified model for weather forecasting,...Ch. 3 - A bag contains a white and b black balls. Balls...Ch. 3 - A round-robin tournament of n contestants is a...Ch. 3 - Prove directly thatP(EF)=P(EFG)P(GF)+P(EFGC)P(GCF)Ch. 3 - Prove the equivalence of Equations (5.11) and...Ch. 3 - Prob. 3.27TECh. 3 - Prove or give a counterexample, if E1 and E2 are...Ch. 3 - In Laplaces rule of succession (Example 5e ), show...Ch. 3 - In Laplaces rule of succession (Example 5e),...Ch. 3 - Prob. 3.31TECh. 3 - In a game of bridge, West has no aces What is the...Ch. 3 - Prob. 3.2STPECh. 3 - How can 20 balls, 10 white and 10 black, be put...Ch. 3 - Prob. 3.4STPECh. 3 - An urn has r red and w white balls that are...Ch. 3 - An urn contains b black balls and r red balls. One...Ch. 3 - A friend randomly chooses two cards, without...Ch. 3 - Show that P(HE)P(GE)=P(H)P(G)P(EH)P(EG). Suppose...Ch. 3 - You ask your neighbor to water a sickly plant...Ch. 3 - Six balls are to be randomly chosen from an urn...Ch. 3 - A type C battery is in working condition with...Ch. 3 - Prob. 3.12STPECh. 3 - Balls are randomly removed from an urn that...Ch. 3 - A coin having probability .8 of landing on heads...Ch. 3 - In a certain species of rats, black dominates over...Ch. 3 - a. In Problem 3.70b, find the probability that a...Ch. 3 - For the k-out-of-n system described in Problem...Ch. 3 - Prob. 3.18STPECh. 3 - Prob. 3.19STPECh. 3 - Suppose that there are n possible outcomes of a...Ch. 3 - If A flips vand B flips n fair coins, show that...Ch. 3 - Prove or give counterexamples to the following...Ch. 3 - Let A and B be events having positive probability....Ch. 3 - Rank the following from most likely to least...Ch. 3 - Two local factories, A and B, produce radios. 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Need a deep-dive on the concept behind this application? Look no further. Learn more about this topic, probability and related others by exploring similar questions and additional content below.Similar questions
- 8.6.2 Consider the natural frequency of beams described in Exercise 8.2.8. Compute a 90% prediction interval on the diameter of the natural frequency of the next beam of this type that will be tested. Compare the length of the prediction interval with the length of the 90% CI on the population mean. 8.6.3 Consider the television tube brightness test described in Exercise 8.2.7. Compute a 99% prediction interval on the brightness of the next tube tested. Compare the length of the prediction interval with the length of the 99% CI on the population mean.arrow_forwardAnswer question S8 stepwisearrow_forwardAnswer questions 8.2.11 and 8.2.12 respectivelyarrow_forward
- 8.4.2 An article in Knee Surgery, Sports Traumatology, Arthroscopy [“Arthroscopic Meniscal Repair with an Absorbable Screw: Results and Surgical Technique” (2005, Vol. 13, pp. 273–279)] showed that only 25 out of 37 tears (67.6%) located between 3 and 6 mm from the meniscus rim were healed. a. Calculate a two-sided 95% confidence interval on the proportion of such tears that will heal. b. Calculate a 95% lower confidence bound on the proportion of such tears that will heal. 8.4.3 An article in the Journal of the American Statistical Association [“Illustration of Bayesian Inference in Normal Data Models Using Gibbs Sampling” (1990, Vol. 85, pp. 972–985)] measured the weight of 30 rats under experiment controls. Suppose that 12 were underweight rats. a. Calculate a 95% two-sided confidence interval on the true proportion of rats that would show underweight from the experiment. b. Using the point estimate of p obtained from the preliminary sample, what sample size is needed to be 95%…arrow_forward8.4.8 Use the data from Exercise 8.4.2 to compute the two-sided Agresti-Coull CI on the proportion of tears that heal. Compare and discuss the relationship of this interval to the one computed in Exercise 8.4.2.arrow_forwardAnswer questions 8.3.7 and 8.4.1 respectivelyarrow_forward
- 8.4.7 Use the data from Exercise 8.4.5 to compute the two-sided Agresti-Coull CI on the proportion of digits read correctly. Compare and discuss the relationship of this interval to the one computed in Exercise 8.4.5.arrow_forward8.6.5 Consider the fuel rod enrichment data described in Exercise 8.2.11. Compute a 90% prediction interval on the enrichment of the next rod tested. Compare the length of the prediction interval with the length of the 99% CI on the population mean.arrow_forward8.4.4 The Arizona Department of Transportation wishes to survey state residents to determine what proportion of the population would like to increase statewide highway speed limits from 65 mph to 75 mph. How many residents does the department need to survey if it wants to be at least 99% confident that the sample proportion is within 0.05 of the true proportion? 8.4.5 The U.S. Postal Service (USPS) has used optical character recognition (OCR) since the mid-1960s. In 1983, USPS began deploying the technology to major post offices throughout the country (www.britannica.com). Suppose that in a random sample of 500 handwritten zip code digits, 466 were read correctly. a. Construct a 95% confidence interval for the true proportion of correct digits that can be automatically read. b. What sample size is needed to reduce the margin of error to 1%? c. How would the answer to part (b) change if you had to assume that the machine read only one-half of the digits correctly?arrow_forward
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