Elementary Statistics
12th Edition
ISBN: 9780321836960
Author: Mario F. Triola
Publisher: PEARSON
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Chapter 10.3, Problem 30BSC
Large Data Sets. Exercises 29–32 use the same Appendix B data sets as Exercises 29–32 in Section 10-2. In each case, find the regression equation, letting the first variable be the predictor (x) variable. Find the indicated predicted values following the prediction procedure summarized in Figure 10-5.
30. Flight Delays Refer to Data Set 15 in Appendix B and use the departure delay times and the arrival delay times. Find the best predicted arrival delay time for a flight with no departure delay.
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Q. Table provided gives data on gross domestic product (GDP) for the United States for the years 1959–2005.
a. Plot the GDP data in current and constant (i.e., 2000) dollars against time.
b. Letting Y denote GDP and X time (measured chronologically starting with 1 for 1959, 2 for 1960, through 47 for 2005), see if the following model fits the GDP data:
Yt = β1 + β2 Xt + ut
Estimate this model for both current and constant-dollar GDP.
c. How would you interpret β2?
d. If there is a difference between β2 estimated for current-dollar GDP and that estimated for constant-dollar GDP, what explains the difference?
e. From your results what can you say about the nature of inflation in the United States over the sample period?
The November 24, 2001, issue of The Economist published economic data for 15
industrialized nations. Included were the percent changes in gross domestic product (GDP),
industrial production (IP), consumer prices (CP), and producer prices (PP) from Fall 2000
to Fall 2001, and the unemployment rate in Fall 2001 (UNEMP). An economist wants to
construct a model to predict GDP from the other variables. A fit of the model
GDP = , + P,IP + 0,UNEMP + f,CP + P,PP + €
yields the following output:
The regression equation is
GDP = 1.19 + 0.17 IP + 0.18 UNEMP + 0.18 CP – 0.18 PP
Predictor
Coef SE Coef
тР
Constant
1.18957 0.42180 2.82 0.018
IP
0.17326 0.041962 4.13 0.002
UNEMP
0.17918 0.045895 3.90 0.003
CP
0.17591 0.11365 1.55 0.153
PP
-0.18393 0.068808 -2.67 0.023
Predict the percent change in GDP for a country with IP = 0.5, UNEMP = 5.7, CP =
3.0, and PP = 4.1.
a.
b.
If two countries differ in unemployment rate by 1%, by how much would you predict
their percent changes in GDP to differ, other…
Making Predictions. In Exercises 5–8, let the predictor variable x be the first variable given. Use the given data to find the regression equation and the best predicted value of the response variable. Be sure to follow the prediction procedure summarized in Figure 10-5 on page 493. Use a 0.05 significance level.
Bear Measurements Head widths (in.) and weights (lb) were measured for 20 randomly selected bears (from Data Set 9 “Bear Measurements” in Appendix B). The 20 pairs of measurements yield x = 6.9 in., ȳ = 214.3 lb, r = 0.879, P -value = 0.000, and ŷ = −212 + 61.9x. Find the best predicted value of ŷ (weight) given a bear with a head width of 6.5 in.
Chapter 10 Solutions
Elementary Statistics
Ch. 10.2 - Notation For each of several randomly selected...Ch. 10.2 - Physics Experiment A physics experiment consists...Ch. 10.2 - Cause of High Blood Pressure Some studies have...Ch. 10.2 - Notation What is the difference between the...Ch. 10.2 - Interpreting r. In Exercises 5-8, use a...Ch. 10.2 - Interpreting r. In Exercises 5-8, use a...Ch. 10.2 - Interpreting r. In Exercises 5-8, use a...Ch. 10.2 - Cereal Killers The amounts of sugar (grams of...Ch. 10.2 - Explore! Exercises 9 and 10 provide two data sets...Ch. 10.2 - Explore! Exercises 9 and 10 provide two data sets...
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