Approximately how many cases of rotavirus gastroenteritis would be prevented over a 60 week period after giving 10,000 infants the vaccine, as opposed to not giving these 10,000 infants the vaccine? 1,800 6,000 500 3,300

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A 2017 article in The New England Journal of Medicine details the results of a randomized clinical trial designed to evaluate the efficacy of a rotavirus gastroenteritis vaccine designed for infants. As per the authors:

“Each year, rotavirus gastroenteritis is responsible for about 37% of deaths from diarrhea among children younger than 5 years of age worldwide, with a disproportionate effect in sub-Saharan Africa. We conducted a randomized, placebo-controlled trial in Niger to evaluate the efficacy of a live, oral bovine rotavirus pentavalent vaccine (BRV-PV, Serum Institute of India) to prevent severe rotavirus gastroenteritis. Healthy infants received three doses of the vaccine or placebo at 6, 10, and 14 weeks of age. Episodes of rotavirus gastroenteritis were assessed through active and passive surveillance.”

The following Kaplan-Meier curves show the time to a diagnosis of rotavirus gastroenteritis separately for the vaccine and placebo samples. Infants were followed for up to 60 weeks after receiving the third dose of the vaccine (or placebo), until they either developed rotavirus gastroenteritis or were censored (lost to follow-up, or still rotavirus gastroenteritis free after 60 weeks from randomization).

Approximately how many cases of rotavirus gastroenteritis would be prevented over a 60 week period after
giving 10,000 infants the vaccine, as opposed to not giving these 10,000 infants the vaccine?
1,800
6,000
500
3,300
Transcribed Image Text:Approximately how many cases of rotavirus gastroenteritis would be prevented over a 60 week period after giving 10,000 infants the vaccine, as opposed to not giving these 10,000 infants the vaccine? 1,800 6,000 500 3,300
100-
100-
80-
Vaccine
98-
60어
96-
Placebo
94-
40-
92-
90-
20-
10
20
30
40
50
60
10
20
30
40
50
60
Week
No. at Risk
2044
2012
1964
1767
1500
1326
1148
1326
Vaccine
Placebo
2047
1990
1916
1676
1429
662
The incidence rate ratio (and 95% confidence interval) of rotavirus gastroenteritis for the vaccine group compared to the
placebo group is 0.67 (0.55, 0.82)
Freedom from Severe Rotavirus
Gastroenteritis (%)
8-
Transcribed Image Text:100- 100- 80- Vaccine 98- 60어 96- Placebo 94- 40- 92- 90- 20- 10 20 30 40 50 60 10 20 30 40 50 60 Week No. at Risk 2044 2012 1964 1767 1500 1326 1148 1326 Vaccine Placebo 2047 1990 1916 1676 1429 662 The incidence rate ratio (and 95% confidence interval) of rotavirus gastroenteritis for the vaccine group compared to the placebo group is 0.67 (0.55, 0.82) Freedom from Severe Rotavirus Gastroenteritis (%) 8-
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