A company is facing three types of decisions for the purchasing of a seasonal product. The profit projection may depend on the demand level. The payoffs for the situations are given in the following table: Demand Decision High (s1) Medium (s2) Low (83) d1 60 60 50 d2 80 80 30 dz 100 70 10 1. If the prior probabilities are 0.3, 0.3, and 0.4, respectively, what is the recommended decision? Show all the calculations and answer with a decision tree.

Practical Management Science
6th Edition
ISBN:9781337406659
Author:WINSTON, Wayne L.
Publisher:WINSTON, Wayne L.
Chapter2: Introduction To Spreadsheet Modeling
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A company is facing three types of decisions for the purchasing of a seasonal product. The profit
projection may depend on the demand level. The payoffs for the situations are given in the following
table:
Demand
Decision
High (s1)
Medium (s2)
Low (83)
d1
60
60
50
d2
80
80
30
dz
100
70
10
1. If the prior probabilities are 0.3, 0.3, and 0.4, respectively, what is the recommended decision?
Show all the calculations and answer with a decision tree.
Transcribed Image Text:A company is facing three types of decisions for the purchasing of a seasonal product. The profit projection may depend on the demand level. The payoffs for the situations are given in the following table: Demand Decision High (s1) Medium (s2) Low (83) d1 60 60 50 d2 80 80 30 dz 100 70 10 1. If the prior probabilities are 0.3, 0.3, and 0.4, respectively, what is the recommended decision? Show all the calculations and answer with a decision tree.
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