Andrew Thomas, a sandwich vendor at hard rock café annual rockfest, created a table of conditional values for the various alternatives (stocking decision) and state of nature (size of crowd)

Practical Management Science
6th Edition
ISBN:9781337406659
Author:WINSTON, Wayne L.
Publisher:WINSTON, Wayne L.
Chapter2: Introduction To Spreadsheet Modeling
Section: Chapter Questions
Problem 20P: Julie James is opening a lemonade stand. She believes the fixed cost per week of running the stand...
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Andrew Thomas, a sandwich vendor at hard rock café annual rockfest, created a table of
conditional values for the various alternatives (stocking decision) and state of nature (size of crowd)
Alternatives
Large stock
average stock
small stock
probabilities associated with states of nature are
Big
Big
35000
20000
10500
0.3
State of nature (demand)
Average
Small
15000
10000
8000
Average
0.5
determine the alternative that gives Andrew the greatest expected monetary value (EMV)
compute the extpected value of perfect information (EVPI).
Small
-3000
5000
3000
0.2
Transcribed Image Text:Andrew Thomas, a sandwich vendor at hard rock café annual rockfest, created a table of conditional values for the various alternatives (stocking decision) and state of nature (size of crowd) Alternatives Large stock average stock small stock probabilities associated with states of nature are Big Big 35000 20000 10500 0.3 State of nature (demand) Average Small 15000 10000 8000 Average 0.5 determine the alternative that gives Andrew the greatest expected monetary value (EMV) compute the extpected value of perfect information (EVPI). Small -3000 5000 3000 0.2
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