Domestic Politics and War

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Polk State College *

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2022

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Political Science

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Oct 30, 2023

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pptx

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Domestic Politics and War – War Model Review 1. War Model Review There exists a bargain that both sides prefer to war. Incomplete information, credible commitments, issues indivisibility my prevent successful bargains. 2. Can domestic politics make war preferable? 3. Can domestic politics change the likelihood of successful bargaining?
Domestic Politics and War Unitary actor and national interest Nationalism Limits to unitary actor assumption Leaders, bureaucracies, and groups may have different interests from each other and public
Leaders and War Do leaders ever spark war to keep power at home? Rally effect and diversionary incentive How does the rally effect alter the bargaining range?
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Leaders and War – Rally Effects and the Bargaining Range
Leaders and War Rallies do seem to exist They tend to be short Support for leaders declines as wars go on and casualties rise
Leaders and War – U.S. Battle Deaths and Public Support for War
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Domestic Groups and War War may serve the interests of some domestic groups. Groups may have self-serving interests contrary to national interests. Types of groups: Military Economic groups Ethnic groups
Domestic Groups and War – Collective Action How can relatively small groups influence decisions to go to war? Collective action Smaller groups tend to be better organized. Larger groups suffer from free riding. Groups may shape policy to support their narrow interests.
Domestic Groups and War War to satisfy the military or interest groups Military may be more in favor of war (but this is complicated) Certain economic groups may gain private benefit from war (but others may not) Ethnic and ideological interest groups may have outsized interest in certain conflicts Costs fall on society as a whole; benefits may accrue a specific group
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Hawks and Doves Hawks favor war. Doves oppose war.
Hawks and Doves – Domestic Interests and International Bargaining
Institutions and War Are democracies less prone to go to war? Features of democracies The “Democratic Peace”
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Institutions and War Democratic institutions may discourage war. Forces consensus between elite and masses Leaders accountable Masses bear costs Promotes norms of negotiation
Institutions and War Monadic vs Dyadic Democratic Peace Democracies not more peaceful overall Democracies just don’t seem to fight each other Democracy and the bargaining range More information about democracies Audience costs and credible commitments Empirical evidence for democratic peace Is it causal?
Institutions and War – The Spread of Democracy, 1800-2016
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