8-disease transmission simulations (2)
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Disease transmission simulations
1.
For background information about disease transmission, please read this article and complete the items below:
https://www.washingtonpost.com/graphics/2020/world/corona-simulator/
Discuss one limitation of the simulations presented in this article. Considering the limitation you identified, discuss the utility of these simulations.
2.
Access a second simulation at: https://fred.publichealth.pitt.edu/measles
. Read all the info and then select a state and city of your choosing. From what this simulation presents, discuss why vaccination is important for protecting the population. Discuss whether you think the presented assumptions and limitations of this simulation affect its usefulness as an education tool? Be specific about the issue and the effect it has on the simulation results. 3.
Access a third and final simulation at: http://rocs.hu-berlin.de/D3/herd/
. Read the info on the left. Click the link for “basic reproduction number.” Do some googling to find this parameter for COVID-19. Set the Reproduction Number slider to this value for COVID-19 with respect to other diseases since the slider is relative (low -> high). With the Reproduction Number set to the best estimate for COVID, run the simulation and explore how things change as you tweak the vaccination rate. Define “basic reproduction number” –
Define “herd immunity” - Basic reproduction number for Covid-19 – What minimum vaccination rate did you identify to establish herd immunity? What is one limitation of this simulation?
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