Loose-leaf for Operations Management (The Mcgraw-hill Series in Operations and Decision Sciences)
12th Edition
ISBN: 9781259580093
Author: William J Stevenson
Publisher: McGraw-Hill Education
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Chapter 16, Problem 24P
Determine the minimum number of workers needed, and a
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By selecting Cigna Accredo pharmacy that i identify in my resand compare the current feedback system against the “Characteristics of a Good Multiple Source Feedback Systems” described in section 8-3-3. What can be improved? As a consultant, what recommendations would you make?
Scenario
You have been given a task to create a demand forecast for the second year of sales of a premium outdoor grill.
Accurate forecasts are important for many reasons, including for the company to ensure they have the materials
they need to create the products required in a certain period of time. Your objective is to minimize the forecast
error, which will be measured using the Mean Absolute Percentage Error (MAPE) with a goal of being below 25%.
You have historical monthly sales data for the past year and access to software that provides forecasts based on
five different forecasting techniques (Naïve, 3-Month Moving Average, Exponential Smoothing for .2, Exponential
Smooth for .5, and Seasonal) to help determine the best forecast for that particular month. Based on the given
data, you will identify trends and patterns to create a more accurate forecast.
Approach
Consider the previous month's forecast to identify which technique is most effective. Use that to forecast the next…
Approach
Consider the previous month's forecast to identify which technique is most effective. Use that to forecast the next
month.
Remember to select the forecasting technique that produces the forecast error nearest to zero. For example:
a. Naïve Forecast is 230 and the Forecast Error is -15.
b. 3-Month Moving Forecast is 290 and the Forecast Error is -75.
c. Exponential Smoothing Forecast for .2 is 308 and the Forecast Error is -93.
d. Exponential Smoothing Forecast for .5 is 279 and the Forecast Error is -64.
e. Seasonal Forecast is 297 and the Forecast Error is -82.
The forecast for the next month would be 230 as the Naïve Forecast had the Forecast Error closest to zero with a
-15. This forecasting technique was the best performing technique for that month. You do not need to do any
external analysis-the forecast error for each strategy is already calculated for you in the tables below.
Naïve
Month Period
Actual
Demand
Naïve Forecast
Error
3-
Month
Moving
Forecast
3-
Month
Moving…
Chapter 16 Solutions
Loose-leaf for Operations Management (The Mcgraw-hill Series in Operations and Decision Sciences)
Ch. 16 - Why is scheduling fairly simple for repetitive...Ch. 16 - Prob. 2DRQCh. 16 - What are Gantt charts? How are they used in...Ch. 16 - Prob. 4DRQCh. 16 - Briefly describe each of these priority rules: a....Ch. 16 - Why are priority rules needed?Ch. 16 - What problems not generally found in manufacturing...Ch. 16 - Explain forward and backward schedulings and each...Ch. 16 - Prob. 9DRQCh. 16 - Prob. 10DRQ
Ch. 16 - Prob. 11DRQCh. 16 - What general trade-offs are involved in sequencing...Ch. 16 - Prob. 2TSCh. 16 - Prob. 3TSCh. 16 - One approach that can be effective in reducing the...Ch. 16 - Doctors and dentists offices frequently schedule...Ch. 16 - Prob. 3CTECh. 16 - Use the assignment method to determine the best...Ch. 16 - Rework Problem 1, treating the numbers in the...Ch. 16 - Assign trucks to delivery routes so that total...Ch. 16 - Develop an assignment plan that will minimize...Ch. 16 - Use the assignment method to obtain a plan that...Ch. 16 - The following table contains information...Ch. 16 - Using the information presented in the following...Ch. 16 - The following table shows orders to be processed...Ch. 16 - A wholesale grocery distribution center uses a...Ch. 16 - The times required to complete each of eight jobs...Ch. 16 - Prob. 11PCh. 16 - A shoe repair operation uses a two-step sequence...Ch. 16 - The following schedule was prepared by the...Ch. 16 - The production manager must determine the...Ch. 16 - A foreman has determined processing times at a...Ch. 16 - Given the information in the following table,...Ch. 16 - Given the following information on job times and...Ch. 16 - Prob. 18PCh. 16 - The following table contains order-dependent setup...Ch. 16 - The following table contains order-dependent setup...Ch. 16 - Prob. 21PCh. 16 - Given this information on planned and actual...Ch. 16 - Given the following data on inputs and outputs at...Ch. 16 - Determine the minimum number of workers needed,...Ch. 16 - Determine the minimum number of workers needed,...Ch. 16 - Determine the minimum number of workers needed,...Ch. 16 - Prob. 1CQ
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