Loose-leaf for Operations Management (The Mcgraw-hill Series in Operations and Decision Sciences)
12th Edition
ISBN: 9781259580093
Author: William J Stevenson
Publisher: McGraw-Hill Education
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Textbook Question
Chapter 13, Problem 20P
Given this information:
Lead-time demand = 600 pounds
Standard deviation of lead time demand = 52 pounds (Assume normality.)
Acceptable stockout risk during lead time = 4 percent
a. What amount of safety stock is appropriate?
b. When should this item be reordered?
c. What risk of stockout would result from a decision not to have any safety stock?
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By selecting Cigna Accredo pharmacy that i identify in my resand compare the current feedback system against the “Characteristics of a Good Multiple Source Feedback Systems” described in section 8-3-3. What can be improved? As a consultant, what recommendations would you make?
Scenario
You have been given a task to create a demand forecast for the second year of sales of a premium outdoor grill.
Accurate forecasts are important for many reasons, including for the company to ensure they have the materials
they need to create the products required in a certain period of time. Your objective is to minimize the forecast
error, which will be measured using the Mean Absolute Percentage Error (MAPE) with a goal of being below 25%.
You have historical monthly sales data for the past year and access to software that provides forecasts based on
five different forecasting techniques (Naïve, 3-Month Moving Average, Exponential Smoothing for .2, Exponential
Smooth for .5, and Seasonal) to help determine the best forecast for that particular month. Based on the given
data, you will identify trends and patterns to create a more accurate forecast.
Approach
Consider the previous month's forecast to identify which technique is most effective. Use that to forecast the next…
Approach
Consider the previous month's forecast to identify which technique is most effective. Use that to forecast the next
month.
Remember to select the forecasting technique that produces the forecast error nearest to zero. For example:
a. Naïve Forecast is 230 and the Forecast Error is -15.
b. 3-Month Moving Forecast is 290 and the Forecast Error is -75.
c. Exponential Smoothing Forecast for .2 is 308 and the Forecast Error is -93.
d. Exponential Smoothing Forecast for .5 is 279 and the Forecast Error is -64.
e. Seasonal Forecast is 297 and the Forecast Error is -82.
The forecast for the next month would be 230 as the Naïve Forecast had the Forecast Error closest to zero with a
-15. This forecasting technique was the best performing technique for that month. You do not need to do any
external analysis-the forecast error for each strategy is already calculated for you in the tables below.
Naïve
Month Period
Actual
Demand
Naïve Forecast
Error
3-
Month
Moving
Forecast
3-
Month
Moving…
Chapter 13 Solutions
Loose-leaf for Operations Management (The Mcgraw-hill Series in Operations and Decision Sciences)
Ch. 13 - What are the primary reasons for holding...Ch. 13 - What are the requirements for effective inventory...Ch. 13 - Briefly describe each of the costs associated with...Ch. 13 - What potential benefits and risks do RFID tags...Ch. 13 - Prob. 5DRQCh. 13 - Prob. 6DRQCh. 13 - a. List the major assumptions of the EOQ model. b....Ch. 13 - Explain briefly how a higher carrying cost can...Ch. 13 - What is safety stock, and what is its purpose?Ch. 13 - Prob. 10DRQ
Ch. 13 - What is meant by the term service level? Generally...Ch. 13 - Describe briefly the A-B-C approach to inventory...Ch. 13 - The purchasing agent for a company that assembles...Ch. 13 - Explain how a decrease in setup time can lead to a...Ch. 13 - What is the single-period model, and under what...Ch. 13 - Can the optimal stocking level in the...Ch. 13 - Prob. 17DRQCh. 13 - What trade-offs are involved in each of these...Ch. 13 - Who needs to be involved in inventory decisions...Ch. 13 - How has technology aided inventory management? How...Ch. 13 - To be competitive, many fast-food chains began to...Ch. 13 - As a supermarket manager, how would you go about...Ch. 13 - Sam is at the post office to mail a package. After...Ch. 13 - Give two examples of unethical conduct involving...Ch. 13 - Prob. 1PCh. 13 - a. The following table contains figures on the...Ch. 13 - A bakery buys flours in 25-pound bags. The bakery...Ch. 13 - A large law firm uses an average of 40 boxes of...Ch. 13 - Garden Variety Flower Shop uses 750 clay pots a...Ch. 13 - A produce distributor uses 800 packing crates a...Ch. 13 - A manager receives a forecast for next year....Ch. 13 - A food processor uses approximately 27,000 glass...Ch. 13 - The Friendly Sausage Factory (FSF) can produce hot...Ch. 13 - A chemical firm produces sodium bisulfate in...Ch. 13 - A company is about to begin production of a new...Ch. 13 - Prob. 12PCh. 13 - A mail-order house uses 18,000 boxes a year....Ch. 13 - A jewelry firm buys semiprecious stones to make...Ch. 13 - A manufacturer of exercise equipment purchases the...Ch. 13 - A company will begin stocking remote control...Ch. 13 - A manager just received a new price list from a...Ch. 13 - A newspaper publisher uses roughly 800 feet of...Ch. 13 - Given this information: Expected demand during...Ch. 13 - Given this information: Lead-time demand = 600...Ch. 13 - Demand for walnut fudge ice cream at the Sweet...Ch. 13 - The injection molding department of a company uses...Ch. 13 - A company uses 85 circuit boards a day in a...Ch. 13 - One item a computer store sells is supplied by a...Ch. 13 - The manager of a car wash received a revised price...Ch. 13 - A small copy center uses five 500-sheet boxes of...Ch. 13 - Ned's Natural Foods sells unshelled peanuts by the...Ch. 13 - Regional Supermarket is open 360 days per year....Ch. 13 - A service station uses 1,200 cases of oil a year....Ch. 13 - Caring Hospital's dispensary reorders doses of a...Ch. 13 - A drugstore uses fixed-order cycles for many of...Ch. 13 - Prob. 32PCh. 13 - Prob. 33PCh. 13 - Demand for jelly doughnuts on Saturdays at Don's...Ch. 13 - A public utility intends to buy a turbine as part...Ch. 13 - Skinner's Fish Market buys fresh Boston bluefish...Ch. 13 - A small grocery store sells fresh produce, which...Ch. 13 - Demand for devil's food whipped-cream layer cake...Ch. 13 - Prob. 39PCh. 13 - Demand for rug-cleaning machines at Clyde's...Ch. 13 - A manager is going to purchase new processing...Ch. 13 - A Las Vegas supermarket bakery must decide how...Ch. 13 - Offwego Airlines has a daily flight from Chicago...Ch. 13 - UPD Manufacturing produces a range of health care...Ch. 13 - Prob. 1.2CQCh. 13 - Prob. 2.1CQCh. 13 - Grill Rite is an old-line company that started out...Ch. 13 - SARAH LUBBERS AND CHRIS RUSCHE, GRAND VALLEY STATE...Ch. 13 - SARAH LUBBERS AND CHRIS RUSCHE, GRAND VALLEY STATE...Ch. 13 - Prob. 4.3CQCh. 13 - SARAH LUBBERS AND CHRIS RUSCHE, GRAND VALLEY STATE...Ch. 13 - Prob. 4.5CQCh. 13 - Prob. 1OTQCh. 13 - Prob. 2OTQCh. 13 - Prob. 3OTQCh. 13 - Prob. 4OTQ
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