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Bleached again. Given the scenario in Mindscape 6, now suppose that 80% of blonde people are naturally blonde and that you are 50% accurate in your ability to correctly categorize fake hair color as fake and real hair color as real. What is the probability that Chris hair is fair and that your bleached beliefs were incorrect? Given these facts, should you pursue your relationship with Chris?
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The Heart of Mathematics: An Invitation to Effective Thinking
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