OPERATIONS MANAGEMENT IN THE SUPPLY CHAIN: DECISIONS & CASES (Mcgraw-hill Series Operations and Decision Sciences)
OPERATIONS MANAGEMENT IN THE SUPPLY CHAIN: DECISIONS & CASES (Mcgraw-hill Series Operations and Decision Sciences)
7th Edition
ISBN: 9780077835439
Author: Roger G Schroeder, M. Johnny Rungtusanatham, Susan Meyer Goldstein
Publisher: McGraw-Hill Education
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Chapter 10, Problem 12P

a)

Summary Introduction

To prepare: The forecast for the first 7 days and compare the MAD.

Introduction:

Exponential smoothing:

In the exponential smoothing forecast method, older data is given lesser importance and newer data is given more importance. It is efficient for making the short term forecasts.

b)

Summary Introduction

To prepare: The forecast for the last 7 days and compare the MAD.

Introduction:

Exponential smoothing:

In the exponential smoothing forecast method, older data is given lesser importance and newer data is given more importance. It is efficient for making the short term forecasts.

c)

Summary Introduction

To explain: What does the example illustrate.

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The following table shows predicted product demand using your particular forecasting method along with the actual demand that occurred: FORECAST ACTUAL 1,480 1,530 1,380 1,480 1,680 1,580 1,730 1,780 1,630 1,680 Compute the tracking signal using the mean absolute deviation and running sum of forecast errors. Note: Negative values should be indicated by a minus sign. Round your "Mean Absolute Deviation", "Tracking Signal" to 2 decimal places and all other answers to the nearest whole number. Period Forecast Actual Deviation RSFE Absolute Deviation Sum of Absolute MAD TS Deviation 1 1,480 1,530 -50 -50 50 50 50.00 -1.00 2 1,380 1,480 -100 -150 100 150 75.00 -2.00 3 1,680 1,580 100 -50 100 250 83.33 -0.60 4 1,730 1,630 100 50 100 350 87.50 0.57 5 1,780 1,680 100 150 100 450 90.00 1.67
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Chapter 10 Solutions

OPERATIONS MANAGEMENT IN THE SUPPLY CHAIN: DECISIONS & CASES (Mcgraw-hill Series Operations and Decision Sciences)

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