The following payoff table shows the profit for a decision problem with two states of nature and two decision alternatives. State of Nature Decision Alternative d₂ d₂ 5₁ 12 6 52 3 5 (a) Use graphical sensitivity analysis to determine the range of probabilities of state of nature s, for which each of the decision alternatives has the largest expected value. d: is optimal for p(s) ≤ 0.2857 d.is optimal for p(s) ≥ 0.2857 (b) Suppose P(s) = 0.2 and P(s₂)=0.8. What is the best decision using the expected value approach? The best decision is d: with an expected value of 5.2 (c) Perform sensitivity analysis on the payoffs for decision alternative d.. Assume the probabilities are as given in part (b), and find the range of payoffs under states of nature s, and s₂ that will keep the solution found in part (b) optimal. As long as the payoff for s, is --?-- , then d₂ will be optimal. As long as the payoff for s₂ is --?-- ,then d₂ will be optimal. Is the solution more sensitive to the payoff under state of nature s, or s₂? OS₂ O $₂
The following payoff table shows the profit for a decision problem with two states of nature and two decision alternatives. State of Nature Decision Alternative d₂ d₂ 5₁ 12 6 52 3 5 (a) Use graphical sensitivity analysis to determine the range of probabilities of state of nature s, for which each of the decision alternatives has the largest expected value. d: is optimal for p(s) ≤ 0.2857 d.is optimal for p(s) ≥ 0.2857 (b) Suppose P(s) = 0.2 and P(s₂)=0.8. What is the best decision using the expected value approach? The best decision is d: with an expected value of 5.2 (c) Perform sensitivity analysis on the payoffs for decision alternative d.. Assume the probabilities are as given in part (b), and find the range of payoffs under states of nature s, and s₂ that will keep the solution found in part (b) optimal. As long as the payoff for s, is --?-- , then d₂ will be optimal. As long as the payoff for s₂ is --?-- ,then d₂ will be optimal. Is the solution more sensitive to the payoff under state of nature s, or s₂? OS₂ O $₂
Practical Management Science
6th Edition
ISBN:9781337406659
Author:WINSTON, Wayne L.
Publisher:WINSTON, Wayne L.
Chapter2: Introduction To Spreadsheet Modeling
Section: Chapter Questions
Problem 20P: Julie James is opening a lemonade stand. She believes the fixed cost per week of running the stand...
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