Three decision makers have assessed utilities for the following decision problem (payoff in dollars). Decision Alternative 5₁ 5₂ 53 20 50 -20 d₁ d₂ The indifference probabilities are as follows. Payoff Decision Maker A Decision Maker B Decision Maker C 100 80 50 20 -20 -100 1.00 0.95 0.90 0.70 0.50 80 100 100 0.00 1.00 0.60 0.50 0.35 0.15 0.00 1.00 0.90 0.75 0.60 0.40 0.00 If P(S₁) = 0.25, P(S₂) = 0.50, and P(S3)0.25 and all decision makers assign a utility of 10 to the greatest payoff and a utility of 0 to the smallest payoff, find a recommended decision for each of the three decision makers. (Note: For the same decision problem, different utilities can lead to different decisions.) Decision Maker A should choose ?? Decision Maker B should choose ??. Decision Maker C should choose ??.

Practical Management Science
6th Edition
ISBN:9781337406659
Author:WINSTON, Wayne L.
Publisher:WINSTON, Wayne L.
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Three decision makers have assessed utilities for the following decision problem (payoff in dollars).
Decision Alternative
100
80
The indifference probabilities are as follows.
50
Payoff Decision Maker A
20
d₁
d₂
-20
-100
1.00
0.95
0.90
0.70
0.50
0.00
$1 $2
Decision Maker B should choose ??
20 50 -20
Decision Maker C should choose ??
$3
80 100 -100
Decision Maker B
1.00
0.60
0.50
0.35
0.15
0.00
Decision Maker C
1.00
0.90
0.75
0.60
0.40
If P(S₁) = 0.25, P(S₂) = 0.50, and P(S3)
= 0.25 and all decision makers assign a utility of 10 to the greatest payoff and a utility of 0 to the smallest payoff, find a recommended decision for each of the three decision makers. (Note: For the same decision
problem, different utilities can lead to different decisions.)
Decision Maker A should choose ?? ✓
0.00
Transcribed Image Text:Three decision makers have assessed utilities for the following decision problem (payoff in dollars). Decision Alternative 100 80 The indifference probabilities are as follows. 50 Payoff Decision Maker A 20 d₁ d₂ -20 -100 1.00 0.95 0.90 0.70 0.50 0.00 $1 $2 Decision Maker B should choose ?? 20 50 -20 Decision Maker C should choose ?? $3 80 100 -100 Decision Maker B 1.00 0.60 0.50 0.35 0.15 0.00 Decision Maker C 1.00 0.90 0.75 0.60 0.40 If P(S₁) = 0.25, P(S₂) = 0.50, and P(S3) = 0.25 and all decision makers assign a utility of 10 to the greatest payoff and a utility of 0 to the smallest payoff, find a recommended decision for each of the three decision makers. (Note: For the same decision problem, different utilities can lead to different decisions.) Decision Maker A should choose ?? ✓ 0.00
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