ABC Company, a soft-drink vendor, has created a table of costs for four stocking decisions for two different states of nature:**Table: Costs for Stocking Decisions**| Alternatives | States of Nature ||---------------|------------------|| | Low Demand | High Demand || **Large Stock** | $4080 | $6800 || **Medium Stock** | $3060 | $5440 || **Small Stock** | $5100 | $9520 |For the **Mini-Max decision making criterion**, the best decision is [Click to select](#).*Explanation:*- The table displays costs associated with different stocking levels (large, medium, and small) against potential demand scenarios (low and high).- The Mini-Max criterion is used to choose the decision with the smallest possible maximum regret or cost.- The interactive option for selection indicates user engagement in deciding the best stocking strategy based on the provided data.

Effective decision-making results from collecting valid and accurate information from the market…

Answered: ABC Company, a soft-drink vendor, has…

Practical Management Science

6th Edition

ISBN:9781337406659

Author:WINSTON, Wayne L.

Publisher:WINSTON, Wayne L.

Chapter2: Introduction To Spreadsheet Modeling

Section: Chapter Questions

Problem 20P: Julie James is opening a lemonade stand. She believes the fixed cost per week of running the stand...

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Using decision trees analysis and EMV, what should DMR do?
Andrew Thomas, a sandwich vendor at hard rock café annual rockfest, created a table of conditional values for the various alternatives (stocking decision) and state of nature (size of crowd) Alternatives Large stock average stock small stock probabilities associated with states of nature are Big Big 35000 20000 10500 0.3 State of nature (demand) Average Small 15000 10000 8000 Average 0.5 determine the alternative that gives Andrew the greatest expected monetary value (EMV) compute the extpected value of perfect information (EVPI). Small -3000 5000 3000 0.2
The Gorman Manufacturing Company must decide whether to manufacture a component part at its plant or purchase the component part from a supplier. The resulting profit is dependent upon the demand for the product. The following payoff table shows the projected profit (in ten thousand of pesos): state of nature state of nature state of nature Decision Alternative Low Demand S1 Medium DEmand S2 High demand S3 Manufacture, d1 -100 200 500 Purchase, d2 50 225 350 The state-of-nature probabilities are P(s1 ) = 0.35, P(s2 ) = 0.35, and P(s3) = 0.30. a. Use a decision tree to recommend a decision b. Use EVPI to determine whether XY Manufacturing Company should attempt to obtain a better estimate of demand. c. What is the probability that the market research report will be favorable? A test market study of the potential demand for the product is expected to report either a favorable (F) or unfavorable (U) condition. The relevant conditional probabilities are as follows: P…
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Question 2 An oil company must decide whether or not to drill an oil well in a particular area that they already own. The decision maker (DM) believes that the area could be dry, reasonably good or a bonanza. See data in the table which shows the gross revenues for the oil well that is found. Decision Drill $0 Abandon $0 Probability 0.3 Dry (D) Seismic Results No structure(N) Open(0) Closed (C) Reasonably good(G) $85 $0 0.3 Drilling costs 40M. The company can take a series of seismic soundings at a cost of 12M) to determine the underlying geological structure. The results will be either "no structure", "open structure or "closed structure". The reliability of the testing company is as follows that is, this reflects their historical performance. Bonanza(B) Note that if the test result is "no structure" the company can sell the land to a developer for 50 m. otherwise (for the other results) it can abandon the drilling idea at no benefit to itself. $200 m $0 0.4 Dry(d) 0.7 0.2 0.1…
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The University of Miami bookstore stocks textbooks in preparation for sales each semester. It normally relies on departmental forecasts and preregistration records to determine how many copies of a text are needed. Preregistration shows 85 operations management students enrolled, but bookstore manager Vaidy Jayaraman has second thoughts, based on his intuition and some historical evidence. Vaidy believes that the distribution of sales may range from 65 to 85 units, according to the following probability model: Demand Probability 65 0.10 Stock 70 0.30 65 This textbook costs the bookstore $82 and sells for $112. Any unsold copies can be returned to the publisher, less a restocking fee and shipping, for a net refund of $30. a) Based on the given information, Vaidy's conditional profits table for the bookstore is: 65 p=0.10 75 0.20 70 p=0.30 80 0.10 Demand 75 p=0.20 80 p = 0.10 85 p=0.30 85 0.30
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Cool Beans is a locally owned coffeeshop that competes with two large coffee chains, PlanetEuro and Frothies. Alicia, the owner, is considering two different marketing promotions and thinks that CLV analysis will help her decide the best course of action. An average specialty coffee drink sells for $4 and has a margin of 66%. One promotion is providing loyalty cards to her regular customers that would give them one free specialty coffee drink after 10 regular purchases. Alicia estimates that this will increase the frequency of their purchases by 16%. Currently, her customers average buying 2 specialty drinks per week.The second promotion is targeted at new customers. She would offer a free specialty drink to incoming college freshmen by providing a coupon with their orientation packages. Because of her location near the college, she expects that 330 students will come to Cool Beans for a free trial. Of those, she anticipates that 13% will become regular customers who will purchase at…

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