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MC Qu. 9-73 Refer to the following payoff... Refer to the following payoff table: Alternative A1 A2 Prior Probability State of Nature S1 S2 -40 100 0.4 75 0 0.6 There is an option of paying $100 to have research done to better predict which state of nature will occur. When the true state of nature is S1, the research will accurately predict S1 60% of the time. When the true state of nature is S2, the research will accurately predict S2 80% of the time. Given that the research is done, what is the joint probability that the state of nature is S2 and the research predicts S2?

MC Qu. 9-73 Refer to the following payoff... Refer to the following payoff table: Alternative A1 A2 Prior Probability State of Nature S1 S2 -40 100 0.4 75 0 0.6 There is an option of paying $100 to have research done to better predict which state of nature will occur. When the true state of nature is S1, the research will accurately predict S1 60% of the time. When the true state of nature is S2, the research will accurately predict S2 80% of the time. Given that the research is done, what is the joint probability that the state of nature is S2 and the research predicts S2?

Practical Management Science
Practical Management Science
6th Edition
ISBN:9781337406659
Author:WINSTON, Wayne L.
Publisher:WINSTON, Wayne L.
Chapter2: Introduction To Spreadsheet Modeling
Section: Chapter Questions
Problem 20P: Julie James is opening a lemonade stand. She believes the fixed cost per week of running the stand...
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MC Qu. 9-73 Refer to the following payoff... Refer to the following payoff table: Alternative A1 A2 Prior Probability State of Nature S1 S2 -40 100 0.4 75 0 0.6 There is an option of paying $100 to have research done to better predict which state of nature will occur. When the true state of nature is S1, the research will accurately predict S1 60% of the time. When the true state of nature is S2, the research will accurately predict S2 80% of the time. Given that the research is done, what is the joint probability that the state of nature is S2 and the research predicts S2?
Transcribed Image Text:MC Qu. 9-73 Refer to the following payoff... Refer to the following payoff table: Alternative A1 A2 Prior Probability State of Nature S1 S2 -40 100 0.4 75 0 0.6 There is an option of paying $100 to have research done to better predict which state of nature will occur. When the true state of nature is S1, the research will accurately predict S1 60% of the time. When the true state of nature is S2, the research will accurately predict S2 80% of the time. Given that the research is done, what is the joint probability that the state of nature is S2 and the research predicts S2?
Multiple Choice O O O 0.08 0.16 0.24 0.32 0.36
Transcribed Image Text:Multiple Choice O O O 0.08 0.16 0.24 0.32 0.36
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