The operations manager for a water taxi company wants to decide whether to purchase a small, medium, or large new boat for the company. The manager estimates that the annual profits (in thousands of dollars) will vary depending upon whether passenger demand is low, moderate, orhigh, as shown in the following table.DemandBoatLowMediumHighSmall536373Medium398292Large1948120Probability0.250.30.45What is the expected value of perfect information?○ $16,100$21,100$75,750$96,850

Step 1: Identify the formula to be used to find the expected value of perfect information (EVPI)EVPI…

Answered: The operations manager for a water taxi…

Practical Management Science

6th Edition

ISBN:9781337406659

Author:WINSTON, Wayne L.

Publisher:WINSTON, Wayne L.

Chapter2: Introduction To Spreadsheet Modeling

Section: Chapter Questions

Problem 20P: Julie James is opening a lemonade stand. She believes the fixed cost per week of running the stand...

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A company wants to forecast demand using the weighted moving average. If the company uses two prior yearly sales values (i.e., year 2015 = 110 and year 2016 = 130), and we want to weight year 2015 at 0.10 and year 2016 at 0.90, which of the following is the weighted moving average forecast for year 2017? Group of answer choices a. 120 b. 138 c. 142 d. 128 e. 133
A store has the following demand figures for the last four years: Year Demand 100 1 150 3 112 4 200 Given a demand forecast for year 2 of 100, a trend forecast for year 2 of 10, an alpha of 0.3, and a beta of 0.2, what is the demand forecast for year 3 using the exponential smoothing with trend method? 128 115 Ⓒ 135 Ⓒ 145
1
If the mean = 20.3834 standard deviation = 101.53 1. What is the probability that daily demand will be less than 90 units? excel formula 2. What is the probability that daily demand will be more than 120 units? 3. What is the probability that daily demand will be between 80 and 110 units? 4. What is the probability that daily demand will be exactly 100 units
Data collected on the yearly registrations for a Six Sigma seminar at the Quality College are shown in the following table: Year -1 2 Registrations (000) 5.0 5.0 Year Forecast 4 4.3 This exercise contains only parts a and b. a) Using a 3-year moving average, the forecasted registrations (in thousands) for years 4 through 12 are (round your responses to one decimal place): 5 4.6 4 3 3.0 5 6 6.6 7 8 4 5 6 9 10 6.0 11.0 9.0 7.0 9.0 13.0 16.0 6 7 8.7 8 9 7 9 8.3 b) Using a 3-year weighted moving average in which the registrations in the most recent year are given a weight of 2, and registrations in the other 2 years are each given a weight of 1, the forecasted registrations (in thousands) for years 4 through 12 are (round your responses to one decimal place): Year Forecast 8 10 9.6 9 11 12.6 10 12 15.3 11 11 17.0 12
For a given perishable product, a retailer pays $5 for each unit, then sells them for $10 each. At the end of the day, units not sold at the store are disposed of, and the retailer receives just $1 for each. Given the following probability distribution describing daily demand, how many units should be stocked? x Prob. (Demand = x) x Prob. (Demand = x) 0 0.01 7 0.18 1 0.02 8 0.14 2 0.04 9 0.09 3 0.07 10 0.05 4 0.09 11 0.02 5 0.12 12 0.01 6 0.15 13 0.01
The sale data is shown as follows: Month 1: 11 Month 2: 52 Month 3: 95 Using Weighted Simple Moving Average method (Month 1: 0.2; Month 2: 0.3; Month 3: 0.5) to forecast the sales of Month 4: ________ (Round your answer to the nearest integer)
Sarah has been custom manufacturing sweaters now for 7 years. Her annual sales are shown below. Year Sales 1 178 2 215 3 233 4 301 5 337 6 330 7 361 What are her forecasted sales for year 8 using a 5 year weighted average where w1=.4, w2=.3, w3=.15, w4=.1, w5=.05? What are her forecasted sales for year 8 using exponential smoothing? Assume year 7 forecast was 323. Select your own alpha. Which forecast method is the best for Sarah to use based on MAD? Why?
If the old forecast is 100 and the latest actual demand is 83, what is the exponentiallysmoothed forecast for the next period? Alpha is 0.25.
The Carbondale Hospital is considering the purchase of a new ambulance. The decision will rest partly on the anticipated mileage to be driven next year. The miles driven during the past 5 years are as follows: 1 3,000 2 3,950 3 3,400 Year Mileage a) Using a 2-year moving average, the forecast for year 6 = miles (round your response to the nearest whole number). 4 3,750 5 3,750
Please help to solve step by step.
Consider the following from an estate agent business: Month Houses Sold Jan 380 Feb 360 Mar 390 Apr 400 May 390 June 380 July 394 Aug 454 Sep 460 Oct 460 Nov 430 Dec 370 a) Calculate the three point moving averages (quarters) and seasonal variation for the above data b) A detective figures he has a one in nine chance of recovering stolen property. His out-of-pocket expenses for the investigation are $9,000. If he is paid his fee only if he recovers the stolen property, what should he charge clients in order to breakeven? c) At the races, your horse, has a probability of 1/20 of coming 151, 1/10 of coming 2nd and a probability of ¼ in coming 3rd. First place pays $4,500 to the winner, second place $3,500 and third place $1,500. Hence, is it worth entering the race if it costs $1,000? d) Your company plans to invest in a particular…

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