What is the expected value of perfect information (in thousands of dollars) for the Meega airlines problem? O 118.5 O 436 O 574.6 O 697.2

Practical Management Science
6th Edition
ISBN:9781337406659
Author:WINSTON, Wayne L.
Publisher:WINSTON, Wayne L.
Chapter2: Introduction To Spreadsheet Modeling
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What is the expected value of perfect information (in thousands of dollars) for the Meega airlines problem?
O 118.5
O 436
O 574.6
O 697.2
Transcribed Image Text:What is the expected value of perfect information (in thousands of dollars) for the Meega airlines problem? O 118.5 O 436 O 574.6 O 697.2
Meega airlines decided to offer direct service from Akron, Ohio to Clearwater Beach, Florida. Management must decide between full-
price service using the company's new fleet of jet aircraft and a discount-service using smaller capacity commuter planes. Management
developed estimates of the contribution to profit for each type of service based upon three possible levels of demand for service: high,
moderate, and lovw.
The payoff table (in thousands of dollars) and the probabilities of the states of nature are as follows:
Demand for service
High Medium
Low
Pr
0.2
0.4
0.4
Full
1300
-600
450
Price
Discount
720
650
-350
Using the gxpected value approach what is the recommended decision for Meega Airlines?
O Offering high demand
O Offering Medium demand
O Offering low demand
O Offering full price
O Offering discounted price
Transcribed Image Text:Meega airlines decided to offer direct service from Akron, Ohio to Clearwater Beach, Florida. Management must decide between full- price service using the company's new fleet of jet aircraft and a discount-service using smaller capacity commuter planes. Management developed estimates of the contribution to profit for each type of service based upon three possible levels of demand for service: high, moderate, and lovw. The payoff table (in thousands of dollars) and the probabilities of the states of nature are as follows: Demand for service High Medium Low Pr 0.2 0.4 0.4 Full 1300 -600 450 Price Discount 720 650 -350 Using the gxpected value approach what is the recommended decision for Meega Airlines? O Offering high demand O Offering Medium demand O Offering low demand O Offering full price O Offering discounted price
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