HIV testing In July 2005 the journal Annals of InternalMedicine published a report on the reliability of HIVtesting. Results of a large study suggested that among people with HIV, 99.7% of tests conducted were (cor-rectly) positive, while for people without HIV 98.5% of the tests were (correctly) negative. A clinic serving anat-risk population offers free HIV testing, believing that15% of the patients may actually carry HIV. What’s theprobability that a patient testing negative is truly freeof HIV?
Compound Probability
Compound probability can be defined as the probability of the two events which are independent. It can be defined as the multiplication of the probability of two events that are not dependent.
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Probability theory is a branch of mathematics that deals with the subject of probability. Although there are many different concepts of probability, probability theory expresses the definition mathematically through a series of axioms. Usually, these axioms express probability in terms of a probability space, which assigns a measure with values ranging from 0 to 1 to a set of outcomes known as the sample space. An event is a subset of these outcomes that is described.
Conditional Probability
By definition, the term probability is expressed as a part of mathematics where the chance of an event that may either occur or not is evaluated and expressed in numerical terms. The range of the value within which probability can be expressed is between 0 and 1. The higher the chance of an event occurring, the closer is its value to be 1. If the probability of an event is 1, it means that the event will happen under all considered circumstances. Similarly, if the probability is exactly 0, then no matter the situation, the event will never occur.
Medicine published a report on the reliability of HIV
testing. Results of a large study suggested that among
rectly) positive, while for people without HIV 98.5% of
at-risk population offers free HIV testing, believing that
15% of the patients may actually carry HIV. What’s the
probability that a patient testing negative is truly free
of HIV?
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