Amid growing concerns that a virus outbreak from Asia will turn to a global pandemic, Ivan the Investor is weighing his options of investing in energy markets, airlines/travel, or emerging technologies such as companies specializing in video conferencing. Ivan sees the near future as bringing one of three possibilities: the virus will be controlled and will not spread globally; there we will be a short term global pandemic that causes disruptions in the immediate future, but will then be controlled within 18–24 months; there will be a global pandemic that causes long-term disruptions for longer than two years. On the basis of past experience, the Ivan estimates the following rates of return (measured in annual interest rates) for each eventuality. Future Virus is Controlled Short-term Pandemic Long-term Pandemic Investor Energy Markets Travel 8% 5% 0% -5% 6% -5% -8% 10% Technology Sector 4%
Amid growing concerns that a virus outbreak from Asia will turn to a global pandemic, Ivan the Investor is weighing his options of investing in energy markets, airlines/travel, or emerging technologies such as companies specializing in video conferencing. Ivan sees the near future as bringing one of three possibilities: the virus will be controlled and will not spread globally; there we will be a short term global pandemic that causes disruptions in the immediate future, but will then be controlled within 18–24 months; there will be a global pandemic that causes long-term disruptions for longer than two years. On the basis of past experience, the Ivan estimates the following rates of return (measured in annual interest rates) for each eventuality. Future Virus is Controlled Short-term Pandemic Long-term Pandemic Investor Energy Markets Travel 8% 5% 0% -5% 6% -5% -8% 10% Technology Sector 4%
Chapter1: Making Economics Decisions
Section: Chapter Questions
Problem 1QTC
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