CHAPTER3_Worksheet

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Psychology

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Dec 6, 2023

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CHAPTER3 WORKSHEET Practice with Confounding A causal relationship is very difficult to conclude in anything but a randomized controlled experiment, and one of the reasons is the possible existence of confounding factors or lurking variables. A confounding factor is a variable not accounted for that correlates with both the independent and dependent variables in an experiment or study's design. ______________________________________________________________________________ Example : Researchers observe that there's a definite correlation between CO 2 emissions and life expectancy. They conclude that carbon dioxide emissions are good for your health. Obviously the researchers' conclusion is not valid. Industrialized countries are more likely to have both better hospitals (which leads to higher life expectancy) and more factories (which leads to more CO 2 emissions). ______________________________________________________________________________ Identifying possible confounding factors can be very important when designing a study, as they can usually be accounted for. Additionally, as good statistical consumers it's important to be able to look at a study or article that intends to show causation and think about possible confounding. Brainstorm with your fellow group members the possible confounding factors could be present that the researchers did not take into consideration. Study #1 Researchers found that women who don't work during their pregnancy tend to have healthier babies. They conclude that going to work while pregnant can have a harmful impact on the health of the child. Study #2 Researchers found that adults going out to eat after 9:00 PM tend to wake up the next morning with headaches more often. They conclude that restaurants lower their standards as the night gets later and as a result the consumers don't feel well the next morning.
Study #3 Researchers found that ice cream sales are positively correlated with instances of shark attacks. The researchers conclude that people who eat ice cream taste better and therefore sharks are more likely to try and eat them. Study #4 Take a look at the chart below. What is the chart showing? What is a possible lurking variable? This activity will help you understand Independent, Dependent and Confounding Variables.
An independent variable is the one thing you intend to vary/change in an experiment. A dependent variable is the thing that will change that you intend to measure as a quantitative assessment of the effect. A confounding variable is a variable that: 1. Affects the response variable and also 2. is related to the explanatory variable. A potential confounding variable not measured in the study is called a lurking variable. Usual Experimental Hypotheses/Statement If I _________(Independent Variable)______ then __________ (Prediction about your dependent variable)____________ because _____(Why, based on your research did you make this prediction?)__________________. In the following examples identify the independent and dependent variables and then also list several poten- tial confounding variables that the experimenters would have to consider. Sample Hypotheses/Experiments 1. If I increase the exposure to ultraviolet light, then people will have a higher frequency of skin cancer because ultraviolet light causes cells to become cancerous. Independent variable – Dependent variable – Confounding variables- 2. If I lower the temperature of the room the plants are in, then the leaves will change color because the leaves change color in the fall. Independent variable – Dependent variable – Confounding variables- 3. If I soak seeds in water before planting, then the seeds will germinate faster because the baby plant will not have to open a hard seed before growing. Independent variable – Dependent variable – Confounding variables- 4. If my dog pet is fed more , then my dog will gain weight because he is eating more calo- ries . Independent variable – Dependent variable – Confounding variables-
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5. If I use more expensive batteries in my flashlight, then the flashlight will stay on longer because the batteries cost more and have more stored energy. Independent variable – Dependent variable – Confounding variables- 6. If a person wears Air Jordan tennis shoes, then I will make more baskets because Michael Jordan is a good basketball player. Independent variable – Dependent variable – Confounding variables- 7. If more French fries are eaten, then I will get more pimples because the oil causes pim- ples . Independent variable – Dependent variable – Confounding variables- 8. If blood is added to water, then the number of sharks will increase because sharks will smell the blood and come to eat. Independent variable – Dependent variable – Confounding variables- 9. If I poke a skunk, then it will spray me becaus e skunks spray when then are threatened. Independent variable – Dependent variable – Confounding variables-