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Nov 24, 2024

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1 College of Engineering ENGM 511 Financial Accounting Case Study Assignment Fall 2023/2024 Name & ID: Mahdi Saleh Dashti & F2300114 Karim Saleh Dashti & F2300115 Mohamed Salem Mahroos & F2300142 Turki S Washmi & F2300260 Mohamed Mustafa & F2300116 Date: 1
1 TABLE OF CONTENTS List of Tables ..................................................................................................................................... 1 1.0 CASE STUDY ............................................................................................................................ 2 1.1 The Consultant’s Market Study Cost ............................................................................... 2 1.2 The Potential Rental Value of The Unoccupied Annex ................................................... 2 1.3 Interest Charges ............................................................................................................... 2 1.4 Working Capital ............................................................................................................... 3 2.0 CONSIDERATION OF EROSION ............................................................................................ 3 2.1 Case 1: Erosion cost considered: ............................................................................................ 3 2.2 Case 2: Erosion cost not considered: ...................................................................................... 3 3.0 PROJECT’S NPV, IRR, PAYBACK PERIOD, DISCOUNTED PERIOD, AND PROFITABILIT INDEX ................................................................................................................... 4 4.0 SENSIVITY ANALYSIS ON SALES VOLUME, PRICE, DIRECT LABOR, AND ENERGY COST .............................................................................................................................................. 10 5.0 BENEFITS AND RISKS OF UNDERTAKING THE PROEJCT ............................................ 10 6.0 FINAL OUTCOME IF BEBIDA SHOULD UNDERTAKE THE PROJECT ......................... 11 List of Tables Table 1 NPV, IRR, PAYBACK PERIOD, DISCOUNTED PERIOD, AND PROFITABILIT INDEX .............................................................................................................................................. 4 Table 2 Scenario 2 (-5% Labor Cost) NPV, IRR, PAYBACK PERIOD, DISCOUNTED PERIOD, AND PROFITABILIT INDEX ......................................................................................................... 5 Table 3 Scenario 3 (-5% Raw Material Cost) NPV, IRR, PAYBACK PERIOD, DISCOUNTED PERIOD, AND PROFITABILIT INDEX ......................................................................................... 6 Table 4 Scenario 4 (-5% Energy Cost) NPV, IRR, PAYBACK PERIOD, DISCOUNTED PERIOD, AND PROFITABILIT INDEX ......................................................................................... 7 Table 5 Scenario (+5% Unit sale price) NPV, IRR, PAYBACK PERIOD, DISCOUNTED PERIOD, AND PROFITABILIT INDEX ......................................................................................... 8 Table 6 Scenario 6 (Not Considering Erosion) NPV, IRR, PAYBACK PERIOD, DISCOUNTED PERIOD, AND PROFITABILIT INDEX ......................................................................................... 9 Table 7 NPV & IRR values when raw materials are reduced ......................................................... 10 1
1.0 CASE STUDY The following case study focuses on a businessman who is considering getting into soft drink market specially with all the competitors being around. The company will offer zero-calorie product line as based on the study and analysis made in this report they will decide whether to invest in the project or not. There are many relevant costs to this project, such as the initial investment to purchase machinery, overhead expenses, labor overhead, energy cost, working capital, and general & administrative costs which should be considered in this assessment. 1.1 The Consultant’s Market Study Cost Upon the discussion that occurred between Antonio and Pedro about the idea of Hola Kola, Pedro decided to hire a consultant to conduct a study about the idea. The study took about two months to complete with a cost of 5 million pesos. The following cost of the study is considered as a ( Sunk Cost ) for the following case study as it has occurred in the past and the cash outflow is already paid before the project was appraised as it will not affect or change the future cash flow. 1.2 The Potential Rental Value of The Unoccupied Annex Antonio’s father built an annex years ago as he had planned to venture into the mineral water business. His father passed away before he could execute his plan and the annex had been vacant ever since. An offer was received to Antonio to lease out the annex for 60,000 pesos a year. As per the analysis, the following cost shall be considered as an (Opportunity Cost). The rental income of 60,000 pesos per year will be lost if Antonio decided to keep the annex idle, Opportunity costs will not be considered in the accounting records, but they will be relevant to managerial decisions. 1.3 Interest Charges Antonio’s company had accumulated a sizeable amount of cash. With solid financial performance and steady cashflow, the bank decided to extend a five- year 16% annual interest term loan to lunch his business. Pedro estimated that 20/80 debt equity structure would result in an 18.2% weighted average cost of capital for this project as this cost already includes interest charge. Therefore, the 16% interest charges of financing are irrelevant in the analysis. 2
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1.4 Working Capital Incremental working capital incurs for the project; therefore, it is a relevant cash flow. 2.0 CONSIDERATION OF EROSION The conducted market study suggested that Hola Kola potential erosion could cost the company around 800,000 pesos of after-tax cash flow per year. Such a cost can have two outcomes if they are considered or not. 2.1 Case 1: Erosion cost considered: The new project could potentially affect the sales of the existing product, the estimated impact is an erosion of 800,000 pesos/year. As per our analysis we have considered the erosion value in order to be more precise while deciding on the project. 2.2 Case 2: Erosion cost not considered: The estimated erosion value is only an assumption, and it might not happen since the products are meant to target different groups of customers. Moreover, erosion could occur for any reason and not necessarily because of undertaking the new project. In our analysis, we evaluated both scenarios as the estimated erosion value could have a significant impact on the appraisal. 3
3.0 PROJECT’S NPV, IRR, PAYBACK PERIOD, DISCOUNTED PERIOD, AND PROFITABILIT INDEX 4 Table 1 NPV, IRR, PAYBACK PERIOD, DISCOUNTED PERIOD, AND PROFITABILIT INDEX
5 Table 2 Scenario 2 (-5% Labor Cost) NPV, IRR, PAYBACK PERIOD, DISCOUNTED PERIOD, AND PROFITABILIT INDEX
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6 Table 3 Scenario 3 (-5% Raw Material Cost) NPV, IRR, PAYBACK PERIOD, DISCOUNTED PERIOD, AND PROFITABILIT INDEX
7 Table 4 Scenario 4 (-5% Energy Cost) NPV, IRR, PAYBACK PERIOD, DISCOUNTED PERIOD, AND PROFITABILIT INDEX Table 5 Scenario (+5% Unit sale price) NPV, IRR, PAYBACK PERIOD, DISCOUNTED PERIOD, AND PROFITABILIT INDEX
8 Table 6 Scenario 6 (Not Considering Erosion) NPV, IRR, PAYBACK PERIOD, DISCOUNTED PERIOD, AND PROFITABILIT INDEX
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5.0 BENEFITS AND RISKS OF UNDERTAKING THE PROEJCT 9
Such a project can have risks and benefits specially with all the competitors being available in place such as Coca-Cola, Pepsi-Cola, Dr. pepper snapple, and Grupo Penafiel. The Benefits of undertaking the project are: a) The presence of well-known competitors shows a strong demand for carbonated soft drinks. This can provide opportunities for Hola-Kola to merge into an existing market. b) Consumers are already familiar with the taste and branding soft drink companies. By offering a similar taste, consumers will have more options in choosing the product. c) Distribution networks play a major role that can reach around retailers all over the country. With the right partnerships and distribution agreements with similar networks, it can help the products reach a wide customer base. d) Offering similar taste to popular international brands can position the company as a visible alternative. With the right competitive price, it may attract customers who would prefer Hola-Kola or want more choices. Moreover, Risks are there to undertake the project as per the following: a) The soft drink industry is highly competitive in Mexico with well- established players in the market. Entering such a competitive may require a larger investment in marketing, distribution and product develop to compete effectively. b) Offering a similar taste can attract customers, it may also pose challenges in terms of differentiating Hola-Kola from competitors. Developing a unique selling proposition or a compelling brand will be crucial to stand out in the market. c) Consumer preferences are constantly changing, some are moving towards healthier alternatives to sugary carbonated drinks. This shift may lead to challenges specially since Hola-Kola focuses on traditional soft drinks. 10
6.0 FINAL OUTCOME IF BEBIDA SHOULD UNDERTAKE THE PROJECT In conclusion, Bebida should not undertake this project due to the NPV value being negative, the IRR being less than the company’s cost of capital and the discounted payback period being over 5 years in the first 4 scenarios as shown in the above results and tables. However, if the owner and his team decide to evaluate the project based on scenarios 4 and 5 by increasing the selling price or not considering erosion of other products based on scenario 6. NPV, IRR and payback period values would be acceptable to undertake the project. 11
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