Advertising. A television advertising campaign is conducted during the football season to promote a well-known brand X shaving cream. For each of several weeks, a survey is made, and it is found that each week, 80 % of those using brand X continue to use it and 20 % switch to another brand. It is also found that of those not using brand X , 20 % switch to brand X while the other 80 % continue using another brand. (A) Draw a transition diagram. (B) Write the transition matrix. (C) If 20 % of the people are using brand X at the start of the advertising campaign, what percentage will be using it 1 week later? 2 weeks later?
Advertising. A television advertising campaign is conducted during the football season to promote a well-known brand X shaving cream. For each of several weeks, a survey is made, and it is found that each week, 80 % of those using brand X continue to use it and 20 % switch to another brand. It is also found that of those not using brand X , 20 % switch to brand X while the other 80 % continue using another brand. (A) Draw a transition diagram. (B) Write the transition matrix. (C) If 20 % of the people are using brand X at the start of the advertising campaign, what percentage will be using it 1 week later? 2 weeks later?
Solution Summary: The author illustrates the transition diagram for a survey where 80% of the people using shaving cream of brand X continue to use it and switch to another brand.
Advertising. A television advertising campaign is conducted during the football season to promote a well-known brand
X
shaving cream. For each of several weeks, a survey is made, and it is found that each week,
80
%
of those using brand
X
continue to use it and
20
%
switch to another brand. It is also found that of those not using brand
X
,
20
%
switch to brand
X
while the other
80
%
continue using another brand.
(A) Draw a transition diagram.
(B) Write the transition matrix.
(C) If
20
%
of the people are using brand
X
at the start of the advertising campaign, what percentage will be using it
1
week later?
2
weeks later?
iid
1. The CLT provides an approximate sampling distribution for the arithmetic average Ỹ of a
random sample Y₁, . . ., Yn f(y). The parameters of the approximate sampling distribution
depend on the mean and variance of the underlying random variables (i.e., the population
mean and variance). The approximation can be written to emphasize this, using the expec-
tation and variance of one of the random variables in the sample instead of the parameters
μ, 02:
YNEY,
· (1
(EY,, varyi
n
For the following population distributions f, write the approximate distribution of the sample
mean.
(a) Exponential with rate ẞ: f(y) = ß exp{−ßy}
1
(b) Chi-square with degrees of freedom: f(y) = ( 4 ) 2 y = exp { — ½/ }
г(
(c) Poisson with rate λ: P(Y = y) = exp(-\}
>
y!
y²
2. Let Y₁,……., Y be a random sample with common mean μ and common variance σ². Use the
CLT to write an expression approximating the CDF P(Ỹ ≤ x) in terms of µ, σ² and n, and
the standard normal CDF Fz(·).
3. We'd like to know the first time when the population reaches 7000 people. First, graph the
function from part (a) on your calculator or Desmos. In the same window, graph the line y =
7000. Notice that you will need to adjust your window so that you can see values as big as
7000! Investigate the intersection of the two graphs. (This video shows you how to find the
intersection on your calculator, or in Desmos just hover the cursor over the point.) At what
value t> 0 does the line intersect with your exponential function? Round your answer to two
decimal places. (You don't need to show work for this part.) (2 points)
Chapter 9 Solutions
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