EBK PRINCIPLES OF OPERATIONS MANAGEMENT
11th Edition
ISBN: 9780135175859
Author: Munson
Publisher: VST
expand_more
expand_more
format_list_bulleted
Concept explainers
Question
Chapter 7.S, Problem 40P
Summary Introduction
To determine: The most desirable investment alternative.
Expert Solution & Answer
Want to see the full answer?
Check out a sample textbook solutionStudents have asked these similar questions
Donald Harris received a windfall and needs to invest it for tax reasons. He went to his brother-in-law, Joe Harris, who is a financial advisor. Joe prepared a matrix that illustrated the possible returns on investment for different investment strategies under different economic conditions. That matrix is given below. Donald Harris reads the Wall Drive Journal and came across an article that stated that the probability that there would be a major downturn would be 10%; the probability of a downturn would be 30%; the probability of an upturn would be 40%; and that the probability of a major upturn would be 20%. Based on these numbers, what investment strategy should Donald Harris adopt?
Future Air Traffic
Strategies
Major Downturn
Downturn
Upturn
Major Upturn
Contrarian
20%
10%
5%
-15%
Risk Averse
2%
4%
7%
10%
Growth
-10%
-8%
13%
20%
Aggressive
-25%
-20%
11%
35%
Group of answer choices
A young computer engineer has $12,000 to invest and three different investment options (funds) to choose from. Type 1 guaranteed investment funds offer an expected rate of return of 7%, Type 2 mixed funds (part is guaranteed capital) have an expected rate of return of 8%, while an investment on the Stock Exchange involves an expected rate of return of 12%, but without guaranteed investment capital. Computer engineer has decided not to invest more than $2,000 on the Stock Exchange in order to minimize the risk. Moreover for tax reasons, she needs to invest at least three times more in guaranteed investment funds than in mixed funds.
Assume that at the end of the year the returns are those expected; she is trying to determine the optimum investment amounts.
(a) Express this problem as a linear programming model with two decision variables.(b) Solve the problem with the graphical solution procedure and define the optimum solution.
A store owner must decide whether to build a small or a large facility at a new location. Demand at a location can be either small or large, which probabilities estimated to be 0.4 and 0.6, respectively. If small facility is built and demand proves to be high, the manager may choose not to expand (payoff=P235,000) or to expand (payoff=P275,000). If a small facility is built and demand is low, there is no reason to expand and the payoff is P220,000. If a large facility is built and demand proves to be low, the choice is to do nothing (P60,000) or to stimulate demand through local advertising. The response to advertising may be either modest or sizable, with their probabilities estimated to be 0.3 and 0.7, respectively. If it is modest, the payoff grows to P230,000 if the response is sizable. Finally, if a large facility is built and demand turns out to be high, the payoff is P900,000.a.) Draw a decision tree.b.) Determine the expected payoff for each decision and event node.c.)…
Chapter 7 Solutions
EBK PRINCIPLES OF OPERATIONS MANAGEMENT
Ch. 7.S - Prob. 1DQCh. 7.S - Prob. 2DQCh. 7.S - Prob. 3DQCh. 7.S - Prob. 4DQCh. 7.S - Prob. 5DQCh. 7.S - Distinguish between bottleneck time and throughput...Ch. 7.S - Prob. 7DQCh. 7.S - Prob. 8DQCh. 7.S - Prob. 9DQCh. 7.S - Prob. 10DQ
Ch. 7.S - Prob. 11DQCh. 7.S - Prob. 12DQCh. 7.S - What are the techniques available to operations...Ch. 7.S - Amy Xias plant was designed to produce 7,000...Ch. 7.S - For the post month, the plant in Problem S7.1,...Ch. 7.S - Prob. 3PCh. 7.S - Prob. 4PCh. 7.S - Prob. 5PCh. 7.S - The effective capacity and efficiency for the next...Ch. 7.S - Southeastern Oklahoma State Universitys business...Ch. 7.S - Prob. 8PCh. 7.S - Prob. 9PCh. 7.S - Prob. 10PCh. 7.S - The three-station work cell illustrated in Figure...Ch. 7.S - The three-station work cell at Pullman Mfg., Inc....Ch. 7.S - The Pullman Mfg., Inc., three-station work cell...Ch. 7.S - Prob. 14PCh. 7.S - 10 minutes per unit. Part 2 is simultaneously...Ch. 7.S - Prob. 16PCh. 7.S - Prob. 17PCh. 7.S - Using the data in Problem S7.17: a) What is the...Ch. 7.S - Prob. 19PCh. 7.S - Prob. 20PCh. 7.S - Prob. 21PCh. 7.S - Prob. 22PCh. 7.S - Prob. 23PCh. 7.S - Prob. 24PCh. 7.S - Prob. 25PCh. 7.S - Prob. 26PCh. 7.S - Prob. 27PCh. 7.S - Prob. 28PCh. 7.S - Prob. 29PCh. 7.S - Prob. 30PCh. 7.S - Prob. 31PCh. 7.S - Prob. 32PCh. 7.S - Prob. 33PCh. 7.S - Prob. 34PCh. 7.S - Prob. 35PCh. 7.S - Prob. 36PCh. 7.S - Prob. 37PCh. 7.S - Prob. 38PCh. 7.S - Prob. 39PCh. 7.S - Prob. 40PCh. 7.S - Prob. 41PCh. 7.S - Prob. 42PCh. 7.S - Prob. 43PCh. 7.S - Prob. 44PCh. 7.S - Prob. 45PCh. 7.S - Prob. 1VCCh. 7.S - a capacity expansion plan and a new 11-story...Ch. 7.S - a capacity expansion plan and a new 11-story...Ch. 7 - Ethical Dilemma For the sake of efficiency and...Ch. 7 - Prob. 1DQCh. 7 - Prob. 2DQCh. 7 - Prob. 3DQCh. 7 - Prob. 4DQCh. 7 - Prob. 5DQCh. 7 - Prob. 6DQCh. 7 - Prob. 7DQCh. 7 - Prob. 8DQCh. 7 - Prob. 9DQCh. 7 - Prob. 10DQCh. 7 - Prob. 11DQCh. 7 - Prob. 12DQCh. 7 - Prob. 13DQCh. 7 - Prob. 14DQCh. 7 - Prob. 15DQCh. 7 - Prob. 16DQCh. 7 - Prob. 17DQCh. 7 - Prob. 18DQCh. 7 - Prob. 19DQCh. 7 - Prob. 1PCh. 7 - Usingthedatain Problem 7.1, determinethemost...Ch. 7 - Prob. 3PCh. 7 - Refer to Problem 7.1. If a contract for the second...Ch. 7 - Stan Fawcetts company is considering producing a...Ch. 7 - Prob. 6PCh. 7 - Prob. 7PCh. 7 - Prob. 8PCh. 7 - Metters Cabinets, Inc., needs to choose a...Ch. 7 - Prob. 10PCh. 7 - Nagle Electric. Inc., of Lincoln, Nebraska, must...Ch. 7 - Stapleton Manufacturing intends to increase...Ch. 7 - Prepare a flowchart for one of the following: a)...Ch. 7 - Prepare a process chart for one of the activities...Ch. 7 - Prob. 15PCh. 7 - Prob. 16PCh. 7 - Prob. 17PCh. 7 - Prob. 1CSCh. 7 - Prob. 2CSCh. 7 - Prob. 3CSCh. 7 - Process Strategy at Wheeled Coach Wheeled Coach,...Ch. 7 - Prob. 1.2VCCh. 7 - Prob. 1.3VCCh. 7 - Prob. 1.4VCCh. 7 - Alaska Airlines: 20-Minute Baggage...Ch. 7 - Prob. 2.2VCCh. 7 - Prob. 2.3VCCh. 7 - Prob. 2.4VCCh. 7 - Prob. 2.5VCCh. 7 - Prob. 3.1VCCh. 7 - Prob. 3.2VCCh. 7 - Prob. 3.3VCCh. 7 - Prob. 3.4VC
Knowledge Booster
Learn more about
Need a deep-dive on the concept behind this application? Look no further. Learn more about this topic, operations-management and related others by exploring similar questions and additional content below.Similar questions
- The Tinkan Company produces one-pound cans for the Canadian salmon industry. Each year the salmon spawn during a 24-hour period and must be canned immediately. Tinkan has the following agreement with the salmon industry. The company can deliver as many cans as it chooses. Then the salmon are caught. For each can by which Tinkan falls short of the salmon industrys needs, the company pays the industry a 2 penalty. Cans cost Tinkan 1 to produce and are sold by Tinkan for 2 per can. If any cans are left over, they are returned to Tinkan and the company reimburses the industry 2 for each extra can. These extra cans are put in storage for next year. Each year a can is held in storage, a carrying cost equal to 20% of the cans production cost is incurred. It is well known that the number of salmon harvested during a year is strongly related to the number of salmon harvested the previous year. In fact, using past data, Tinkan estimates that the harvest size in year t, Ht (measured in the number of cans required), is related to the harvest size in the previous year, Ht1, by the equation Ht = Ht1et where et is normally distributed with mean 1.02 and standard deviation 0.10. Tinkan plans to use the following production strategy. For some value of x, it produces enough cans at the beginning of year t to bring its inventory up to x+Ht, where Ht is the predicted harvest size in year t. Then it delivers these cans to the salmon industry. For example, if it uses x = 100,000, the predicted harvest size is 500,000 cans, and 80,000 cans are already in inventory, then Tinkan produces and delivers 520,000 cans. Given that the harvest size for the previous year was 550,000 cans, use simulation to help Tinkan develop a production strategy that maximizes its expected profit over the next 20 years. Assume that the company begins year 1 with an initial inventory of 300,000 cans.arrow_forwardIt costs a pharmaceutical company 75,000 to produce a 1000-pound batch of a drug. The average yield from a batch is unknown but the best case is 90% yield (that is, 900 pounds of good drug will be produced), the most likely case is 85% yield, and the worst case is 70% yield. The annual demand for the drug is unknown, with the best case being 20,000 pounds, the most likely case 17,500 pounds, and the worst case 10,000 pounds. The drug sells for 125 per pound and leftover amounts of the drug can be sold for 30 per pound. To maximize annual expected profit, how many batches of the drug should the company produce? You can assume that it will produce the batches only once, before demand for the drug is known.arrow_forwardYou now have 10,000, all of which is invested in a sports team. Each year there is a 60% chance that the value of the team will increase by 60% and a 40% chance that the value of the team will decrease by 60%. Estimate the mean and median value of your investment after 50 years. Explain the large difference between the estimated mean and median.arrow_forward
- Assume the demand for a companys drug Wozac during the current year is 50,000, and assume demand will grow at 5% a year. If the company builds a plant that can produce x units of Wozac per year, it will cost 16x. Each unit of Wozac is sold for 3. Each unit of Wozac produced incurs a variable production cost of 0.20. It costs 0.40 per year to operate a unit of capacity. Determine how large a Wozac plant the company should build to maximize its expected profit over the next 10 years.arrow_forwardA common decision is whether a company should buy equipment and produce a product in house or outsource production to another company. If sales volume is high enough, then by producing in house, the savings on unit costs will cover the fixed cost of the equipment. Suppose a company must make such a decision for a four-year time horizon, given the following data. Use simulation to estimate the probability that producing in house is better than outsourcing. If the company outsources production, it will have to purchase the product from the manufacturer for 25 per unit. This unit cost will remain constant for the next four years. The company will sell the product for 42 per unit. This price will remain constant for the next four years. If the company produces the product in house, it must buy a 500,000 machine that is depreciated on a straight-line basis over four years, and its cost of production will be 9 per unit. This unit cost will remain constant for the next four years. The demand in year 1 has a worst case of 10,000 units, a most likely case of 14,000 units, and a best case of 16,000 units. The average annual growth in demand for years 2-4 has a worst case of 7%, a most likely case of 15%, and a best case of 20%. Whatever this annual growth is, it will be the same in each of the years. The tax rate is 35%. Cash flows are discounted at 8% per year.arrow_forwardHemmingway, Inc. is considering a $5 million research and development (R&D) project. Profit projections appear promising, but Hemmingway's president is concerned because the probability that the R&D project will be successful is only 0.50. Furthermore, the president knows that even if the project is successful, it will require that the company build a new production facility at a cost of $20 million in order to manufacture the product. If the facility is built, uncertainty remains about the demand and thus uncertainty about the profit that will be realized. Another option is that if the R&D project is successful, the company could sell the rights to the product for an estimated $25 million. Under this option, the company would not build the $20 million production facility. The decision tree follows. The profit projection for each outcome is shown at the end of the branches. For example, the revenue projection for the high demand outcome is $59 million. However, the cost of the R&D…arrow_forward
- A retailer must decide whether to build a small or a large facility at a new location. Demand at the location can be either low or high, with probabilities estimated to be 0.4 and 0.6, respectively. If a small facility is built and demand proves to be high, the manager may choose not to expand (payoff = $223,000) or to expand (payoff = $270,000). If a small facility is built and demand is low, there is no reason to expand and the payoff is $200,000. If a large facility is built and demand proves to be low, the choice is to do nothing ($40,000) or to stimulate demand through local advertising. The response to advertising may be either modest or sizable, with their probabilities estimated to be 0.3 and 0.7, respectively. If it is modest, the payoff is estimated to be only $20,000; the payoff grows to $220,000 if the response is sizable. Finally, if a large facility is built and demand turns out to be high, the payoff is $800,000.Draw a decision tree. Then analyze it to determine the…arrow_forwardSachs Brands's defined benefit pension plan specifies annual retirement benefits equal to 1.5% × service years × final year's salary, payable at the end of each year. Angela Davenport was hired by Sachs at the beginning of 2007 and is expected to retire at the end of 2041 after 35 years' service. Her retirement is expected to span 18 years. Davenport's salary is $83,000 at the end of 2021 and the company's actuary projects her salary to be $245,000 at retirement. The actuary's discount rate is 9%. (FV of $1, PV of $1, FVA of $1, PVA of $1, FVAD of $1 and PVAD of $1) (Use appropriate factor(s) from the tables provided.) At the beginning of 2022, the pension formula was amended to: 1.60% × Service years × Final year's salary The amendment was made retroactive to apply the increased benefits to prior service years. Required: 1. What is the company's prior service cost at the beginning of 2022 with respect to Davenport after the amendment described above?2. Since the amendment occurred at…arrow_forwardA farmer is trying to decide if continuing to farm is the correct thing to do. Yields on his fields have been declining over the past several seasons. He has an offer on the table from a corporate farmer to lease his land for the season for $15,000. Whether or not he accepts this offer depends on how well his fields will produce and the market value of his crops. If yield is high, the farmer will make $50,000 and there is a 10% possibility of this occurring. If yield is medium, the farmer will make $20,000 and there is a 50% possibility of this occurring. If yield is low, the farmer will make $12,000 and there is a 40% possibility of this occurring. Draw a decision tree for this problem. What should the farmer do according to the decision tree? If the farmer could get more information that would help him predict his yield, what is the maximum amount that he should pay for this information?arrow_forward
- The management of Brinkley Corporation is interested in using simulation to estimate the profit per unit for a new product. The selling price for the product will be $45 per unit. Probability distributions for the purchase cost, the labor cost, and the transportation cost are estimated as follows. ProcurementCost ($) Probability LaborCost ($) Probability Transportation Cost ($) Probability 10 0.20 20 0.15 3 0.75 11 0.45 22 0.20 5 0.25 12 0.35 24 0.35 25 0.30 Construct a simulation model to estimate the average profit (in $) per unit and the variance of the profit per unit. (Use at least 1,000 trials. Round your answer to two decimal places. Use the values you enter to make later calculations.) average$ variance What is a 95% confidence interval (in $) around this average? (Round your answers to two decimal places.) $ to $ (e) Why is the simulation approach to risk analysis preferable to generating a variety of what-if scenarios? A simulation model does…arrow_forwardJayZee Electronics wanted to expand its operations by considering of putting up another warehouse to store their electronic supplies from different suppliers. The table below shows the payoff for all alternatives available for JayZee Electronics in all 3 states of nature. The probabilities for every state of nature is also provided. Size of the Warehouse Good Market ($) Fair Market ($) Poor Market ($) Small 40,000 -10,000 -20,000 18,000 Medium 80,000 90,000 Large Very Large -40,000 -160,000 100,000 175,000 350,000 25,000 Probabilities 0.35 0.45 0.20 Using Decision Making under Uncertainty (Use Sheet 1 and rename it to Lastname_Uncertainty) (a) Develop a decision table for this decision. (b) What is the maximax decision? (c) What is the maximin decision? (d) What is the equally likely decision? (e) What is the criterion of realism decision? Use an a value of 0.8. (f) Develop an opportunity loss table. (g) What is the minimax regret decision? Using Decision Making under Risk (Use Sheet 1…arrow_forwardA machine shop owner is thinking of expanding his operations. He has 3 options: a drill press, a lathe, and a grinder. The return on investment for each tool is largely determined by whether the company wins a government military contract. The profit and loss for each purchase and the probabilities associated with each contract outcome are shown in the payoff table below: Contract No Contract Purchase 0.40 0.60 Drill Press $40,000 ($8,000) Lathe $20,000 $4,000 Grinder $12,000 $10,000 Part 1) Compute for the expected value of each alternative and select the best option.arrow_forward
arrow_back_ios
SEE MORE QUESTIONS
arrow_forward_ios
Recommended textbooks for you
- Practical Management ScienceOperations ManagementISBN:9781337406659Author:WINSTON, Wayne L.Publisher:Cengage,
Practical Management Science
Operations Management
ISBN:9781337406659
Author:WINSTON, Wayne L.
Publisher:Cengage,