Understandable Statistics: Concepts and Methods
12th Edition
ISBN: 9781337119917
Author: Charles Henry Brase, Corrinne Pellillo Brase
Publisher: Cengage Learning
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Chapter 3.3, Problem 2P
To determine
Find the minimal percentile rank of a successful applicant.
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3. Bayesian Inference – Updating Beliefs
A medical test for a rare disease has the following characteristics:
Sensitivity (true positive rate): 99%
Specificity (true negative rate): 98%
The disease occurs in 0.5% of the population.
A patient receives a positive test result.
Questions:
a) Define the relevant events and use Bayes’ Theorem to compute the probability that the patient actually has the disease.b) Explain why the result might seem counterintuitive, despite the high sensitivity and specificity.c) Discuss how prior probabilities influence posterior beliefs in Bayesian inference.d) Suppose a second, independent test with the same accuracy is conducted and is also positive. Update the probability that the patient has the disease.
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A real estate analyst is studying how house prices (Y) are related to house size in square feet (X). A simple
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The analyst fits the model and obtains:
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Ŷ50,000+150X
YBoB₁X + €
•
R² = 0.76
• Residuals show a fan-shaped pattern when plotted against fitted values.
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Chapter 3 Solutions
Understandable Statistics: Concepts and Methods
Ch. 3.1 - Statistical Literacy Consider the mode, median,...Ch. 3.1 - Prob. 2PCh. 3.1 - Prob. 3PCh. 3.1 - Prob. 4PCh. 3.1 - Prob. 5PCh. 3.1 - Basic Computation: Mean, Median, Mode Find the...Ch. 3.1 - Prob. 7PCh. 3.1 - Critical Thinking Consider a data set with at...Ch. 3.1 - Critical Thinking Consider a data set with at...Ch. 3.1 - Prob. 10P
Ch. 3.1 - Critical Thinking When a distribution is...Ch. 3.1 - Critical Thinking Consider the following types of...Ch. 3.1 - Critical Thinking Consider the numbers 2 3 4 5 5...Ch. 3.1 - Prob. 14PCh. 3.1 - Prob. 15PCh. 3.1 - Prob. 16PCh. 3.1 - Prob. 17PCh. 3.1 - Critical Thinking Consider a data set of 15...Ch. 3.1 - Prob. 19PCh. 3.1 - Prob. 20PCh. 3.1 - Prob. 21PCh. 3.1 - Football: Age of Professional Players How old are...Ch. 3.1 - Prob. 23PCh. 3.1 - Prob. 24PCh. 3.1 - Prob. 25PCh. 3.1 - Prob. 26PCh. 3.1 - Prob. 27PCh. 3.1 - Prob. 28PCh. 3.1 - Expand Your Knowledge: Harmonic Mean When data...Ch. 3.1 - Prob. 30PCh. 3.2 - Statistical Literacy Which averagemean, median, or...Ch. 3.2 - Statistical Literacy What is the relationship...Ch. 3.2 - Statistical Literacy When computing the standard...Ch. 3.2 - Prob. 4PCh. 3.2 - Prob. 5PCh. 3.2 - Basic Computation: Range, Standard Deviation...Ch. 3.2 - Critical Thinking For a given data set in which...Ch. 3.2 - Prob. 8PCh. 3.2 - Prob. 9PCh. 3.2 - Prob. 10PCh. 3.2 - Prob. 11PCh. 3.2 - Critical Thinking: Outliers One indicator of an...Ch. 3.2 - Prob. 13PCh. 3.2 - Basic Computation: Coefficient of Variation,...Ch. 3.2 - Prob. 15PCh. 3.2 - Prob. 16PCh. 3.2 - Space Shuttle: Epoxy Kevlar epoxy is a material...Ch. 3.2 - Prob. 18PCh. 3.2 - Prob. 19PCh. 3.2 - Prob. 20PCh. 3.2 - Prob. 21PCh. 3.2 - Prob. 22PCh. 3.2 - Prob. 23PCh. 3.2 - Prob. 24PCh. 3.2 - Prob. 25PCh. 3.2 - Prob. 26PCh. 3.2 - Brain Teaser: Sum of Squares If you like...Ch. 3.2 - Prob. 28PCh. 3.2 - Prob. 29PCh. 3.2 - Prob. 30PCh. 3.3 - Statistical Literacy Angela took a general...Ch. 3.3 - Prob. 2PCh. 3.3 - Prob. 3PCh. 3.3 - Prob. 4PCh. 3.3 - Prob. 5PCh. 3.3 - Basic Computation: Five-Number Summary,...Ch. 3.3 - Health Care: Nurses At Center Hospital there is...Ch. 3.3 - Prob. 8PCh. 3.3 - Prob. 9PCh. 3.3 - Sociology: High School Dropouts What percentage of...Ch. 3.3 - Auto Insurance: Interpret Graphs Consumer Reports...Ch. 3.3 - Prob. 12PCh. 3 - Prob. 1CRPCh. 3 - Critical Thinking Look at the two histograms...Ch. 3 - Critical Thinking Consider the following Minitab...Ch. 3 - Prob. 4CRPCh. 3 - Political Science: Georgia Democrats How...Ch. 3 - Grades: Weighted Average Professor Cramer...Ch. 3 - Prob. 7CRPCh. 3 - Agriculture: Harvest Weight of Maize The following...Ch. 3 - Prob. 9CRPCh. 3 - Agriculture: Bell Peppers The pathogen...Ch. 3 - Performance Rating: Weighted Average A performance...Ch. 3 - Prob. 1DHCh. 3 - Prob. 2DHCh. 3 - Prob. 1UTCh. 3 - Prob. 1CURPCh. 3 - Describe how the presence of possible outliers...Ch. 3 - Prob. 3CURPCh. 3 - Prob. 4CURPCh. 3 - Prob. 5CURPCh. 3 - Prob. 6CURPCh. 3 - Prob. 7CURPCh. 3 - In west Texas, water is extremely important. The...Ch. 3 - Prob. 9CURPCh. 3 - Prob. 10CURPCh. 3 - Prob. 11CURPCh. 3 - In west Texas, water is extremely important. The...Ch. 3 - Prob. 13CURPCh. 3 - Prob. 14CURPCh. 3 - Prob. 15CURPCh. 3 - In west Texas, water is extremely important. The...Ch. 3 - Prob. 17CURP
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