Operations and Supply Chain Management, 9th Edition WileyPLUS Registration Card + Loose-leaf Print Companion
Operations and Supply Chain Management, 9th Edition WileyPLUS Registration Card + Loose-leaf Print Companion
9th Edition
ISBN: 9781119371618
Author: Roberta S. Russell
Publisher: Wiley (WileyPLUS Products)
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Chapter 1.S, Problem 24P
Summary Introduction

To draw: The best supplier for the company with the expected value approach.

Introduction

Decision analysis is done using various framing tools, graphical representations of tools and decision trees. It uses quantitative measures to analyze the decision that is also used in operation of the firms.

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Scenario You have been given a task to create a demand forecast for the second year of sales of a premium outdoor grill. Accurate forecasts are important for many reasons, including for the company to ensure they have the materials they need to create the products required in a certain period of time. Your objective is to minimize the forecast error, which will be measured using the Mean Absolute Percentage Error (MAPE) with a goal of being below 25%. You have historical monthly sales data for the past year and access to software that provides forecasts based on five different forecasting techniques (Naïve, 3-Month Moving Average, Exponential Smoothing for .2, Exponential Smooth for .5, and Seasonal) to help determine the best forecast for that particular month. Based on the given data, you will identify trends and patterns to create a more accurate forecast. Approach Consider the previous month's forecast to identify which technique is most effective. Use that to forecast the next…
Approach Consider the previous month's forecast to identify which technique is most effective. Use that to forecast the next month. Remember to select the forecasting technique that produces the forecast error nearest to zero. For example: a. Naïve Forecast is 230 and the Forecast Error is -15. b. 3-Month Moving Forecast is 290 and the Forecast Error is -75. c. Exponential Smoothing Forecast for .2 is 308 and the Forecast Error is -93. d. Exponential Smoothing Forecast for .5 is 279 and the Forecast Error is -64. e. Seasonal Forecast is 297 and the Forecast Error is -82. The forecast for the next month would be 230 as the Naïve Forecast had the Forecast Error closest to zero with a -15. This forecasting technique was the best performing technique for that month. You do not need to do any external analysis-the forecast error for each strategy is already calculated for you in the tables below. Naïve Month Period Actual Demand Naïve Forecast Error 3- Month Moving Forecast 3- Month Moving…
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Chapter 1 Solutions

Operations and Supply Chain Management, 9th Edition WileyPLUS Registration Card + Loose-leaf Print Companion

Ch. 1.S - Prob. 11PCh. 1.S - Prob. 12PCh. 1.S - Prob. 13PCh. 1.S - Prob. 14PCh. 1.S - Prob. 15PCh. 1.S - Prob. 16PCh. 1.S - Prob. 17PCh. 1.S - Prob. 18PCh. 1.S - In Problem S1-18, assume the Weight Club is able...Ch. 1.S - Prob. 20PCh. 1.S - Prob. 21PCh. 1.S - Prob. 22PCh. 1.S - Prob. 23PCh. 1.S - Prob. 24PCh. 1.S - Prob. 25PCh. 1.S - Prob. 26PCh. 1.S - Prob. 27PCh. 1.S - Prob. 28PCh. 1.S - Prob. 29PCh. 1.S - Prob. 30PCh. 1.S - Prob. 31PCh. 1.S - Prob. 33PCh. 1.S - Prob. 34PCh. 1.S - Alex Mason has a wide-curving, uphill driveway...Ch. 1.S - Prob. 36PCh. 1.S - Prob. 39PCh. 1.S - Prob. 40PCh. 1.S - State University has three healthcare plans for...Ch. 1.S - The Orchard Wine Company purchases grapes from one...Ch. 1.S - Prob. 43PCh. 1.S - Prob. 1.1CPCh. 1.S - Prob. 2.1CPCh. 1.S - Evaluating Projects at Nexcom Systems Nexcom...Ch. 1 - Feeding America Each year, the Feeding America...Ch. 1 - Feeding America Each year, the Feeding America...Ch. 1 - Feeding America Each year, the Feeding America...Ch. 1 - Feeding America Each year, the Feeding America...Ch. 1 - Prob. 1QCh. 1 - What constitutes operations at (a) a bank, (b) a...Ch. 1 - Prob. 3QCh. 1 - Prob. 4QCh. 1 - Prob. 5QCh. 1 - Prob. 17QCh. 1 - What is the difference between an order winner and...Ch. 1 - Prob. 21QCh. 1 - Prob. 22QCh. 1 - Prob. 23QCh. 1 - Prob. 24QCh. 1 - Prob. 1PCh. 1 - Prob. 2PCh. 1 - Prob. 3PCh. 1 - Prob. 4PCh. 1 - Prob. 5PCh. 1 - Omar Industries maintains production facilities in...Ch. 1 - Rushing yardage for three Heisman Trophy...Ch. 1 - Carpet City recorded the following data on carpet...Ch. 1 - Prob. 9PCh. 1 - Prob. 10PCh. 1 - Prob. 11PCh. 1 - Prob. 12PCh. 1 - Prob. 13PCh. 1 - Prob. 14PCh. 1 - Prob. 15PCh. 1 - Prob. 1.1CPCh. 1 - Prob. 1.2CPCh. 1 - Prob. 1.3CPCh. 1 - Prob. 1.4CPCh. 1 - Prob. 1.5CPCh. 1 - Prob. 2.1CPCh. 1 - Prob. 2.2CP
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