Mindtap Business Analytics, 1 Term (6 Months) Printed Access Card For Camm/cochran/fry/ohlmann/anderson/sweeney/williams' Essentials Of Business Analytics, 2nd
2nd Edition
ISBN: 9781305861794
Author: Jeffrey D. Camm, James J. Cochran, Michael J. Fry, Jeffrey W. Ohlmann, David R. Anderson
Publisher: Cengage Learning
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Chapter 15, Problem 20P
Alexander Industries is considering purchasing an insurance policy for its new office building in St. Louis, Missouri. The policy has an annual cost of $10,000. If Alexander Industries doesn’t purchase the insurance and minor fire damage occurs, a cost of $100,000 is anticipated; the cost if major or total destruction occurs is $200,000. The costs, including the state-of-nature
- a. Using the
expected value approach, what decision do you recommend? - b. What lottery would you use to assess utilities? (Note: Because the data are costs, the best payoff is $0.)
- c. Assume that you found the following indifference probabilities for the lottery defined in part (b). What decision would you recommend?
- d. Do you favor using expected value or expected utility for this decision problem? Why?
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1- Let A = {A1, A2, ...), in which A, A, = 0, when i j.
a) Is A a π-system? If not, which element(s) should be added to A to become a π-system?
b) Prove that σ(A) consists of the finite or countable unions of elements of A; i.c., A E σ(A) if and
only if there exists finite or countable sequence {n} such that A = U₁An (Hint: Let F be such
class; prove that F is a σ-filed containing A.)
c) Let p ≥ 0 be a sequence of non-negative real numbers with Σip₁ = 1. Using p₁'s, how do you
construct a probability measure on σ(A)? (Hint: use extension theorem.)
2- Construct an example for which P(lim sup A,) = 1 and P(lim inf An) = 0.
In a town with 5000 adults, a sample of 50 is selected using SRSWOR and asked their opinion of a proposed municipal project; 30 are found to favor it and 20 oppose it. If, in fact, the adults of the town were equally divided on the proposal, what would be the probability of observing what has been observed? Approximate using the Binomial distribution. Compare this with the exact probability which is 0.0418.
Chapter 15 Solutions
Mindtap Business Analytics, 1 Term (6 Months) Printed Access Card For Camm/cochran/fry/ohlmann/anderson/sweeney/williams' Essentials Of Business Analytics, 2nd
Ch. 15 - Prob. 1PCh. 15 - Southland Corporation’s decision to produce a new...Ch. 15 - Amy Lloyd is interested in leasing a new Honda and...Ch. 15 - Investment advisors estimated the stock market...Ch. 15 - Hudson Corporation is considering three options...Ch. 15 - Prob. 6PCh. 15 - Myrtle Air Express decided to offer direct service...Ch. 15 - Video Tech is considering marketing one of two new...Ch. 15 - Seneca Hill Winery recently purchased land for the...Ch. 15 - Hemmingway, Inc. is considering a $5 million...
Ch. 15 - The following profit payoff table was presented in...Ch. 15 - Suppose that you are given a decision situation...Ch. 15 - A firm has three investment alternatives. Payoffs...Ch. 15 - Alexander Industries is considering purchasing an...Ch. 15 - In a certain state lottery, a lottery ticket costs...Ch. 15 - Three decision makers have assessed utilities for...Ch. 15 - In Problem 22, if P(s1) = 0.25, P(s2) = 0.50, and...Ch. 15 - Translate the following monetary payoffs into...Ch. 15 - Consider a decision maker who is comfortable with...
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