Mindtap Business Analytics, 1 Term (6 Months) Printed Access Card For Camm/cochran/fry/ohlmann/anderson/sweeney/williams'  Essentials Of Business Analytics, 2nd
Mindtap Business Analytics, 1 Term (6 Months) Printed Access Card For Camm/cochran/fry/ohlmann/anderson/sweeney/williams' Essentials Of Business Analytics, 2nd
2nd Edition
ISBN: 9781305861794
Author: Jeffrey D. Camm, James J. Cochran, Michael J. Fry, Jeffrey W. Ohlmann, David R. Anderson
Publisher: Cengage Learning
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Chapter 15, Problem 16P

Suppose that you are given a decision situation with three possible states of nature: s1, s2, and s3. The prior probabilities are P(s1) = 0.2, P(s2) = 0.5, and P(s3) = 0.3. With sample information I, P(I|s1) = 0.1, P(I|s2) = 0.05, and P(I|s3) = 0.2. Compute the revised (or posterior) probabilities: P(s1|I), P(s2|I), and P(s3|I).

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1- Let A = {A1, A2, ...), in which A, A, = 0, when i j. a) Is A a π-system? If not, which element(s) should be added to A to become a π-system? b) Prove that σ(A) consists of the finite or countable unions of elements of A; i.c., A E σ(A) if and only if there exists finite or countable sequence {n} such that A = U₁An (Hint: Let F be such class; prove that F is a σ-filed containing A.) c) Let p ≥ 0 be a sequence of non-negative real numbers with Σip₁ = 1. Using p₁'s, how do you construct a probability measure on σ(A)? (Hint: use extension theorem.) 2- Construct an example for which P(lim sup A,) = 1 and P(lim inf An) = 0.
In a town with 5000 adults, a sample of 50 is selected using SRSWOR and asked their opinion of a proposed municipal project; 30 are found to favor it and 20 oppose it. If, in fact, the adults of the town were equally divided on the proposal, what would be the probability of observing what has been observed? Approximate using the Binomial distribution. Compare this with the exact probability which is 0.0418.
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