EBK PRACTICAL MANAGEMENT SCIENCE
5th Edition
ISBN: 9780100655065
Author: ALBRIGHT
Publisher: YUZU
expand_more
expand_more
format_list_bulleted
Concept explainers
Question
Chapter 10.4, Problem 11P
a)
Summary Introduction
To simulate: The damages needed to pay for the car
Simulation modeling is a computerized model that depicts a real-life situation. It is similar to other mathematical models except that it incorporates the concept of uncertainty in one or more number of the input variables.
b)
Summary Introduction
To find: The average amount need to pay, the standard deviation of amounts to pay and also a 95% confidence interval for the average amount paid for each of the deductible amounts.
c)
Summary Introduction
To explain: The responses and suggestions given by Person X.
Expert Solution & Answer
Trending nowThis is a popular solution!
Students have asked these similar questions
Two 9-year-old boys are watching a television replay of a boxing match between Muhammad Ali and Joe Frazier on a program called “Great Fights of the Century.” Since the fight took place before they were old enough to remember the outcome, neither knows who won and they bet on the outcome. Tom bets on Ali and Tim bets on Frazier. Does risk exist in this situation? Defend your answer.
1. You have been äsked to estimate the probability of default of a manufacturing company,
which has corporate bonds publicly traded. Please list two approaches you can potentially
consider.
A 75% leased apartment building that you recently acquired in Las Vegas, Nevada had an estimated annual NOI of $180,000. After you complete some needed renovations and improvements, you believe you can increase the occupancy to 95% while achieving higher rents and reduced operating costs, and you believe the renovated building will sell at a lower cap rate. If you can increase the NOI by 50% and reduce the sale cap rate by 25%, you will increase the sale price of the property by:
a. 75%
b. 25%
c. 50%
d. 100%
Chapter 10 Solutions
EBK PRACTICAL MANAGEMENT SCIENCE
Ch. 10.2 - Use the RAND function and the Copy command to...Ch. 10.2 - Use Excels functions (not @RISK) to generate 1000...Ch. 10.2 - Use @RISK to draw a uniform distribution from 400...Ch. 10.2 - Use @RISK to draw a normal distribution with mean...Ch. 10.2 - Use @RISK to draw a triangular distribution with...Ch. 10.2 - Use @RISK to draw a binomial distribution that...Ch. 10.2 - Use @RISK to draw a triangular distribution with...Ch. 10.2 - We all hate to keep track of small change. By...Ch. 10.4 - Prob. 11PCh. 10.4 - In August of the current year, a car dealer is...
Ch. 10.4 - Prob. 13PCh. 10.4 - Prob. 14PCh. 10.4 - Prob. 15PCh. 10.5 - If you add several normally distributed random...Ch. 10.5 - In Problem 11 from the previous section, we stated...Ch. 10.5 - Continuing the previous problem, assume, as in...Ch. 10.5 - In Problem 12 of the previous section, suppose...Ch. 10.5 - Use @RISK to analyze the sweatshirt situation in...Ch. 10.5 - Although the normal distribution is a reasonable...Ch. 10.6 - When you use @RISKs correlation feature to...Ch. 10.6 - Prob. 24PCh. 10.6 - Prob. 25PCh. 10.6 - Prob. 28PCh. 10 - Six months before its annual convention, the...Ch. 10 - Prob. 30PCh. 10 - A new edition of a very popular textbook will be...Ch. 10 - Prob. 32PCh. 10 - W. L. Brown, a direct marketer of womens clothing,...Ch. 10 - Prob. 34PCh. 10 - Lemingtons is trying to determine how many Jean...Ch. 10 - Dilberts Department Store is trying to determine...Ch. 10 - It is surprising (but true) that if 23 people are...Ch. 10 - Prob. 40PCh. 10 - At the beginning of each week, a machine is in one...Ch. 10 - Simulation can be used to illustrate a number of...Ch. 10 - Prob. 43PCh. 10 - Prob. 46PCh. 10 - If you want to replicate the results of a...Ch. 10 - Suppose you simulate a gambling situation where...Ch. 10 - Prob. 49PCh. 10 - Big Hit Video must determine how many copies of a...Ch. 10 - Prob. 51PCh. 10 - Prob. 52PCh. 10 - Why is the RISKCORRMAT function necessary? How...Ch. 10 - Consider the claim that normally distributed...Ch. 10 - Prob. 55PCh. 10 - When you use a RISKSIMTABLE function for a...Ch. 10 - Consider a situation where there is a cost that is...
Knowledge Booster
Learn more about
Need a deep-dive on the concept behind this application? Look no further. Learn more about this topic, operations-management and related others by exploring similar questions and additional content below.Similar questions
- A martingale betting strategy works as follows. You begin with a certain amount of money and repeatedly play a game in which you have a 40% chance of winning any bet. In the first game, you bet 1. From then on, every time you win a bet, you bet 1 the next time. Each time you lose, you double your previous bet. Currently you have 63. Assuming you have unlimited credit, so that you can bet more money than you have, use simulation to estimate the profit or loss you will have after playing the game 50 times.arrow_forwardYou now have 10,000, all of which is invested in a sports team. Each year there is a 60% chance that the value of the team will increase by 60% and a 40% chance that the value of the team will decrease by 60%. Estimate the mean and median value of your investment after 50 years. Explain the large difference between the estimated mean and median.arrow_forwardIf a student attends every business analytics class, the probability of passing the course is 0.90; but if the student only attends randomly, then the probability of passing the course is 0.30. If a student fails, he or she can take a makeup exam where the probability of passing is 0.60 if the student has attended every class. This probability of passing the makeup exam drops to 0.20 if the student has attended at random. Passing the course is worth 5 credits. Full-time attendance "costs" 3 credits in terms of energy and time, whereas random attendance "costs" only 1 credit. Draw a decision tree and use the decision tree to decide which is the best attendance pattern to adopt. Assume that all failing students take the makeup exam and that the payoff for failing is equal to 0 credit. Draw a decision tree and determine the payoff for each decision and event node. Which alternative should the student choose?arrow_forward
- Emma can either buy a used car or buy a new car. The used car costs $12,800 with a 40% chance she will run into mechanical problems that will cost $3500 to repair. The new car costs $17,595. Also, there is an 8% chance she will get into an accident in the next 5 years, which will cost 20% of the value of her car. If the cost of the accident is greater than $5000 she would only pay a deductible of $3000. What is the expected value of buying a new car? What is the expected value of buying a used car? Draw a probability tree.arrow_forwardSuppose you are 45 and have a $410,000 face amount, 15-year, limited-payment, participating policy (dividends will be used to build up the cash value of the policy). Your annual premium is $1,435. The cash value of the policy is expected to be $16,400 in 15 years. Using time value of money and assuming you could invest your money elsewhere for a 7 percent annual yield, calculate the net cost of insurance. Use (Exhibit 1-A, Exhibit 1-B, Exhibit 1-C, Exhibit 1-D)arrow_forwardYour answer is partially correct. An independent contractor for a transportation company needs to determine whether she should upgrade the vehicle she currently owns or trade her vehicle in to lease a new vehicle. If she keeps her vehicle, she will need to invest in immediate upgrades that cost $5,200 and it will cost $1,300 per year to operate at the end of year that follows. She will keep the vehicle for 5 years; at the end of this period, the upgraded vehicle will have a salvage value of $3,800. Alternatively, she could trade in her vehicle to lease a new vehicle. She estimates that her current vehicle has a trade-in value of $9,800 and that there will be $4,100 due at lease signing. She further estimates that it will cost $2,900 per year to lease and operate the vehicle. The independent contractor's MARR is 11%. Compute the EUAC of both the upgrade and lease alternatives using the insider perspective. Click here to access the TVM Factor Table Calculator. 1943.56 EUAC(keep): $…arrow_forward
- A car repair can be performed either on time or late, and either satisfactoryily or unsatisfactorily. The probability of a repair being on time and satisfactory is 0.26. The probability of a repair being on time is 0.74. The probability of a repair being satisfactory is 0.41. What is the probabilityof a repair being late and unsatisfactory?arrow_forwardA NY Times best-selling author wants to write a new book as either volume II of her earlier successful book or an autobiography. She believes that by writing the volume II, given her previous success, she will have a 50% chance of placing it with a major publisher where it should ultimately sell about 40,000 copies. However, the worst-case scenario, if she can’t get a major publisher to take it, then she thinks there is 80% chance of placing it with a smaller publisher, with sales of 30,000 copies. On the other hand, if she writes an autobiography, considering the potential interest in her journey as successful writer, she thinks there will be 40% chance of placing it with a major publisher, and it should result in ultimate sales of about 50,000 copies. If she can’t get a major publisher to take it, the worst-case scenario, she thinks there is a 50% chance of placing it with a smaller publisher, with ultimate sales of 35,000 copies. Construct a decision tree to help this author…arrow_forwardA farmer must decide whether to take protective action to limit damage to his grapefruit crop in the event that the overnight temperature falls to a level well below freezing. If the temperature drops too low he runs the risk of losing his entire crop, valued at $75,000. Based on the National Weather Service, the probability of such a temperature drop is 60%. He can insulate his crop by spraying water on all the trees, which will cost $20,000. This action might succeed in protecting the crop, with the following possible outcomes: Probability Damage 0.30 $0 0.15 $5,000 0.10 $10,000 0.15 $15,000 0.30 $20,000 Construct a decision tree to help the farmer make his decision. What should he do? Explain your answer. Find the highest cost of insulating the grapefruits for which the farmer prefers to insulate his crop. Suppose the farmer is uncertain about the reliability of the National Weather Service forecast. If he thinks the probability of…arrow_forward
- AI: Two events, A and B, are mutually exclusive and each has a nonzero probability. If event A is known to occur, the probability of the occurrence of event B is _____. a. 1 b. 0 c. any value between 0 and 1 d. any positive valuearrow_forwardAnand Publishing Company received a six-chapter manuscript for a new college textbook. The editor of the college division is familiar with the manuscript and estimated a 0.6513 probability that the textbook will be successful. If successful, a profit of $950,000 will be realized. If the company decides to publish the textbook and it is unsuccessful, a loss of $150,000 will occur. Before making the decision to accept or reject the manuscript, the editor is considering sending the manuscript out for review. A review process provides either a favorable (F) or an unfavorable (U) evaluation of the manuscript. Past experience with the review process suggests probabilities P(F) = 0.7 and P(U) = 0.3 apply. Let s₁ = the textbook is successful, and $₂ = the textbook is unsuccessful. The editor's initial probabilities of s₁ and s₂ will be revised based on whether the review is favorable or unfavorable. The revised probabilities are as follows: P(S₁IF): = 0.75 P(S₂IF): = 0.25 P(S₁IU) = 0.421…arrow_forwardWhich of the following gambles has the largest objective risk? 20% chance of winning $100 and 80% chance of losing $100 50% chance of winning $10,000 and 50% chance of losing $10,000 50% chance of winning nothing and 50% chance of losing $100 50% chance of winning $100 and 50% chance of winning nothingarrow_forward
arrow_back_ios
SEE MORE QUESTIONS
arrow_forward_ios
Recommended textbooks for you
Practical Management ScienceOperations ManagementISBN:9781337406659Author:WINSTON, Wayne L.Publisher:Cengage,
Practical Management Science
Operations Management
ISBN:9781337406659
Author:WINSTON, Wayne L.
Publisher:Cengage,