ou have a 50 percent chance of making $0, a 40 percent chance of making $100, and a 10 percent chance of losing $100. Calculate the expected value and variance of the payoff.
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You have a 50 percent chance of making $0, a 40 percent chance of making $100, and a 10 percent chance of losing $100. Calculate the expected value and variance of the payoff.
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- Lucy and Henry each have $1652. Each knows that with 0.1 probability, they will lose 85% of their wealth. They both have the option of buying a units of insurance, with each unit costing $0.1. Each unit of insurance pays out $1 in the event the loss occurs. The cost of the insurance policy is paid regardless of whether the loss is incurred. Lucy's utility is given by u²(x) = x, Henry's utility is given by u¹(x) = √√x. Answer the following: (If rounding is needed, only round at the end and write your answer to three decimal places.) a) Without insurance, what is the expected value of the loss? b) c) d). e) ( For Henry, facing the "lottery " above without any insurance is as bad as losing how many dollars for sure? Find Lucy's utility maximising choice of a. If more than 1 exist, enter the largest a. Now suppose insurance costs $0.2. Find Lucy's utility maximising choice of a. If more than 1 exist, enter the largest a. What is Henry's utility maximising choice of a with the new price of…You need to hire some new employees to staff your startup venture. You know that potential employees are distributed throughout the population as follows, but you can't distinguish among them: Employee Value $30,000 $49,000 $68,000 $87,000 Probability 0.25 0.25 0.25 0.25 The expected value of hiring one employee is $ Suppose you set the salary of the position equal to the expected value of an employee. Assume that employees will not work for a salary below their employee value. The expected value of an employee who would apply for the position, at this salary, is $ Given this adverse selection, your most reasonable salary offer (that ensures you do not lose money) isThe value of a successful project is $420,000; the probabilities of success are 1/2 with good supervision and 1/4 without. The manager is risk neutral, not risk averse as in the text, so his expected utility equals his expected income minus his disutility of effort. He can get other jobs paying $90,000, and his disutility for exerting the extra effort for good supervision on your project is $100,000. (a) Show that inducing high effort would require the firm to offer a compensation scheme with a negative base salary; that is, if the project fails, the manager pays the firm an amount stipulated in the scheme. (b) How might a negative base salary be implemented in reality? (c) Show that if a negative base salary is not feasible, then the firm does better to settle for the low-pay, low-effort situation.
- Online sale Suppose a student is considering selling their used smartphone online. They can sell it now for $p or wait and sell it next month for a different price. If they wait, they will receive a random offer with an equal probability of being either $300 or $100. The student can only receive one offer and cannot sell the phone after the second month. 1. Calculate the expected price in the next month. 2. Suppose that the current price p is equal to 200. (a) Give a reason why selling today could be a good idea. (b) Give a reason why selling next month could be a good idea.In a large casino, the house wins on its blackjack tables with a probability of 50.9%. All bets at blackjack are 1 to 1, which means that if you win, you gain the amount you bet, and if you lose, you lose the amount you bet. a. If you bet $1 on each hand, what is the expected value to you of a single game? What is the house edge? b. If you played 150 games of blackjack in an evening, betting $1 on each hand, how much should you expect to win or lose? c. If you played 150 games of blackjack in an evening, betting $3 on each hand, how much should you expect to win or lose? d. If patrons bet $7,000,000 on blackjack in one evening, how much should the casino expect to earn? a. The expected value to you of a single game is $ (Type an integer or a decimal.)In the Hawaiian Beach Boy surf board vendor scenario, what if the fine was increased to $190 but the probability of a fine decreased to one in 20 days, 5%? What would be the expected value – Exp(RS) -- of continuing to rent surfboards? Assume the other numbers stay the same. He makes $300/day and to rent boards from friends costs him $100 a day. So, he makes $200 a day. Write out the expected value formula, plug in the numbers, and show the math. Hint: the Exp(RS) should be higher than the previously calculated $160.
- Cheryl Druehl Retailers, Inc., must decide whether to build a small or a large facility at a new location in Fairfax. Demand at the location will either be low or high, with probabilities 0.6 and 0.4, respectively. If Cheryl builds a small facility and demand proves to be high, she then has the option of expanding the facility. If a small facility is built and demand proves to be high, and then the retailer expands the facility, the payoff is $230,000. If a small facility is built and demand proves to be high, but Cheryl then decides not to expand the facility, the payoff is $183,000. If a small facility is built and demand proves to be low, then there is no option to expand and the payoff is $250,000. If a large facility is built and demand proves to be low, Cheryl then has the option of stimulating demand through local advertising. If she does not exercise this option, then the payoff is $45,000. If she does exercise the advertising option, then the response to advertising will…Thelma is indifferent between $100 and a bet with a 0.6 chance of no return and a 0.4 chance of $200. If U(0) = 20 and U(200) = 220, then U(100) = :To go from Location 1 to Location 2, you can either take a car or take transit. Your utility function is: U= -1Xminutes -5Xdollars +0.13Xcar (i.e. 0.13 is the car constant) Car= 15 minutes and $8 Transit= 40 minutes and $4 What is your probability of taking transit given the conditions above? What is your probability of taking transit if the number of buses on the route were doubled, meaning the headways are halved? Remember to include units.
- Leo needs one unit of capital from a bank to launch a business. His profits depend on the interest rate of the contract r and the level of effort. Leo can either put high effort in the project, in which case his profits 7 equal y -r with probability 1/2 and 0 with probability 1/2. H | Leo incurs a cost of high effort c=2- Otherwise Leo can put low effort, in which case his profits 7 equals y,-r with probability 1/3 and 0 with probability 2/3. Leo incurs a cost of low effort L c=0: %3D Leo's utility function is 271/2- c where A represents his profits and c the cost of efforts. For a given an interest rate r, the risk-neutral bank receives r if the entrepreneur is successful or -1 if he is not. The bank knows that there are many entrepreneurs like Leo who either make high or low effort. It then proposes two types of loans. The first loan is designed for entrepreneurs who make high effort, with an interest rate r=r,. The second loan is designed for entrepreneurs who make low effort, with…David is an expected-utility maximizer that likes to drive fast (and reckless at times), so his probability of an accident is 2/3. David's preferences over wealth are u(w) = vw. Suppose that David's initial wealth is $100. If David has an accident, he incurs a $51 loss. How much is the risk premium David willing to pay to be as well off in case of accident or not?An individual has a utility function U(W) = VW, where W is the level of wealth. They have been offered a gamble with a payout of £170 with a probability of 0.74 and a payout of £49.7 with a probability of 1-0.74. The Certainty Equivalent of this gamble is: Answer: