Yuki has a utility function given by u(x) = ln(x). She faces a gamble that pays 10 with probability 0.5 and 15 with probability 0.5. Comment on how Yuki's certainty equivalent relative to the expected value varies as her utility function goes from concave from convex.
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- Adam is considering what skills to study in online school. Her utility function is based on the income she earns, and is defined by U(I) = I0.8. If she learns the skill of SPSS, she will earn $145,000 per year with probability 1. If she learns the skill of Tableau, she will earn $300,000 per year with probability 0.6 (assuming that she gets the certificate) and $30,000 with probability 0.4 (if she learns without earning a certificate and she has to find a waiter job). a. Is she risk averse, risk neutral, or risk loving? Explain.b. Write out the equation for her expected utility for each skill. c.Which skill will she learn? Show your work. d.Suppose someone offers her insurance for the possibility that she does not get a Tableau certificate. This insurance will provide her an amount of income in addition to the waiter job wages that makes her indifferent between learning SPSS and Tableau. What is this amount, and what is the cost of the insurance? (note: many possible answers)Portsmouth Bank has foreclosed on a home mortgage and is selling the house at auction. There are three bidders for the house, Emily, Anna, and Olga. Portsmouth Bank does not know the willingness to pay of these three bidders for the house, but on the basis of its previous experience, the bank believes that each of these bidders has a probability of 1/3 of valuing it at $600,000, a probability of 1/3 of valuing at $500,000, and a probability of 1/3 of valuing it at $200,000. Portsmouth Bank believes that these probabilities are independent among buyers. If Portsmouth Bank sells the house by means of a second- bidder, sealed- bid auction (Vicktey auction), what will be the bank's expected revenue from the sale?Let b(p,s,t) be the bet that pays out s with probability p and t with probability 1−p. We make the three following statements: S1: The CME for b is the value m such that u(m)=E[u(b(p,s,t))]. S2: A risk averse attitude corresponds to the case CME smaller than E[b(p,s,t))]. S3: A risk seeking attitude corresponds to a convex utility function. Are these statements true or false?
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- Y5 Alfred is a risk-averse person with $100 in monetary wealth and owns a house worth $300, for total wealth of $400. The probability that his house is destroyed by fire (equivalent to a loss of $300) is pne = 0.5. If he exerts an effort level e = 0.3 to keep his house safe, the probability falls to pe = 0.2. His utility function is: U = w0.5 – e where e is effort level exerted (zero in the case of no effort and 0.3 in the case of effort).a. In the absence of insurance, does Alfred exert effort to lower the probability of fire?HINT: Calculate and compare the expected utility i) with effort, and ii) without effort. If effort is exerted, then the effort cost is paid regardless of whether or not a fire occurs.b. Alfred is considering buying fire insurance. The insurance agent explains that a home owner’s insurance policy would require paying a premium α and would repay the value of the house in the event of fire, minus a deductible “D”. [A deductible is an amount of money that the…Suppose you have an exponential utility function given by U(x) =1- exp(-x/R) where, for you, R = 1000. Further, suppose you have an investment with a 50/50 chance of returning either 0 or 2000 dollars. Note U(0) = 0 and U(2000) = 0.865, so the utility of the lottery is 0.432. What is the certain equivalent of that investment?Consider the following game, with a risk-neutral principal with preferences π = q - w hiring an agent with preferences U = √w-e.. The agent's reservation utility is given by Ū = 2, and the agent can choose between an effort level of 0 or an effort level of 10. Output is either 0 or 400 and follows the following probability distribution, a function of effort level and some uncertain factor: e=0 e=10 Probability (q=0) Probability (q=400) 0.6 0.4 0.9 0.1 What would the contract look like if the principal tried to push the wages when q=0 to zero? Would the principal want to do this? Explain.
- Suppose that • The employee has an outside offer to work for $27 per hour, for 1500 hours per year The employee currently works for $20 per hour, for 2000 hours per year The switching cost can be either high ($1'000) or low ($50) • The high switching cost has probability 40%; the low switching cost 60% Suppose that the cost of losing the employee is $800. What is the employer expected payoff from choosing not to match the outside offer?9. Problems and Applications Q9 Dmitri has a utility function U = W, where W is his wealth in millions of dollars and U is the utility he obtains from that wealth. In the final stage of a game show, the host offers Dmitri a choice between (A) $4 million for sure, or (B) a gamble that pays $1 million with probability 0.4 and $9 million with probability 0.6. Use the blue curve (circle points) to graph Dmitri's utility function at wealth levels of $0, $1 million, $4 million, $9 million, and $16 million. Utility (Thousands) 5.0 4.5 4.0 3.5 3.0 2.5 2.0 1.5 1.0 0.5 0 0 2 4 8 6 10 12 14 Wealth (Millions of dollars) 16 18 20 V Utility Function ?