Anna is risk averse and has a utility function of the form u(w) pocket she has €9 and a lottery ticket worth €40 with a probability of 50% and nothing otherwise. She can sell this lottery ticket to Ben who is risk neutral and has €30 in his pocket. Find the range of prices that would make such a transaction possible
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Anna is risk averse and has a utility function of the form u(w) pocket she has €9 and a lottery ticket worth €40 with a probability of 50% and nothing otherwise. She can sell this lottery ticket to Ben who is risk neutral and has €30 in his pocket. Find the range of prices that would make such a transaction possible
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- Natalie entered a raffle recently and never checked her tickets. She has recently learned the exact number of the other unchecked tickets. Based on this information she knows that there is a 30% chance that she has won the raffle prize of $1,600. If she does not win the raffle her wealth will be zero. Natalie has a von Neumann- Morgenstern utility such that she wants to maximize the expected value of cvc, where cc is total wealth. What is the minimum price for which Natalie would sell her raffle tickets? $Suppose you have an exponential utility function given by U(x) =1- exp(-x/R) where, for you, R = 1000. Further, suppose you have an investment with a 50/50 chance of returning either 0 or 2000 dollars. Note U(0) = 0 and U(2000) = 0.865, so the utility of the lottery is 0.432. What is the certain equivalent of that investment?A pirate is about to set sail on a 2-period journey (trip). He has 100 bags of barley (food). He must decide how much to consume in period 1 and how much to consume in period 2: (C1, c2). He gets all the barley in period 1 and none in period 2. Unfortunately, rats will eat 50% of any barley that he saves to consume in period 2. If the pirate's utility function is U(C1, C2) = C1C2, what levels of consumption does he choose in each period? (Hint: The "price" of barley in each period can be assumed to be 1.)
- An individual is offered a choice of either $50 or a lottery which may result in $0 or $100, each with equal probability 1/2. If the individual has a utility function u(w) = w, which one would they choose? If the individual has a utility function u(w) =sqr(w)?Roger's utility/u as a function of wealth/w is u = { ln w, w < 1600 w1/2, w >= 1600 Roger has $1000 and 3 options. 1. spend $400 to enter the game with probabilities of winning or losing: Win/(Lose) (500) 0 1000 3000 P(Win/(Lose)) 0.2 0.1 0.6 0.1 a. Show with workings which option roger would choose.Scenario 2 Tess and Lex earn $40,000 per year and all earnings are spent on consumption (c). Tess and Lex both have the utility function (sqrt c) . Both could experience an adverse event that results in earnings of $0 per year. Tess has a 1% chance of experiencing an adverse event and Lex has a 12% chance of experiencing an adverse event. Tess and Lex are both aware of their risk of an adverse event. Refer to Scenario 2 Suppose that insurance companies do not know specific probabilities of adverse events for Tess or Lex, but do know the average probability of an adverse event. If they assumed that both Tess and Lex purchase full insurance, what is the actuarially fair premium charged? Round to two decimal places
- In the final round of a TV game show, contestants have a chance to increase their current winnings of$1 million to $2 million. If they are wrong, their prize is decreased to $500,000. A contestant thinks his guess will be right 50% of the time. Should he play? What is the lowest probability of a correct guess that would make playing profitable?Problem 3. Carol's risk preference is represented by the following expected utility formula: U(T, C₁; 1 T, C₂) = π √√ √₁+ (17) √√C₂. i) Suppose Carol is indifferent between the following two options: the first option A returns $100 with probability and $X with probability, and the second option B returns $49 for sure. Determine X. ii) Consider the following three lotteries: L₁ = (0.9, $100; 0.1, $49), L2 = (0.7, $225; 0.3, $49), and L3= (0.5, $400; 0.5, $0). What is the ranking of these lotteries for Carol? Calculate the risk premiums of these lotteries for Carol. 19. Problems and Applications Q9 Dmitri has a utility function U = W, where W is his wealth in millions of dollars and U is the utility he obtains from that wealth. In the final stage of a game show, the host offers Dmitri a choice between (A) $4 million for sure, or (B) a gamble that pays $1 million with probability 0.4 and $9 million with probability 0.6. Use the blue curve (circle points) to graph Dmitri's utility function at wealth levels of $0, $1 million, $4 million, $9 million, and $16 million. Utility (Thousands) 5.0 4.5 4.0 3.5 3.0 2.5 2.0 1.5 1.0 0.5 0 0 2 4 8 6 10 12 14 Wealth (Millions of dollars) 16 18 20 V Utility Function ?
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