Farmer Brown faces a 25% chance of there being a year with prolonged drought, with zero yields and zero profit, and he faces a 75% chance of a normal year, with good yields and $100,000 profit. These probabilities are well-known. Suppose that an insurance company offered a drought insurance policy that pays the farmer $80,000 if a prolonged drought occurs. Assume that the farmer’s utility function is u(c) = ln(c). He has initial wealth of $25,000. a Let Y be the expected amount of money that the insurance company will pay Farmer Brown, in the case that Farmer Brown is insured. Compute Y. b. Let X be the most amount of money X Farmer Brown is willing to pay for the insurance. Set up the equation that defines X. Either carefully explain in words what your equation says or put short captions explaining the different parts of your equation. c Determine X to the nearest dollar. d What is the economic intuition on why X > Y?
Farmer Brown faces a 25% chance of there being a year with prolonged drought, with zero yields and zero profit, and he faces a 75% chance of a normal year, with good yields and $100,000 profit. These probabilities are well-known. Suppose that an insurance company offered a drought insurance policy that pays the farmer $80,000 if a prolonged drought occurs. Assume that the farmer’s utility function is u(c) = ln(c). He has initial wealth of $25,000.
a Let Y be the expected amount of money that the insurance company will pay Farmer Brown, in the case that Farmer Brown is insured. Compute Y.
b. Let X be the most amount of money X Farmer Brown is willing to pay for the insurance. Set up the equation that defines X. Either carefully explain in words what your equation says or put short captions explaining the different parts of your equation.
c Determine X to the nearest dollar.
d What is the economic intuition on why X > Y?
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